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Articles of Impeachment Drafted For Trump; Futures Slump

They say the real reason for the -40 points off in the Nasdaq this morning is the delay in PHASE 1 of the China trade deal being signed. It will never be signed. But I am bored of giving credit to the China news and have come to believe that China isn’t even a real country anymore. I have convinced myself we can do without it and no longer need their factories to make any of our shit.

Today the Democrats will perhaps draft not one but two articles of impeachment, which should end us in the Senate for a show trial. Will Trump finally get impeached, arrested, and then executed for crimes of the highest order? No, as a matter of fact, he’ll probably get reelected because of these articles of impeachment, which leads me to believe something is amiss here.

Yesterday I bought 10 piece of shit stocks based on monkey dart throwing techniques. My cash is still at around 40%, so this sell off will do nothing to me. I am impervious to your market moves.

NFLX caught a downgrade this morning and the analyst says BEHOLD there will be massive subscriber losses in 2020. Do you think so? I don’t.

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I’ve Gone Out and Acquired a Portfolio of Shit

The market is boring and I have some big dicked gains this year, so I went out like a blind monkey and thew darts at a board and bought 10 shit stocks. My methods are clear: buy stocks that did poorly this year. I curated said list amongst different industries and made sure they had certain things I liked — and then I threw darts at the wall and selected 10 stocks.

Pretty simple. I am sure my Ape method of stock picking will defeat 99% of hedge funders out there, and 100% of IARs.

I haven’t eaten all day and have spent most of my time either at the gym, reading, or working on projects. It’s important that you understand Le Fly has been run ragged the past 5 years and moved down to N. Carolina, partly to relax — get away from it all. With the launch of Exodus 2.0 around the bend, my life will be turned on its ass again, so I am using this time for leisure. Pardon me as I blog once or twice less per day, or perhaps appear on the site a little later than usual. There was a time last year when I felt I was going to collapse and drop dead, which didn’t entirely make me feel bad; and THAT was the problem. If you don’t feel bad about suddenly dropping dead — you have a problem.

Maybe some of this stuff has to do with getting older. I am 43 now and I started blogging here in my 20s. Things look different when you’re younger — a fool running rampant with his dick out trying to show the world how big it is. There are complexities that go ignored and details that are never even noticed. I did not intend to get philosophical on you in a blog titled “I’ve Gone Out and Acquired a Portfolio of Shit” — but it happens sometimes. I do not plan my blogs and always write via a stream of consciousness.

I started reading a new book now, after finishing the lunatic nonsense called “Jurgen.” Jurgen was a 1920s smash hit and risqué for the time, a personal favorite of Zelda Fitzgerald. I enjoyed it thru 100 pages, especially when he cut off the head of his wife, but then it lost me in a nonsensical tale of fantasy. The book I am reading now is called The Long Goodbye, by Raymond Chandler. He all but invented the gumshoe detective, noir style writing — tough private eye on the beat punching people in the mouth for looking at him sideways.

The fascinating thing about Chandler, he started writing in the 1930s, after losing his oil field job during the Great Depression. He started writing at 44, which is old for a writer. He had a legendary career in spite of his lateness to the field and left the world with an impressive body of work.

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Extricated Myself from the Gillette Razor Racket

For thousands of years men have been shaving their faces with sharp blades. They cost next to nothing. Then in 1989 Gillette stopped making DE (doubled edged) razors in favor of their SHIT-BRAND disposable crap, accompanied by a marketing blitz that would change the face of men forever. Your Grandfather had it right and you’ve been brainwashed into believing spending $100 on replacement razors per quarter is normal. Fuck that.

I’ve always lamented the razor racket, having to pay fucking $40 for replaceable razors that were dull and cut my fucking face off when using them. Often times I’d avoid shaving, just because I hated the experience. Little did I know, I was being tricked and bamboozled into a brand of consumerism that is as ridiculous as it seems.

Nowadays, men shave their faces like morons, with this.


Absolute shit, absolutely

You wrestle with the fucking hard plastic casing, pull the fucker out, and shave your face as fast as possible, cutting and slicing the whole way. I sometimes feel like I need a blood transfusion after using one of those absolute fuckers.

Not too long ago I decided to investigate shaving and came across the DE razor again and decided to give it a whirl. First of all, the weapon is decidedly prettier.


INDEUD

Next, there is a ritualistic quality to it, unlike the rushed Gillette-Barbasol nonsense that we’ve been trained to adhere to. I bought some quality shaving cream (below), a god damned mixing cup, a brush, and some great aftershave lotion.


