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Parker: Beware European drag on earnings

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The original story of Narcissus may be a couple thousand years old now but in the eyes of market strategist Adam Parker at Morgan Stanley, the myth about the boy who falls in love with his own image is about to make a comeback.

“My sense is that we’ve gone a little bit too internal now among U.S. investors,” Parker says in the attached video clip, adding we are so focused on our domestic comeback that we’re ignoring the risks that still exist in Europe and China.

Sure U.S. stocks have rebounded nicely and investors (theoretically) have enjoyed a nice six month run –not to mention a bull market that just entered its fourth year running– but Parker feels this inward focus is about to get a rude awakening.

“We don’t think U.S. companies have sufficiently guided down for the weakening economy in Europe,” Parker warns. He predicts that along with first quarter earnings results in April will be a slew of cautious commentary about the 2nd half due to the bite from a recession in Europe.

“I think you should be betting on the fact you will see more negative guidance from companies with exposure to Europe,” he says.

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Costco Beats Estimates From Offering Cheap Gasoline to Consumers

(Reuters) – Costco Wholesale Corp posted a bigger-than-expected rise in quarterly profit on Wednesday, as rising gasoline prices led more members to fill up at the warehouse club’s discounted gas stations and then shop inside.

Rising gasoline prices had a positive impact on sales at Costco, which prices its fuel below nearby stations.

Sales at stores open at least a year, or same-store sales, rose 8 percent in February, outpacing a 7.6 percent rise that analysts had expected, according to Thomson Reuters data.

Sales rose 10 percent to $22.51 billion in the second quarter that ended on February 12, from $20.45 billion a year earlier.

Analysts on average were expecting $22.83 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S….”

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Berkshire Hathaway Profits Fall 30% Due to Derivatives

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A) said fourth- quarter profit fell 30 percent on smaller gains from Warren Buffett’s portfolio of derivatives.

Net income declined to $3.05 billion, or $1,846 a share, from $4.38 billion, or $2,656, a year earlier, Omaha, Nebraska- based Berkshire said today in its annual report.

Buffett, Berkshire’s chairman and chief executive officer, is investing in stocks and acquisitions as operating units generate cash. Derivatives bets, made in prior years on long- term gains in stocks and the solvency of borrowers, produced more than $2 billion of profit in the fourth quarter of 2010.

“These are contracts that don’t expire for another 10 or 15 years and might fluctuate a lot every quarter,” said David Kass, a professor at the University of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business. Buffett is “not really bothered by the volatility short term,” said Kass, in an interview before results were released.

Berkshire has slumped 4 percent in New York in the last 12 months, compared with a gain of 4.6 percent for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index.

The gain from equity index puts dropped to $350 million in the last three months of 2011 from $2.49 billion a year earlier. The contracts are tied to four stock indexes including the S&P 500, which rose 11 percent in the period, and the Nikkei 225 Stock Average, which fell 2.8 percent. Liabilities narrow when equity benchmarks rise, and the fluctuations are recorded each quarter in Berkshire’s income statement.

Credit-Default Contracts

Losses from credit-default contracts, in which Buffett bets on the ability of borrowers to repay debt, widened to $216 million from $157 million a year earlier. Some fourth-quarter results were calculated by subtracting figures for the first nine months from the full-year data provided today….”

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Earnings This Week

Tuesday:

  • Boyd Gaming Corp    BYD
  • Brocade Communications Systems Inc    BRCD
  • Cheesecake Factory Inc    CAKE
  • Chesapeake Energy Corp    CHK
  • Dell Inc    DELL
  • Forest Oil Corp    FST
  • Genco Shipping and Trading Ltd    GNK
  • Intuit Inc    INTU
  • Macy’s Inc    M
  • Nabors Industries Ltd    NBR
  • RadioShack Corp    RSH
  • Rex Energy Corp    REXX
  • Saks Inc    SKS
  • Solazyme Inc    SZYM
  • Sonus Networks Inc    SONS
  • Steven Madden Ltd    SHOO
  • Wal-Mart Stores Inc    WMT
  • Walter Energy Inc    WLT

Wednesday:

  • Almost Family Inc    AFAM
  • Angie’s List Inc    ANGI
  • Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc    ARCO
  • Caribou Coffee Co Inc    CBOU
  • Clean Harbors Inc    CLH
  • Continental Resources Inc    CLR
  • DryShips Inc    DRYS
  • Express Scripts Inc    ESRX
  • Garmin Ltd    GRMN
  • Hewlett Packard Co    HPQ
  • MGM Resorts International    MGM
  • Qihoo 360 Technology Co Ltd    QIHU
  • Stone Energy Corp    SGY
  • Toll Brothers Inc    TOL
  • Yandex NV    YNDX
  • Zale Corp    ZLC

Thursday:

  • American International Group Inc    AIG
  • Berry Petroleum Co    BRY
  • Century Aluminum Co    CENX
  • Coeur d Alene Mines Corp    CDE
  • Crocs Inc    CROX
  • Deckers Outdoor Corp    DECK
  • Dynamic Materials Corp    BOOM
  • E Commerce China Dangdang Inc    DANG
  • First Solar Inc    FSLR
  • Foster Wheeler AG    FWLT
  • GAP Inc    GPS
  • Marvell Technology Group Ltd    MRVL
  • Mercadolibre Inc    MELI
  • Molycorp Inc    MCP
  • OmniVision Technologies Inc    OVTI
  • Rubicon Technology Inc    RBCN
  • Salesforce.com Inc    CRM
  • SandRidge Energy Inc    SD
  • Trina Solar Ltd    TSL
  • W&T Offshore Inc    WTI

Friday:

  • Alpha Natural Resources Inc    ANR
  • Dillard’s Inc    DDS
  • J C Penney Co Inc    JCP
  • Youku Inc    YOKU

Note: Earnings Date are subject to change, please check date for accuracy.

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Gold Fields, $GFI, Profits Jump on Higher Metal Prices

Gold Fields Ltd. (GFI), the fourth-largest producer of the metal, more than doubled its dividend for last year after benefiting from higher sale prices in rand.

The 3.30 rand (43 U.S. cents) a share payout is “the highest dividend yield in the gold industry globally,” Chief Executive Officer Nick Hollandtold Bloomberg Television today. Gold Fields will keep its policy of paying out half of earnings after growth capital is deducted, Chief Financial Officer Paul Schmidt said in a separate Johannesburg presentation.

The company was little changed at 125.90 rand by 2:08 p.m. in Johannesburg trading, valuing it at 91.4 billion rand.

“Dividend policy has been well-accepted by the market,” said David Davis, an SBG Securities analyst. “I’ll be paying attention to their growth pipeline and how it’s funded.”

Gold Fields, which mined about half its 3.49 million ounces of 2011 output in South Africa, targets 5 million ounces a year in production or development by 2015. It’s growing in Peru andAustralia and plans mines in Mali, Finland and the Philippines.

The company reported fourth-quarter earnings excluding one- time items rose to 2.65 billion rand, or 3.68 rand a share, from 2.11 billion rand, or 2.91 rand, in the previous three months, according to a statement today. The median of five analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg was 3.62 rand a share….”

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