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If Mayans Can See The Future, Why Didn’t They See The Spanish Coming?

Seriously, shut up about the damn Mayans already. Last I checked, they were a culture of people so ‘advanced’ they were enslaved by the first people to interact with them that possessed gun powder.

Didn’t see that one coming, did they?

Here’s the only thing you need know about tomorrow. Tomorrow will look much like today. I’ll be lounging in a chair in my 9th floor office, getting rich as hell taking the stocks you are selling so terrified.

“The US is gone.” “Deepwater drilling is done.” “Nuclear energy is over.” “Iran is gonna destroy trade.” “Guns will be banished.” “The world is ending.”

Jesus Christ…shut the fuck up already.

Do you realize my brand new RGR position is up 12% in two days?

How is that fair? But it’s all possible because you squeamish clowns can’t hold your composure.

Get a grip already.

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Bought RGR For $40.49

I added a full position in RGR for $40.49 – 10% of net positions. I offset this purchase somewhat with small sales of CCJ, scaling out the profits from the latest recovery.

I read Feinstein’s position on guns, and it is what one could call “purely political bullshit.”

She’s made clear there will be a full grandfather clause. The rushed purchases being made right now are here to stay. No guns are going to be confiscated. And even if they don’t move to implement gun control, this event has sewn distrust amongst the population. The rush to obtain as many firearms as possible will be kicking into high gear; no one trusts Obama, the Democrats, or even the Republicans.

And the NRA has not even gotten in their say yet. Oh, yeah, absolutely, the world is just a different place now…

The NRA is going to steamclean the antigun crowd, with a torrent of statistics from Australia, Norway, and Sweden. They’ll wash it down with images from Chicago for good measure. The secluded college professors who have heretofore been given free control of the microphone won’t know what collided with the sides of their fat, pasty heads.

To say I am a gun ideologue is most likely accurate. But, this is also what I see developing – guns will be given a pass. There is much talk of reforming mental healthcare in the US, and posting marshals at schools, which will absorb much of the blows. And what assaults against firearms are coming, like Feinstein’s, are, as we say, ‘weak sauce’.

So my ideology and the real world should collide nicely, in cooperation and profits. Far too many emotional fools are forcing the hands of the calm and collected – such as The Fly’s relationship to his jackass client accounts.

I am very eager to pick up the pieces their effusive financing is so determined to leave strewn about the place.

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Cameco Corporation’s Time Has Come

I had a wonderful four day weekend, which culminated in a celebration. I would share that spirit with each of you on this fine evening. I hope all is well wherever you are.

Catching up on today’s action, the signs are beginning to shift to CCJ’s favor. The stock rallied another 3.7% today.

This is a long awaited development.

Back in early 2011, after the Japan earthquake set off the greatest nuclear threat since 3 Mile Island, sheer panic had set in the public broadcasters. I watched, amazed, as men and women with no special understanding of nuclear power drowned out actual industry experts on live television with their warnings of calamity and doom.

No claim was too exorbitant. The calls for widespread death and pestilence were matched only with the audacity of the foregone conclusion that nuclear energy must be completely dead.

I let my pipe burn out, tasting only the lingering roast of the cayuga, as I shook my head in disbelief at this spectacle…

And then, I laid my reputation on the table and began slowly accumulating shares of CCJ, right in the midst of the panic as a nuclear reactor literally melted down on international television.

Now, this is actually the second time I’ve seen a strong resurgence in CCJ’s stock price, leading me to believe in the possibility of a price recovery. The stock had hit the mid teens earlier, and after that discernable bottom, I thought perhaps those days were past. Alas! It was not to be. CCJ’s shareholders proved themselves cowards with the recent collapse of U308 spot prices; incapable of seeing the greater theme.