Not my faggot picture, fuck off

I’m not getting paid by any of the fuckers above, but tell you these things out of the kindness of my black heart. The net result will be, and believe me when I tell you this, a much closer shave, and infinitely more enjoyable experience. You have one fucking face — treat it good.

One thing of note, when using a DE razor, you cannot simply run the blade down your face like you would a Gilette. You’ll cut your face to ribbons like that. Might I suggest watching a short video on how to shave your face properly, using short strokes?

 

Thank me later.

Oh, did I mention the cost to shave your face just went down by 99%?

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The Biotech Run is Long in the Tooth; Time to Move On

This morning I presided over a position in BLUE go green to red, ended up booking me an 11% loss. If not for my position in ZM, today would truly be a doomful day. The run in the biotech sector has been terrific and profitable, but it’s long in the tooth and very likely to top out soon — leaving you there holding the bag.

Honestly, I have little motivation to add heavy exposure to the market here, currently 85-90% in cash. I am, however, looking at the trash heap of the market for bargains, which sometimes run higher after tax loss selling happens. There are a wide array of stocks down 20% or more for the year and maybe they’ll get their turn soon. Maybe not. One can never know for sure.

ENTER MORGAN STANLEY, actual fuck heads.

Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Michael Wilson writes that the brokerage still favors defensive, reliable stock picks and a choosier philosophy as investors look to 2020.

“We still think the greatest risk in the equity market remains in growth stocks where expectations are too high and priced,” he tells clients.

A healthy nonfarm payrolls print sparked a 337-point surge in the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Friday, with stocks closing just below record highs.

There is a healthy hatred of this market, so be careful barreling in sloppily into your Christmas tree.

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Assessing the Present Situation, Candidly

Several months ago all of you were tripping over yourselves to get some CBD stocks. Hedge funds sprang up out of the trash, procuring money from unseasoned wastrels. It was supposed to cure everything and indeed it did for a period of time, up until people got bored with it and sold everything. That’s the problem with fads or hot trends, they fade and with it the idiot class of investor grows wearisome and then retires back into bankruptcy protection. Let this be a lesson to all of you traders out there, attempting to earn a living by managing the letters and numbers — hot stocks are temporary phenomenons, always. Case in point, TLRY and BYND — from fags to fags — gone.

The past month has marked a resurgence in health care providers — which in turn has lit a fire in biotechs — another one of those hot sectors to sell into rallies. Aside from healthcare, tankers have gone up and other sub-par groups — casting technology stocks to the sidelines in many trading accounts. The lauded and praised SAAS sector has been left for dead, only traded a few times the past month with any notable strength. Semis have also been MEH in the big scheme of things, which leads me to my next question.

With all of these shit sectors running hot, are we nearing the top? Are we setting up for a January execution? It would not be the first time. I recall vividly during January of 2004 getting my brains blown out in semis, and then I made a crushing in January of 2008 when market capsized and went out for the count. Bear in mind, and listen to me now, the market of December is not the market you need to pay attention to. It’s the details that matter, when the real trading begins in earnest — January of 2020.

My best guess is for a rally, but as always, I am prepared for all eventualities. There is much to fear, after all. Balance sheets are leveraged as fuck, share buybacks are out of control, and there is a general complacency and malaise amidst the Wall Street elite. Why, I would not be surprised, or bothered in the least, to see several of their heads removed from their bodies, watching as they tumble down the cobblestones of Stone St, washed away with the blood of the greedy. There are so many great banana eating experts these days, fat slovenly men sucking the dick of an automatic bull market, pretending to have talent. Fuck you and your charts, Sir, they will mean nothing in the coming fires.

Happy Sunday.

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Citi Increases Target For $SPY, Warns of Higher Taxes, Regulations if Democrats Seize Power

This is all but declaring Trump the winner in the 2020 elections. Barring a last minute throw down by Hillary Clinton, it appears Trump is going to cut off the dicks of all democratic candidates, including Elizabeth Warren. I must admit to finding happiness in the fact that she’s still in the running, adding a little color to an otherwise all white democratic field. Unbelievably racist.

Citi is upping their targets for the S&P 500.

Citi raised its year-end 2020 S&P 500 target slightly to 3,375 from 3,300 because of the better gains this year versus its 3,050 objective for 2019.

The bank cautioned, however, that higher taxes and tighter regulation are likely next year if the Democrats win the White House.

A Donald Trump re-election would bring its own risks of unpredictable policy on trade, diplomatic relations and global order, the bank wrote.

“The elections backdrop remains a major uncertainty overhang, even though the last year of a presidential cycle tends to generate respectable returns,” Citi wrote.

We already know what Trump is going to do — fuck with China, cause newspaper sales to soar, and increase the importance of Twitter. In a Democratic regime, one could expect Greta Thunberg to be the Secretary of State and water pressure to decrease to a drip.

