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Monthly Archives: May 2018

Here’s Some Data For Your Trading Addiction

Here’s some data to get you prepared for the week ahead, courtesy of Exodus. You fuckers should be eternally grateful.

Here are stocks straddling the 200 day moving average. I know a lot of you are 200 dayFAGS, who love to buy stocks at this key support line. Some of these stocks might be breaking above the 200 day too. If I wanted to, I could simply screen for technicals and find out which one’s are strongest — but I don’t feel like doing it.

Here are stocks that produce a chart of consolidation. After fiddling with the moving averages, I’ve digitized what you cavemen search for in your 10 hours charting sessions in a click of the mouse. Here are stocks with nice charts. Again, I could further enhance this, and so could members of Exodus, but we don’t feel like doing it right now.

Here are stocks that really do well in the month of June. There are a lot of ways to skin this cat — I simply went for high percentage win rate and sorted by stocks with the most data. Looks like people like to get drunk in June.

Here are stocks that are short squeezing higher — ranked high in technicals with a large percentage of the float sold short.

Lastly, here’s an interesting exercise. I like to profile for what’s working inside the platform. On the issue of buying stocks that are heavily shorted, there is always debate whether or not these stocks actually do better than stocks that are not shorted. Here is the data.

All stocks, 5,000+: median YTD return +0.32%

Stocks with less than 10% of shares sold short: median return +0.29%

Stocks over 10%: Boom +3.12%

It’s with this sort of reverse engineering that I found the perfect combination or profile for investable stocks. This method is used in my quantitative strategies, posted every month.

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China Agrees to ‘Substantially Reduce’ Trade Imbalance — Bears to Get BTFO

Late last week all of the rumor milling had to do with China telling America to fuck off and how a deal was not gonna happen. We had Peter “Fuck China” Navarro out there — talking shit — cursing out people at the dinner table, and of course the Chinese Minister who roundly rebuked the report that China would slash the trade deficit by $200b.

Lo and behold, that’s exactly what the fuck is going on here. Peter and his “China Last” delegation has been showing slideshows of US military might and how we drop bombs on people for small shit — like looking at the US sideways. Our intimidation campaigns appear to be bearing some delicious fruit. The homohammers from CNBC, regrettably, now report that China is gonna slow their roll and reduce the speed by which they fuck the Statue of Liberty.

Source: CNBC (dick handlers)

China and the U.S. have mutually agreed to “substantially reduce” the yawning trade imbalance between the two countries, a joint statement read on Saturday, in a move that will involve the Chinese boosting more of what they buy from American producers.

Amid fears of a global trade war and rising tensions between the world’s two largest economies, both China and the U.S. have entered bilateral talks to bolster cooperation. In a statement issued by the White House, both parties forged a “consensus on taking effective measures to substantially reduce the United States trade deficit in goods with China.”

Just a day ago, both countries were sharply at odds over a claim, made by White House Economic Advisor Larry Kudlow, that China would move to cut its trade deficit with the U.S. by $200 billion annually.

Left unclear was exactly how much the Chinese would boost its purchases of U.S. goods. The Wall Street Journal reported on Saturday that American negotiators fell short in their efforts to get the Chinese to commit to an exact deficit reduction figure, with the two sides bickering all night over the statement’s language.

The trade imbalance has long been a thorny and intractable topic in the Sino-US relationship. Commerce Department data recently showed that imbalance between what China buys from the U.S. and vice versa hit a record in 2017 at over $375 billion.

On this news, I expect ancient wooden machinery to be wheeled into the city square first thing Monday morning. The townspeople will gather and dissidents will be rounded up for expeditious clippings from the dick guillotine.

Top picks: BILI, IQ, ZX

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Sadness Strikes at the Black Heart of Le Fly — the Streak Has Ended

My enemies are making scores of money in their SOXS positions, all at my expense. I am literally paying for them to laugh at me. Meanwhile, I just snapped my winning streak, like a cold, hard, pretzel, booting out of UCTT for a humiliating 10% loss. I had such high hopes when I bought UCTT. I envisioned myself out there in the woods and the winds, running freely amidst the gazelles — profiting from the hubris of others. Alas, it wasn’t meant to be. Instead, I sit here, downtrodden and sullen, sipping on lukewarm coffee, with tears streaming down my face (cue that music and shit below) onto the keyboard below.

God willing, said tears will cause an electric shock and put me out of my misery. What an ironic end it would be.

Meanwhile, I sold the BZUN earlier today — I am sure my enemies are getting into it now for the true move higher, as I am the Dennis Gartman of blogs — a curse and a insidious stain on trading turrets throughout the galaxy.

