50 Basis Points for You Gamblers

I hope it’s obvious to you by now. The Gov’t is trying its best to walk this fucker (market) up. 125 bps in one week is nuts.

Essentially, Bernanke is making monetary policy, while smoking blunts. Should the payrolls data be better than expected, the shorts will be southern fried stupid.

Just in case, make sure to have some high quality longs in your portfolio to offset your shorts.

With my money, I will probably buy a little stock towards the end of the day, providing the market doesn’t give up all of its gains.

Don’t get whipsawed by the initial reaction to the FOMC decision. There is no way of knowing which way the market will go, after Ben shaves his beard.

Many times, the market will shoot higher, then collapse—or vice versa.

The smartest thing to do is wait until 3:30 to place a trade, despite risking the initial move.

The obvious beneficiaries of a rate cut are the banks, retailers and homies. However, since they have run up so high, I’m afraid they will run out of steam, quickly.

Currently, I have a cash horde, which I will deploy once I am certain of the market direction. For now, my bias is to the downside.

On weakness, I will buy more [[SKF]], [[REW]] and [[SMN]]. And, sometime soon, I will double up my [[LEH]] short. That fuckers is nuts.

On the long side, I might buy [[RIMM]], [[AAPL]] or [[VMI]].

In short, I have no burning desire to do anything, due to economic weakness, coupled with market strength. It just doesn’t add up.

Sometimes the best trade is to do nothing.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=utSnF8_NcYc 450 300]

FINAL UPDATE: The winner just emailed me and declined the prize. Also, he was a bit delusional.

First one to email me wins. There, it’s settled.

Let us not let the FOMC meeting overshadow iBC’s “Platinum Party.”

As you can see, the 40 ounces of Colt 45 are in the fridge and the spare handguns (just in case someone disrespects your hood) are near the Bernanke chia pet.

To celebrate iBankCoin’s 1 millionth page view, “The Fly” will be sending a “Monster” gift of choice to the lucky leech who is number 1 million. However, it’s worth noting, I can only see the location of the leech, and not the actual person. So, you may need to help confirm.

If you didn’t know by now, “The Fly” has “connections” at [[HANS]].

Finally, with regards to the market, GDP growth of 0.6% confirms the danger we are in. Soon enough, the economy will be printing negative GDP growth and banks will announce a fresh round of losses.

God willing, of course.

Developing…

NOTE: I am a spectator until the Fed decision.

Garbagio sectors are on fire, since hitting the lows in January. Now, if the U.S. economy is heading into recession, the banks, retailers and homies are triple sells. The only way the mentioned sectors go higher, or sustain current levels, is reliant upon unbelievably positive economic data, starting with non-farm payrolls on Friday.

While it’s true, the media is reporting the recent gains in dogged out sectors; they’re not elaborating how much they have run, since the lows.

The following is percentage gain data, in select financials, homies and retailers, since the lows of two weeks ago:

Financials

BAC +26%

JPM +26%

C +25%

WFC +34%

ACF +51%

COF +48%

WM +68%

MBI +137%

ABK +198%

AIG +15%

RDN +65%

WB +33%

MTG +72%

UBS +16%

GHL +24%

MS +16%

MER +21%

LEH +27%

ETFC +98%

BSC +34%

FIG +38%

BX +10%

LAZ +23%

IMB +126%

Homies

PHM +73%

RYL +52%

KBH +70%

TOL +45%

BZH +88%

VNO +17%

BXP +18%

DHI +72%

LEN +58%

CTX +52%

SPF +136%

HOV +94%

MTH +25%

WCI +259%

SPG +17%

EQR +23%

CBG +20%

SLG +18%

Retail

SHLD +23%

HD +25%

LOW +30%

M +29%

JWN +35%

COH +35%

RL +22%

BBY +14%

JCP +33%

KSS +19%

SKS +27%

HAR +22%

TIF +18%

GES +22%

UA +28%

AEO +35%

ARO +22%

CC +57%

BBBY +24%

Feel like diving in here?

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jAG6_SzZSDg 450 300]

I was out towards the end of the day; so I was unable to watch the egregious losses in my stupid inverse etf’s—which infect my holdings.

Unfortunately, for the bears, the market sentiment has shifted dramatically, as bad news is good news and good news is good news.

What’s important to note is the Fed’s desire to keep stock prices higher, in order to skirt a negative wealth effect. They will not disappoint wall street, for fear of a precipitous drop in stocks.

Therefore, “The Fly” may throw a few longs on the barbie tomorrow, prior to Bernanke’s decision.

Aside from monetary action, the financials, including the monolines, are on fucking fire, with “ricockulous” gains in [[WM]], [[BSC]], [[MBI]] and [[ABK]], as of late.

If we have seen the bottom, expect the market to trade up until late March. In other words, all of you overzealous bearshitters will be fucked, shortly.

UPDATE: [[YHOO]] blows again!

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3JnVHUM12zk 450 300]

As you know by now, all the important people, like Dennis Kneale, sold out of all their internet stocks, for low-grade bank plays.

Aside from that, I’m not sure what the fuck is going on, but [[BIDU]], [[YHOO]], [[GOOG]], [[AMZN]], [[EBAY]], [[CTRP]], [[NILE]], [[OMTR]], [[VCLK]], [[OSTK]] and [[MNST]] are getting their fucking heads blown off.

Using that logic, one could make a strong argument that [[PCLN]] needs to get its head shot off too. After all, that stock is like 75 points over valued.

“The Fly” spits on PCLN from 100 yards.

Today, after the bell, the cow fuckers from YHOO will post their quarterly disappointment. I have personal experience dealing with YHOO; and they suck.

What’s odd to me is the current bullish sentiment in the market has decoupled itself from the net plays. Perhaps advertising rates are dropping off a cliff, as the writers strike continues and the mortgage market implodes?

Nevertheless, the sector is telling us something.

Are you listening, fuckface?