MS, BAC, EBAY, VMW and FFIV are doing well post earnings. Actually, as a whole, about 80% of companies are beating expectations. Nonetheless, this game isn’t about earnings, unfortunately.
When I woke up this morning S&P futures were +9 and Europe was up more than 1%. By the time I sat down to eat, things reversed, spearheaded by the drunkards in Spain, completely voiding the rally that had sustained while I slept. This is terribly chagrining, especially since the root of the problem isn’t going away.
When LTRO was launched, markets rejoiced because Greece and the European banks had been saved. But now the bond wolves are clamoring for Spanish and Italian blood. I’m afraid they will not stop until they get it. Now the end result will likely be the same: more bailouts, more liquidity. However, before we get to that, we need to deal with now.
Spanish yields and CDS are creeping higher and their fucking stock market is shit. It’s only a matter of time before this becomes a major topic of discussion, just in time for the cocksucking month of May.
Yes, it’s true, I was buying MLNX sub $20 and was praising them before Ellison bought in. It’s also true that I sold out, like a pussy, before the run. There is a conundrum when dealing with the complexities of macro market timing: you miss out on good ideas due to fear. Well, the only way to deal with that is to accept volatility and potential downside in favor of dollar cost averaging. The only way to effectively conduct such a strategy is to possess ample cash reserves, especially before the market declines–something I lack.
In short, the game has changed and the hunters have become the hunted. But it’s important to remember, good ideas are always worth their salt. A delicate balance must be adhered to in order to participate in the upside, while trying to avoid the murderholes of the market.
Remember what I said: the best time to buy a winner is anytime.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-MzrAGZHDvo
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