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An Era of Extreme Decadence is Upon You

Heading into today I had 90% cash and a little hedge via LABD. I closed it out today for a 3.5% loss and started buying stocks again. Does it make sense to buy when the market is +350, after being up 30% for the year?

Absolutely.

There is a ravenous appetite for equities now and forever. Each and every time it looks as if stocks might breathe and head lower — we climb effervescently towards new lurid highs and crush the bears into dust and urinate on their graves. There is no future in being a pessimist. If you’re a negative thinking fellow, cut it out or kill yourself. There is not enough room on this crowded planet for the likes of you.

Early next week I will get around to allocating the balance of my money into stocks. Quite frankly, there isn’t a rush because any time is a good time to buy stocks. You can buy them now or Monday, or maybe even Wednesday. If busy, you can even buy them on Thursday. Just try to avoid buying too much on Fridays.

My advice to you pal is to drink the Kool-Aid. You see it there all cold and red and glistening with sugar. I bet if you picked it up and took a sip you’d like it. No point in fighting realities any longer. Trump is your Emperor. Russia is our greatest ally. And the stock market is going higher forever and ever and ever.

If you say “TOP” after reading this post, God will strike you down and kill you.

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Financial Engineering FTW

I read an article a few months ago about a Goldman BallSachs analyst warning investors that share buybacks would slow to “only” $700 billion for 2019 and how it might hurt stocks. I suppose this fellow thinks buybacks in the order of $1 trillion per annum is normal. Needless to say, he was wrong, naturally. Markets have soared, funneled through the prism of financial engineering — which is boosting profits for the sake of profit. Nothing else or more.

Take for example the case of Target, one of the few survivors in the wars against Amazon. The stock is up 90% in 2019. What is driving the stock?

Look at the shares outstanding, sinking every single quarter due to buybacks.

 

Revenues have inched up, good, but not worth +90% for 2019.

Dividends, thru the roof, courtesy of higher profits — thanks to SHARE BUYBACKS.

Earnings edged up.

So how did we get here? Cheap AF money. Apple has over $100 billion in debt, for no reason at all. The company can bootstrap any engineering they desire, at $13-15b per quarter in profit, but choose to borrow money because it’s cheap and because they want to buyback their shares, which reduces share count and increases EPS. It’s complete horseshit, but it won’t end until either the economy crashes or rates go up.

In Exodus 2.0 aka Stocklabs, all of these tools will be available to subscribers.

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Unemployment Sinks to 3.5%; America Adds 266k Jobs During November

These are really annoying numbers. Unemployment is now 3.5% and the economy added 266k jobs during November, way ahead of the 187k expected.

How am I supposed to see an apocalyptic decline with the economy booming like this? Perhaps when they impeach and execute Trump, we might see the VIX rise a little. But aside from that, the China trade war is having ZERO affect on us, which makes me think about liars and how they sell stories to fit narratives.

The Chinese economy isn’t growing nearly as fast as they say and our dependence on them isn’t nearly as much as they say. The problem with liars is they always get caught. The issue for everyone else is it diminishes the structure upon which society has been molded around. With that goes confidence and adherence to the law. Dangerous stuff to play with.

Futures are up. The economy is ripping. Happy Friday.

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90% Cash, Sitting in the Tall Grass Waiting for Meat

The easy kills have been made in biotech. Let SAGE be a stark reminder to all of you. Tomorrow isn’t promised, even though you’re presently living in the halcyon days for investors — a period in time when financial engineering ruled over markets. People slaughtered and cast out into the cold to make way for efficinecies — auto-this and auto-that — paving the way for greater earnings which are then used to reduce the amount of shares outstanding to produce nothing at all but more profits. And the cycle continues. Meanwhile, all of the good paying jobs are in coastal cities, denizens of ill repute — beleaguered by expensive real estate and food — which is the result of a top 1% of income earners doing very well. Very well indeed.

At the core of all this inequity is the Fed, shoveling their cheap money into the coal powered fires. It’s easy to sit here and critique when the alternative is desperation and the end of everything we hold sanctimonoous. But just know this, as you sit there bridled by your gains and luxurious settings, nothing is evergreen but death and change. What is good now will sour tomorrow. The march is civilization is noisy in the present but silent from afar. I suspect it’s natural for me to believe it’s going to end soon, the bull market, due to my internal desire for my own life to mean something. But there truth laid bare is easier to understand, harder to digest. No one cares about your existence more than you — so be mindful of that and be mindful of the fact that bull markets can last a very long time — much longer than you think.

For now, I wait, 90% cash.

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