This rally could be just another such fake. Yet, I have reason to believe it is not. There is great timing of the move, which coordinates with significant developments in the uranium space. Japan has announced they will fast track a discussion of nuclear energy – I believe they have no choice but to continue on the path. Germany (which previously announced a full scale out of nuclear power) has made decisions appertaining to their grid which make abandoning nuclear power impossible. The US has been rather cheerful about nuclear, finally giving permission for the construction of the first new nuclear power plant in decades. China is pushing full steam ahead. India has signed fuel trade agreements with Canada. And Russia is done flooding the markets with HEU from decomissioned warheads.

Whether or not this is the triumphant finale to my symphony remains to be seen. I wait with bated breath.

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Fixated On A Catalyst

There is only one number I’ve come to stare at every week, and that’s the published uranium spot price. It’s up over 7% in the last month.

It’s astounding, really. I know that the number has absolutely no bearing on CCJ’s operations, whatsoever.

But I am convinced that the number has a very meaningful impact on CCJ’s stock price.

For some reason, humans are always on the lookout for “a reason”. The quest for this unattainable cause has destroyed men. It has brought nations to their knees. It has set killers free and thrown the innocent behind bars.

And now, there are potentially millions of dollars waiting for “a reason” to buy CCJ.

I don’t get it. I mean, if CCJ is a good buy, why not just buy it? Why wait for “a catalyst.”

If you suspected that your gas line was faulty, would you wait for the presence of “a catalyst” to fix it? Would you wait until lethal and volatile gas was flooding your home to patch up the issue?

“Mmm, no sir, that is simply preposterous,” you remark while stomping your foot on the ground. “I believe I need a catalyst before I move to fix that gas line.”

“Now please remove yourself from my study, you charlatan salesman. It is almost noon-thirty, a time each and every day when I practice the ritual of smoking my pipe.”

Hell no. If you saw there was a problem with one of your lines, you wouldn’t care what the expected life of a gas pipe was, or the statistics of an explosion in an average home, or presumably would you wait until your house was the ideal location for a life shattering explosion.

You’d step in and fix the damn thing.

But that’s not how the mentality works in markets. When you spy misallocated risk in market, for some reason totally unknown to me, the accept response is, “We wait, good sirs. We wait until the moment when it’s probably too late to act.”

“We wait for the signal.”

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BAS Shares Enter The Funnel

BAS executives gave a press release this morning containing select operational data from November. Here’s the quick recap; drilling projects for natural gas are real weak and demand for their services was kicked in the teeth in November.

BAS is off more than 7% before the open.

They are now forecasting an even deeper slowdown in the first quarter of 2013.

Now let me tell you how December is going to go. Worse than November, leaving expectations for the first quarter of 2013 even lower than they are now.

But at these prices, BAS remains cheap. And as companies go, it’s flush with cash in a sea of dying competitors.

I expect drilling for natural gas to pick up in 2013, provided we continue to witness natural gas prices holding onto recent gains (no double dipping into the $2 spot prices again, if you please).

That will lead to a second half spaz run in BAS shares, assuming all goes roughly according to plan.

The North America energy revolution is underway. It has not stopped. It has merely been delayed in wait for better pricing.

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Calls For EURUSD Parity On Temporary Suspension

I have not banged on this pot in a while, yet its presence should have been taken as a foregone conclusion.

Still, for a moment, I’ll hang it on a shelf.

Earlier this year, I didn’t believe we’d go over the fiscal cliff, mostly because I thought “that would be stupid”.

And stupid it will be.

At the end of the day, I blame the Freshmen Tea Party Republicans for this, because they willingly surrendered a voting majority, tied their hands behind their backs, and jumped into the water – Javert style. What the hell is this, the finale of Les Miserables (that looks incredible, by the way)?

Now the ramifications of this will be dollar weakness. Also, we’re already getting calls for more Fed easing? I think that’s premature, just like the calls for QE3 were initially way premature.

But no matter what, I’m seeing a few months of intense dollar pressure, which will likely translate into EURUSD support near this 1.3 mark.

But make no mistake – over the next several years, the EURUSD will enter sudden periods of cascading, which together will lead the dollar and euro to parity. The resumption of this inevitability will probably recommence this spring.

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