Oversold Bounce is Temporary

The market was looking for an excuse to rally. When [[BBT]] reaffirmed their 7% dividend, a short squeeze ensued. As you know by now, these rallies are to be sold. BBT is being reckless with capital. With demand for capital at a premium, why waste it via dividend? They can use that money to vulture around, buying quality assets on the cheap.

Something has to be said about managers who constantly focus on share price, instead of the underlying businesses. I mean, what the fuck are these guys smoking?

Time after time, these CEO’s end up looking like jackasses, via their erroneous share buybacks and lofty dividends. When will they realize, this is a fight for survival, not nice charts?

In other news, into this squeeze, I bought a block of [[WB]], as a hedge. If the market continues up, I believe it will print $20. Also, I might buy some [[MIDD]] here. The stock has been brutalized, beyond recognition.

For the most part, I am keeping my long exposure limited to a few stocks, for management purposes. I need to be able to blow out of them quickly, considering my bias is for further market weakness.

At the present, [[FTK]] is my largest position, with [[RIG]] not far behind.

My short positions are numerous, particularly in the regional banking space. Into this rally, I will look to sell more [[EWBC]], [[WTFC]], [[CSE]] and [[PACW]]. And, I may initiate short positions in [[CYN]], [[TCB]], [[SNV]] and [[FTBK]].

Be patient.

NOTE: “The Fly” is now up 50%, year to date.

I bought 20,000 [[WB]] @ $17.35.

Disclaimer: If you buy WB because of this post, you will find a roach in your coffee. And, you may lose money.

As you know, my “Five Reverse Horseman” of financial freedom are straight up money makers: [[FED]], [[CORS]], [[FHN]], [[DSL]] and [[PACW]].

In addition, recent bets against Chinese-American lenders have panned out with idiotic precision, avenging those who deny “The Fly” of robster, via [[CATY]], [[EWBC]].

Even small bets against funny ticker symbols, like [[WTFC]], work with robot slaves.

Now it’s time to bet against banks who have the audacity to pay out dividends. How fucking dare they?

Recent moves to eliminate dividends in [[KEY]] and [[FITB]] have resulted in quick deaths for those who are long in their retirement accounts. It is my belief, we will see a lot more of dividend slashing, to go with dilutive financing.

My new short list includes:

Now go play with your fucking charts.

What’s wrong with [[BBT]]?

Let’s count the ways.

BB&T is a financial holding company headquartered in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. BB&T conducts its operations primarily through its subsidiary Branch Banking and Trust Company (“Branch Bank”), which has branches in North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Georgia, West Virginia, Tennessee, Kentucky, Florida, Alabama, Indiana and Washington, D.C. Branch Bank provides a wide range of banking services to individuals and businesses, and offers a variety of loans to businesses and consumers.

During the first quarter of 2008, BB&T continued to experience challenges in the residential real estate markets and broader financial markets. These challenges resulted in significant credit deterioration during the quarter. Management expects further increases in nonperforming assets and charge-offs going forward, but continues to believe that those issues will be manageable.

BB&T emphasizes commercial lending to small and medium-sized businesses, consumer lending, mortgage lending and specialized lending with an overall goal of maximizing the profitability of the loan portfolio, maintaining strong asset quality and achieving an equal mix of consumer and commercial loans. For the first quarter of 2008, average total loans were $92.7 billion, an increase of $7.8 billion, or 9.2%, compared to the same period in 2007.

The following table provides a breakdown of BB&T’s loan portfolio as of March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007.

NOTE: At the time of this post, “The Fly” was short BBT.

Apparently, we were offline again. I had Vincezo fixing the servers with a hammer and screwdriver. He was saying some shit about a few loose screws. Nonetheless, for now, the site is operational. I know this must be of great inconvenience to you, not being able to “learn up” from “The Fly” on a minute by minute basis.

Tough fucking luck. Deal with it.

As for the markets:

I am making “extreme coin” on all of my bank shorts, especially [[CSE]] and [[BBT]]. Look at BBT’s balance sheet and come back here, with a straight face, and tell me they’re not fucked. I’ll punch your fucking eyebrows off for less.

Things do not feel right. The banks are dropping so fast, it’s alarming.

Look at [[JPM]], [[STI]], [[RF]], [[CMA]], [[FITB]], [[WFSL]], [[MS]], [[LM]], [[C]] and [[BAC]]. With all this carnage in the banks, I’ll be shocked to see the market hold up here. I’m selling with both hands.

Right now, aside from iBC server problems, I am  selling short [[EWBC]], [[WTFC]], BBT and CSE with impunity—based on valuation. Also,  as always, I like [[FTK]] and [[RIG]] here.

“The computer is a moron”.

–Peter Drucker

Click here for full story.

I sold short 30,000 [[EWBC]] @ $8.65, 5,000 [[CSE]] @ $14.70 and 5,000 [[SNV]] @ $8.80.

Disclaimer: If you sell short the above names, Bernanke will lower rates to 0%. And, you may lose money.

As you know, this Godly site was down all day, due to an unseemly event. Apparently, Vincezo (iBC’s 2nd tier IT guy) took an early lunch and left his bowl of pasta and gravy on the iBC servers. In addition, he left an open bottle of red vino on the adjacent shelf, directly above our server. In an odd twist of fuckery, the wine bottle fell off the shelf, onto the bowl of pasta and sauce, making a fucking mockery of our technology— effectively short circuiting our servers.

I’ll have you know, Vincenzo has been fined and told to never bring gravy into the cold room again.

In other news, I covered my entire [[CATY]] short, for a quick 13% profit, overnight. And, I sold out most of my stupid [[UB]] position.

In addition, I initiated a short position in [[EWBC]]. Those fuckers deserve to be drilled. I see the stock hitting high 4’s, by July 4th.

It looks like the market is trying to rally here, with financials paring losses. I will not buy into this crock o’ shit. Instead, I will sell short more, at higher prices—God willing.

Finally, I heard another rumor about [[MVIS]] yesterday. But, I refuse to share it, since this “source” has sucked balls, for about 1 year and counting.

Top picks: [[FTK]], short [[EWBC]]

I sold 10,000 [[UB]] @ $42.60.