Vanishing Inflation Bolsters Case for Fed Easing

By Pedro da Costa and Jason Lange

(Reuters) – It has only been a few days since the Federal Reserve adopted a formal goal for inflation, and already policymakers are missing their target.

The U.S. central bank’s preferred measure of inflation sank to its lowest level in more than a year in the fourth quarter, data showed on Friday.

Growth in the government’s personal consumption expenditure index, which the Fed now targets at 2.0 percent, dropped to a 0.7 percent annual rate, about a third of its pace during the previous three months.

Of course, the Fed aims to hit its target over the longer run and will be willing to look through often volatile food and energy prices.

But even stripping those costs out, the inflation rate fell sharply to 1.1 percent over the past three months, a potentially troubling sign that the trend is not the Fed’s friend.

With unemployment still at an elevated 8.5 percent, Friday’s data could buttress the case within the central bank for taking new action to boost the economy.

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