In addition to UCTT, I am getting face punched in BILI, ENPH, VALE, and even IQ. When does it end? Is it possible for profits to escape me once again? These questions, and more, shall be answered in a shocking Shakespearian revelation during next week’s blogs, in The Fuckery of Fly’s Life — starring George “The Animal” Hamilton.

Over on the quant side of my investments, she is up another 0.55% — mocking me. I feel as if my robotic mind is purposely trying to cajole me into punching it in its face. How is my robotic mind trading better than my actual mind? Is it, perhaps, due to a chemical imbalance that leads me to ruin?

Tune in next week for these answers.

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Fly Sell: $BZUN

One cannot stop the progress of Le Fly.

I sold BZUN for +10%. Proceeds shift to cash.

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China Shoots Down Any Implication of Productive Trade Talks

In case you thought the US-Chinese trade talks were going swimmingly, think again fucked face. The Ministry spokesman just came out and denied the rumors that China would acquiesce to Trump and reduce its trade deficit by $200b.

Source: CNBC

China has not offered to cut its trade surplus with the U.S. by $200 billion, contrary to reports, China’s Foreign Ministry said Friday.

Ministry spokesman Lu Kang said that the claims were not true while speaking at a daily news briefing about the ongoing trade talks between the world’s two largest economies, according to Reuters.

“This rumor is not true. This I can confirm to you,” the spokesman told the press. “As I understand, the relevant consultations are ongoing and they are constructive,” he adding, without going into further detail.

Various news outlets, citing anonymous sources, reported Thursday that China offered to meet President Donald Trump’s demand of the trade surplus cut, which included increased purchases of American goods.

As a result, futures have gone lower — almost 33 Nasdaq removed from the national treasury.

Gold is down, copper is down, God damn it even oil is down. The dollar, however, is up — due to flight to safety. It’s starting to look like a do-nothing Friday is in the cards.

To be honest, the market feels like it wants to go away because it’s May. Then again, every time I get the idea to short stocks I get my cock chopped off. Maybe micro-analyzing each and every tick is overtly unhealthy for the human spirit. Perhaps we should eat more sandwiches, laugh more at weak people, and drink more protein shakes.

Happy Friday, fucked faces.

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OilFAGS Get in Here and Tell Me What’s Going On

All of the top stocks in Exodus are oilFAG related. Brent is trading $80, in spite of seasonality trends suggesting we should top out now. Downstream stocks are performing best, even though one might surmise the drillers should do best.

What the fuck is going on here?

Pic related.

As usual, 99.9% of you will have nothing to say — because you’re dumb and unable to converse you anti-social pricks. Had this post been about Blohnald Drumpfskins or Billary Claptin — you’d be spewing absolute shit, absolutely.

Fuck off.

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When I Sell $BZUN Tomorrow, Le Fly Will Be 5 for the Past 5

I am batting 1.000 over the past week and there’s nothing you can do about it. I intend to sell BZUN tomorrow, when it gaps open again, and place those funds into either more IQ or more BILI.

I tell you these things, in spite of your hatred for me, because you have small financial means and can do nothing to stop me. In your head, you’re winning, but you never actually stepped into the arena with me.

I will be 5 for 5 when I sell BZUN tomorrow and 6 for 6 when I sell BILI and 7 for 7 when I sell IQ — and there’s nothing that you or your stupid friends can do about it.

Good Day.

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Stocks Slump After Trump Says He Doubts China Trade Talks Will Work

Don’t worry gents, this is ‘the art’ of the deal.

If you cannot see the art, it is because you are not an artist, which is fine. Go back to your clay homes and make your family a giant pot of steamed rice and just wait for the artist to complete his picture. When he is ready, like magic, everything will be better.

In other news, Trump’s China hating guy, Peter Navarro, has been cursing out people left and right during talks. This is not art, but the stick that goes with the carrot. Trump tossing Navarro out there in the wild, with the Chinese, is like tossing a PTSD Vietnam vet into the jungles of Hanoi to discuss terms on a new private prison to be built for foreign nationals.

During one trade meeting at which Chinese officials talked at length about history and international relations, Navarro used an expletive in telling his Chinese counterparts he did not need a history lesson, according to a source briefed on the exchange.

However, another source with personal knowledge of the discussions said Navarro did not “curse out” Chinese officials and described the bilateral discussions as “cordial.” The person suggested that the story about Navarro started as part of a coordinated “shivving campaign” that points back to Mnuchin.

Navarro has problems with how Mnuchin has negotiated with Chinese officials, a source familiar with the discussions said. The person said Navarro took issue with Mnuchin canceling team trade discussions in Beijing and negotiating with the Chinese delegation himself. The trade advisor has also taken issue with the path of the talks, believing the Treasury secretary is not doing enough to protect U.S. intellectual property, the source said.

