These motherfuckers are fixing to lose you a great sum of money again.
Year to date, cocoa is up 54%, mostly due to fucked up weather in Africa — coupled with the fact that hipsters are digging dark chocolate in bulk. Other commodities that are springing higher is Wheat +15%, Oil +13%, Corn +10%, and Soybeans +6%.
Face it. While you’ve been dicking around with MUH stocks, raw commodities have been the shit.
On the other side of the ledger, however, is Sugar -22% (blame hipsters), Lithium -15%, Palladium -11%, and Livestock -10% (kill all vegans).
After all of this horseplay, the sages from Goldman Ballsachs emerge to cast a great ruinous ruin upon your household.
Goldman Sachs strategists have become even more bullish on commodities and say the “strategic case for owning commodities has rarely been stronger.”
“We believe the macro backdrop for commodities is as good as we have seen in years, suggesting large allocations to the sector to benefit from such returns,” the strategists wrote.
The party will end when inflationary pressures help lay the ground work for a recession.
“History, however, suggests it will be a recession, potentially aided by the
inflationary pressures created by commodity prices that will end this commodity bull
market,” they wrote.Goldman Sachs commodities strategists, led by Jeff Currie, have been overweight commodities since 2016, but they see a solid backdrop for gains to continue as inventories decline and demand grows.
“Robust late-cycle growth is depleting global supply chains,” they wrote. “As the business cycle deepens and inflationary concerns push interest rates higher, cross-asset correlations with commodities decline and the diversification benefits of owning commodities rises with higher rates.”
Emerging markets could help extend the business cycle, giving global demand “more runway.” .
They also note that the geopolitical risks have risen in commodity producers Russia, Iran and Venezuela. Trade policy risks also add to the inflationary pressure in commodities.
I know what you’re thinking: ‘those are some evil motherfuckers out there, trying to take my cheddar again’ and you’d be correct. Well, not quite. It’s a conspiracy theory. There are two possible outcomes here: either Goldman is incredibly good and evil or incompetent and wrong.
What do you think?
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