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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

Silver Approaching Oversold Levels

According to the laws dictated by The PPT, inverse silver ETF ZSL is approaching (within 3%) OVERBOUGHT levels, which is a significant occurrence. Over the previous 10 PPT OVERBOUGHT signals, ZSL traded lower in 9 of them for an average loss of 10.65.%

For those of you who failed to get in the last go around, this may be your chance to ride the “silver suckers” to the roads of Elysium.

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Spanish Banks Need $21 Billion Bailout

Twelve Spanish lenders fall short of Spain’s minimum capital requirement, including giant Bankia, with a reported shortfall of 5.8 billion euros. As always, the olive squeezers will find a way to resolve this issue, amicably, in order to preserve the natural order of things.

Full story.

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U.S. Consumer Debt Shrinking

God bless bailouts and skirting personal responsibility. The debt burden on U.S. consumers is now at its lowest point in 6 years, shrinking to an astonishingly high $13.4 Trillion or 116% of disposable income. Average household net worth increased to $505,000 in 2010, up 5.1% from 2009.

The absurd reality is that consumers, despite what men in burlap overcoats say, are flush with cash and/or credit— and may start to spend like wild Indians, drunk at Foxwoods, lending to the ongoing recovery.

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After Hours Earnings Summary

SHFL: Shuffle Master beats by $0.01, misses on revs

CLNE: Clean Energy Fuels beats by $0.01, beats on revs

AIRM: Air Methods beats by $0.23, beats on revs

ARO: Aeropostale beats by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 EPS below consensus; guides FY12 EPS below consensus

NSM: National Semi reports EPS in-line, misses on revs; guides Q4 revs in-line

ULTA: Ulta Salon beats by $0.04, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS above consensus, revs below consensus

ZQK: Quiksilver reports EPS in-line, beats on revs

ZUMZ: Zumiez beats by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides Q1 EPS below consensus

JSDA: Jones Soda reports reports Q4 EPS of ($0.06) vs ($0.17) last year

STLD: Steel Dynamics sees Q1 EPS of $0.37-0.42 vs $0.40 Thomson Reuters consensus; increases Q1 dividend 33% QoQ to $0.10

LIME: Lime Energy beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q1 and FY11 revs to the upside

ALOG: Analogic misses by $0.03, beats on revs

POWR: PowerSecure misses by $0.03, misses on revs

LOV: Spark Networks reports Q4EPS of $0.03 vs. ($0.47) in 4Q09

THO: Thor Industries misses by $0.11, reports revs in-line

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A Marvelous Marvel

Rolling into today’s trade, the entirety of my personal account was long just one stock, leveraged at 150%. Additionally, for managed accounts, one stock made up 20% of my holdings.

Ladies and Gentlemen,

I win even when losing. Like the inexplicable nonsense taking place at Puma Punku, “The Fly” finds himself practically unscathed by today’s carnage, long boatloads of OPEN, much to your chagrin. Naturally, your initial reaction will be one of denial, classic third class behavior. However, I insist that you respect the banner by which I am represented. You do not need to like me, just respect the hammer, for it is stained with the brains of my mortal enemies.

For managed accounts, I was down less than 1.25%, thanks to the fucking homos at APC.

My sense, we trade up soon. On the eyes of Jupiter, the bulls shall have their revenge soon and it will be served in a very vengeful manner.

Indeud.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sUbcIfMdQTM 616 500]

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Market Breaks Below 12,000

Commodity related stocks are leading to the downside here, as investors trample over each other for the exits. The dollar (UUP) and treasuries (TLT) are both up 0.9% and 1.4%, respectively. People are interested in deflationary trades, yet again. Hence, the old “Hugh Hendry trade” is back on.

The biggest laggards amongst large cap stocks are ARMH (-9%), CLF (-6.5%), NTAP (-6.5%), NVDA (-6%), SLW (-6%), NOV (-6%), ASML (-5.7%) and BTU (-5.5%)

Elevator down.

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Most Heavily Shorted Stocks that are Up Today

Data provided by The PPT:

(stock, % of float sold short, daily % change)

1 NFLX 36.3 5.18
2 CLWR 30.2 4.83
3 YOKU 36.39 4.38
4 UAL 28.5 2.79
5 AMRN 25.86 2.54
6 SYNA 38.9 2.13
7 SODA 34.3 1.63
8 CBEH 31.4 1.62
9 OPEN 39.4 0.95
10 CADX 81 0.92
11 CSTR 41.1 0.91
12 CHBT 26.2 0.74
13 ARNA 35.7 0.67
14 RJET 26.4 0.65
15 PATH 286.2 0.52
16 AHD 48.6 0.34
17 RBCN 88.7 0.32
18 MNKD 28.3 0.26
19 BKS 40.3 0.08
20 DSW 27.4 0.05
21 PPD 56.3 0.03

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The Dollar is Barely Down, Year to Date

Despite all of the talk of the U.S. dollar dying, it was up last year and barely down this year, off by just 2.3%. The weakest currency, at least in the developed world, is the New Zealand dollar, off by almost 5%.  On the other hand, commodity and vodka rich Russia has seen its retarded Ruble appreciate by more than 8% this year. And, the Swedish Krona and the Euro have gained 5% and 4.5%, respectively.

Now, if we’re talking about a 3 year time frame or longer, the dollar is one of the dumbest places to keep money ever, save The First Bank of Tulip.

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It’s Only Money

I swear, we get a little baby sell off and you fuckers are ready to jump out of the window. Who gives a shit? We have plenty of money here, right? And for those of you who do not have lots of money, please do not comment. You’re like third tier, bottom shelf. Go out there you lazy bastards and make something out of yourself, THEN and only then, come back to iBC.

As unbelievable as it may seem, I stepped into today 150% leveraged in my personal account. Now that’s down from 275%. I’ve been selling. Luck for me, so far, the entirety of my account is long OPEN.

HENCE THE TERM, ASSHOLES-

“The Fly Wins all the time, even when he appears to be losing badly.”

Separate from that, managed accounts are trading down, naturally, thanks to declines in APC, BZ, PSUN, MAS, FLWS and BORN. However, I am long lots of ARO and OPEN, so my losses could be worse. The important aspect about this sell off is that it’s bullshit. It will be short lived and before you know it, we’re all laughing and doing long lines of blow off gasoline pump handles again. For the record, I do not endorse drug usage and find it reprehensible.

Always remember, “The Fly” is a gentleman of the third degree. You are probably too infantile to understand what that means. However, I’d be remiss if I didn’t remind you, nonetheless.

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