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Monthly Archives: April 2011

Smaller homes and renting increasingly popular

An increasing number of Americans are opting to buy smaller homes or even rent, experts say, as uncertainty about the struggling housing market, energy prices, and a lackluster domestic economy persists.

“Despite home prices that have really rolled back about 10 years and historically low interest rates, buyers are cautious for a variety of reasons,” says Stephen Melman, director of economic services at the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). Beyond general anxiety about the strength of the economic recovery and foundering home prices, concerns about rising energy prices and limitations on mortgage interest deductions have would-be home buyers reevaluating their priorities in potential homes.

“Home buyers are thinking, ‘Maybe we don’t need that 7,000 square foot home like we thought we did in 2004 or 2005 when the market was approaching its top,'” says Paul Bishop, vice president of research at the National Association of Realtors (TSXV: NAR.V).

Only 9 percent of consumers surveyed said they wanted a home 3,200 square feet or larger, according to a recent study by the NAR, while the majority of house hunters–about 55 percent–preferred homes in the 1,400 to 2,600 square-foot range. Builders also plan to scale back new home sizes as well, with 9 out of 10 builders expecting to build smaller, lower-priced homes in the coming years, according to a study by the NAHB.

Despite the drop in desired median home square footage, Melman says it’s not so much a matter of downsizing as “right-sizing”–forgoing larger homes with unused space for smaller, more efficient and well-laid-out homes. Americans are reconsidering the notion of financially stretching themselves to the limit to purchase a large home. “The trend here is shelter value,” he says. “Affordability is driving the decisions. If you buy a home that’s a little bit smaller, that’s one way to get some control over energy costs and the overall costs of the home.”

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Corn the next silver?

Kicking yourself for missing the boat on silver, but still hungry for something to sink your teeth into? Well, at least one adviser has entered the hallowed halls of Breakout to make the case for corn.

That’s right. The Reformed Broker Josh Brown says if the planets align correctly and a few other variables kick in, then the amazing beast that is corn could deliver another 60% upside. Now you’re all ears, aren’t you?

He says to forget the fact that corn has already doubled in the past year and is currently trading at record highs north of $7.60 per bushel. Instead, he suggests you look at a weather map showing a soggy middle America that’s home to a lean inventories and a small, wet and delayed crop.

Then spin the globe around, find China, and jot down the words “net importer” — and therein lies your formula for Brown’s prediction that corn could rally to $12.

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Silver traded heavily over past few days

As most of you could have surmised yourselves, the volume of silver and silver contracts traded over the past few days has been some of the highest levels witnessed.

Over the past 48-72 hours, trading in SLV has overcome trading in SPDR.

Day traders “are going crazy,” says Joseph Saluzzi, co-head of trading at brokerage firm Themis Trading. “It’s typical of the bubbly speculation that’s been going on in silver.”

On Monday, trading in the silver ETF was especially heavy, as silver prices soared to new 31-year highs and approached $50 an ounce. Silver is up 46% this year, part of a nine-month rally. The heavy ETF trading continued on Tuesday, as silver prices retreated.

The volume traded of SLV on monday was around 189 million shares, a record to date. On Tuesday, 125 million shares traded hands.

Silver has been in a slide over the last few trading days, off from its 52 week high.

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“Firming to Moderate”; Begs the Question of Double Dip

The FOMC changed their language on the economy from firming to moderate growth. This is a step backwards and one must now ask again if we are headed for a double dip ? This article came out this morning, but is appropriate given the FOMC statement.

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No Change in Interests Rates; Fed Plans To Keep Monetary Policy in Place

economic recovery in place and at a moderate pace,

inflation has picked up, but underlying prices subdued,

FOMC will keep a close eye on inflation,

labor market improving, unemployment still elevated,

will regularly review asset positions

voting was 10 to 0 on latest decision

rates will remain low for an extended period

noted higher increase in oil prices…..

Full article

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James Puplava: Inflation Disguises Economic Weakness; Flags Flying Over U.S. Stock Market

Bert DohmenThis week on the Financial Sense Newshour, Jim Puplava welcomes back Bert Dohmen of Dohmen Capital Research and the Wellington Letter. Bert is president and founder of Dohmen Capital Research Institute, Inc.(DCRI). He has achieved an international reputation for his expertise in forecasting the major investment markets, interest rates, and economic trends. Bert Dohmen is known as a Fed watcher and a contrarian. You may have seen him on Louis Rukeyser’s Wall Street Week, CNN’s Moneyline, or CNBC Financial News Network. He is frequently quoted in The Wall Street Journal, BARRON’S, Business Week, and other leading publications.

He was ranked one of the “Top Ten Stock Market Timers” (including a number one ranking.) Bert Dohmen’s Wellington Letter was rated #1 in the United States in a national survey by Futures magazine.

This week Bert speaks with Jim Puplava about how inflation disguises economic weakness and how the warning flags are flying over the stock market at current levels.”

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Oil Subsidies Cut Could Raise Oil Prices

Oil companies get $4 billion plus in tax breaks or subsidies for capital equipment costs. Some argue these are depreciating asset write offs anyway so subsidies should be taken away.

Perhaps they can be given to startups and smaller companies while the majors or anyone cash flow positive not receive such breaks…..

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