iBankCoin

Citi to Writedown 24 Bill/Market Set to Surge

In retardo land, when your biggest bank is being rumored to have lost 24 billion big ones, betting on degenerate lotto tickets, stock futures go up.

Of course, there is a “ton of good news,” mainly circled around the [[IBM]] chuck wagon. Then, we have other “good news” out of [[SHLD]], fucking itself again, getting ready to dive down another 10 spot.

What’s another 10 spot between friends? After all, aren’t we all friends with Cramer’s buddy/pal/money manager Eddy Lampert, CEO of SHLD?

Considering the severe oversold condition of the market, investors are piling into this “good news” environment, scared to miss out on some important sea change & shit.

With my currency, I’d rather buy cheap whores and vodka, than try to hitch a fucked ride on the “guess who will lose 15 billion plus tomorrow” shit train.

Aside from that, [[AAPL]] looks ripe for a bounce, going into Macworld.

NOTE: Today is Lindsay’s last day hosting Wallstrip. She did a great job hosting the show. I wish her the best. The new host will be Julia Alexander. Another win for Howard and those CBS fuckers.

UPDATE: I have meetings to attend. However, before I leave, I’m calling this bounce dead. Sell it twice and buy some [[FXP]], if that’s your style. [[CHL]] cannot get a deal signed with AAPL. They’re all assholes at CHL.

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How Much Lower Will We Go?

Most of you aren’t worth the ketchup on my meatloaf. Keep in mind, when I say “most,” I mean professional money managers, alongside pedestrian gaytraders.

Anyway, the zillion dollar question (not to be outdone by low-end trillion dollar questions) is: How low will we go?

I can tell you this, very simply: When the markets dip in January, they DO NOT recover right away.

Also, it’s worth noting, the fucktarded theory that states ” the market always goes higher in January,” enabling investors to celebrate by “sparking blunts,” is a misnomer.

As a matter of fact, thus far, during the 21st century, January has been an abysmal month for longs.

One thing is almost a certainty, based upon past Dow Jones performance data: when the market starts the year firing automatic rounds at bulls, it fucking dives.

Dating back to 1970, the market has endured some pretty fucked “January effects.” Take a look:

What you low ranked wrestlers know is “the market is getting killed.” However, what you don’t know, we are going significantly lower. Not because the average dip, based upon bad market starts over a 38 year stretch, is -11.5%.

Nope.

In my opinion, the economic troubles that we face today are unprecedented and deserve a “special decline.”

Keeping in mind past occurrences and utilizing time machine data, I say the DOW will get clipped to the tune of 13% by April, with hardly any real rallies or bounces. That’s almost 3x the current decline.

Do you think this is pain? You’ve not seen anything yet.

The game plan is simple: get short.

NOTE: This is your last warning.

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Proof of Time Machine

Back in late December, “The Fly” warned you (internet leech) of pending doom, yet you did nothing.

Look you, “The Fly” doesn’t have time to fuck around with destitute poor guys on the internet. I do this for fun and “unfun.” Through internet ads, I make enough money to put two weeks worth of Monster Energy Soda in my refrigerator.

As for today’s trading:

Crazy people were buying financials today, due to takeover chatter.

Rubbish.

You need to understand the reason why these banks are consolidating. It’s out of fear of collapse, not desire of making money. In short, these deals are bandaid solutions to a much bigger problem.

With my money, I want to sell short [[LEH]] and the big banks, via [[SKF]].

Now, even though I believe we are in a bear market, there will be bounces. For example, I would not be surprised to see the Fed do a surprise rate cut on options expiration day. They’re fucked up like that.

Or, on the news of further consolidation, the banks can run another 10%.

However, at the end of the year, the Nasdaq 100 will give up last years gains of 18% and more. So, use the rallies to sell longs.

As for [[DECK]]:

When the Great Depression part II comes, the only use for Uggs will be food. Hot chicks will have to eat their fucking boots, due to their lack of funds to buy over-inflated groceries.

NOTE: In case you didn’t know, this was the worst start to a new year, ever.

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Fly Sell: LEH

I sold short 2,000 [[LEH]] @ $57.86.

Disclaimer: If you sell short LEH because of this post, your neighbor will piss on your garden. And, you may lose money.

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Fly Buy: SKF

I bought 2,000 [[SKF]] @ $111.

UPDATE: I bought another 2,000 @ $110.50

Disclaimer: If you buy SKF because of this post, Angelo Mozilo will buy your company. And, you may lose money.

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Bull vs. Bear

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qvx7oXqiaMM 450 300]

Bull loses an arm, unfortunately.

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Waiting For a Bounce Can Kill You

Talking with investors, I can tell you, everyone is waiting for a bounce, in order to blow out of their longs.

In theory, waiting for your stocks to trade up, prior to selling them, is a fucking great idea. The only problem: they may not bounce.

Bear markets work like this:

You get into a stock and immediately lose money. Then, on a minor bounce, you almost get back to break even, then BAM: off with your head. Before you know it, the stock is down 30% and you become a long term investor, due to asshattery.

Instead of living out this life of mediocrity, be proactive and blow the fuck out now, instead of waiting around for Mother Market to break your jawbone.

Naturally, we all want to be optimistic and see stocks trade up. However, unfortunately, from time to time, stock markets go lower, effectively wiping out countless hopefuls.

With my money, I am liquidating some stocks in my portfolio’s and buying more inverse ETF’s, specifically [[REW]] and [[FXP]].

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