The Treasury Department did not immediately respond to a request for comment about the apparent tension between Navarro and Mnuchin.

The uncertainty over Navarro’s role clouds critical Washington trade talks between the U.S. and China, which follow a separate round of negotiations in Beijing earlier this month. The world’s two largest economies are looking to defuse escalating tensions that have prompted fears about heavy tariffs and a potential trade war.

In a statement Wednesday, the White House said Mnuchin would lead the talks, along with Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross and United States Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer. The White House added that “additional senior administration officials” would attend, but did not name Navarro.

On Wednesday, a White House official told CNBC that “Peter is going to be participating in the event” and he is “part of the talks.”

Trump has long pledged to crack down on China for alleged unfair trade practices and theft of U.S. intellectual property by Chinese companies. But he seeks to do so without retaliatory measures from China that threatened to damage the U.S. agricultural industry.

According to a list obtained by CNBC, China’s delegation in Washington includes more than a dozen high-ranking government officials managing the country’s central bank, agricultural policy and telecommunications industry.

Axios also reported that Navarro cursed out Mnuchin too, all part of the pageantry of good cop, bad cop, being acted out for the Chinese. The way it works is very simple: unleash Peter on them in a room with no hope of Mnuchin. Negotiations will be sideways, after 30 minutes of Peter telling the Chinese how much he hates them. Then, like a white knight from an evil bond film, Mnuchin will appear and save the day. The Chinese will take less, fearing Navarro might get his way and give them nothing at all.

‘Tis, the art of the deal, folks.

Markets were down more than 100, now off by just 60 on news of this article being rumored to have been written.

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Getting Long Solar Degeneracy

I like the fact that Californians are soon going to be FORCED to have solar panels on their new homes. This is the brand of authoritarianism that can make us a lot of money. I’m all about freedom, up until the point it gets in the way of making money. If we can simply strip people of their rights in an effort to make more money, I am with that too.

Today I wanted exposure to solar, due to high crude. I bought the top ranked stock in Exodus, top Sharpe ratio in solar: ENPH. You can do nothing about it. It will trade higher.

Early going, I am enjoying success of the wanton nature in BZUN. Also, I am eagerly optimistic, almost giddy, over BILI. With HUYA hitting $23 and the sector on fire, it’s only a matter of time before traderFAGS figure out BILI exists.

Watch and learn, son.

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Goldman: Tesla is Fucked, Company Needs $10 Billion to Remain Solvent

I’ve never seen a company being targeted like this. Elon Musk must be on some sort of banker kill list. Maybe he fucked one of their girlfriends, or perhaps stole some engineers from someone important. Say what you want about Tesla, it’s comical to see the media attempt to ruin them on a daily basis, showcasing each and every car accident, making it headline news, as if a fucking plane just crashed into the Empire State building.

Sure, Tesla needs cash — but has any of these losers bothered to look at the fucking share price?

This is a $50b company. They can raise $10b today in a secondary if they absolutely wanted to.

Here’s Goldman, fear mongering by pretending Tesla doesn’t have the immediate means to raise capital — tossing out a $10b number as if this were some sort of sub prime lending capital call.

Source: CNBC

“We believe this level of capital transactions may be funded through multiple avenues, including new bond issuance, convertible notes, and equity,” analyst David Tamberrino wrote in a note to clients Thursday. “We see several options available to the company to refinance maturing debt and raise incremental funds, which should allow Tesla to fund its growth targets.”

While Tamberrino was confident chief executive Elon Musk won’t have trouble acquiring the extra cash, the infusion will likely present its own costs. Issuing additional debt could weigh on the company’s credit profile, while supplying more stock or convertible bonds would dilute current shareholders.

Despite the forecast for additional capital requirements and a sell rating from Goldman, Musk insisted he has no intention of raising new money as recently as May 2.

Asked earlier this month if he’s mulling a capital raise, Musk simply said “no.”

“I specifically don’t want to,” he said on a conference call after Tesla posted first-quarter earnings that beat expectations.

Tesla finished the quarter with roughly $2.7 billion in the bank, down from a balance of $3.4 billion at the end of 2017. The persistent cash burn has kept analysts like Tamberrino unconvinced that the Palo Alto, California-based company can keep going at this pace without a larger financial cushion while short sellers keep the heat on the company’ equity.

Tamberrino believes the stock price will fall to $195 over the next six months, a 31 percent decline.

Great, more nothing. I can’t wait to see TSLA shorts roasted on a spit.

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