Still All In

As you know, about 1 month ago, I announced that I was going “all in,” in an effort to forget about risk and bask in the glory that is the stock market. Since then, I am delighted to report, I have done quite well. As a matter of fact, my returns have been nothing less than stellar. Despite an affinity for “fad stocks” and “small winners,” “The Fly” has really throw the old wooden javelin through the old eye socket a couple dozen times since then, with wins in Sears Holdings Corporation [[SHLD]] , Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. [[GMCR]] , Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) [[CTRP]] etc. I will not bore you with the details.

If you’ve noticed, from time to time, when selling stocks, I sell 90% of my position, while leaving the other 10% to sit idle and collect dust, indefinitely. I do this for a reason. To be more specific, I only do this with large positions—names that I believe in, like Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. [[GMCR]] and Sears Holdings Corporation [[SHLD]] .

Let’s say, for example, I own $2 million worth of GMCR and my price targets were $80 and $100, $80 being immediate and $100 being a longer term number. Imagine that stock went up 20% inside of two shorts weeks, as unbelievable as that may seem, and I am faced with a decision: do I sell or hold? In the past, I’d hold onto the stock, thinking “hey this is great. My very own ATM machine. Instead of taking profits on this huge position of mine, I’ll go shave my balls.” But, after seeing this strategy backfire on me, one time too many, I decided to take action.

If the position is worth more than $2 million, and my immediate price target had been reached, I sell 90% of it and keep 10% (200k) until the long term target is achieved. This does two things for me: 1. I am permitted to take profits without worrying about “missing out.” 2. Because of such a quick win, I am permitted more than enough time to shave my balls, without worrying about my portfolios.

Holding a 200k position may not be very substantial for the deep pockets of big ol’ Bill Ackman; but the residual amount is still slightly meaningful enough to please little ol’ me.

The bottom line: I am still “all in” and raking coin, at the expense of you short selling bottom feeder motherfuckers.

Top picks: SandRidge Energy Inc. [[SD]] , Sociedad Quimica y Minera (ADR) [[SQM]] and Cummins Inc. [[CMI]]

NOTE: General Cable Corporation [[BGC]] is cheap.

As the new ice age sets in, thanks in large part to the invention of “the Hummer” automobile and the onset of global warming, it’s fucking cold outside. It’s not just cold here in NYC, but everywhere else—worldwide (sans hot places like Africa and shit).

Some poor people in Europe use encyclopedias to warm their homes, via a good old fashioned book burning. However, here in the states, we like to enjoy the luxuries of natural gas. As predicted, natural gas has risen from the grave and is now actively eating the brains of retards who short it.

To play this development, you can bore yourself to “red hell” and buy [[UNG]] . Or, if you’re like me (and I know you are), into making lots of money and shit, you can buy some individual equities.

Some of my favorite natural gas plays include: Arena Resources, Inc. [[ARD]] , GMX Resources Inc. [[GMXR]] , Ultra Petroleum Corp. [[UPL]] , Range Resources Corp. [[RRC]] , Southwestern Energy Company [[SWN]] , SandRidge Energy Inc. [[SD]] and EnCana Corporation (USA) [[ECA]] .

Howsoever, if gambling is your middle name and you like to bet on the ponies, like a degenerate OTB guy, take a peak at Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. [[NGS]] , NGAS Resources, Inc. [[NGAS]] , W&T Offshore, Inc. W&T Offshore, Inc. [[WTI]] and Endeavour International Corporation [[END]] .

Additionally, parts makers are always work a look, particularly when commodity prices rise. Within the space, I like Weatherford International Ltd. [[WFT]] , Dril-Quip, Inc. [[DRQ]] , CGG Veritas (ADR) [[CGV]] and of course Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] .

On a separate note, with the jobs market on the mend, don’t forget to put [[MWW]] at the top of your long term idea list. Other staffing plays worth a looksy are Robert Half International Inc. [[RHI]] , TrueBlue, Inc. [[TBI]] , Manpower Inc. [[MAN]] and good olde fashioned Paychex, Inc. [[PAYX]] .

Danny really kicks ass with this.

I swear on a stack of old Korans, I will publish this dictionary and make millions off of it, then use said millions to afflict pain and suffering upon random ham and eggers.

Pardon my slight tardiness in posting. I wanted to sit back and gawk at my positions a little longer, not so much different than a father watching an offspring win an Olympic medal (gold) for the first time.

My gains are north of 6%, year to date, and you are still a putz. Life is as it should be.

For the day, I enjoyed hideously fantastic gains in Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] , Sears Holdings Corporation [[SHLD]] , Lennar Corporation [[LEN]] , Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) [[CTRP]] , Mechel OAO (ADR) [[MTL]] , SandRidge Energy Inc. [[SD]] , AgFeed Industries, Inc. [[FEED]] and Cummins Inc. [[CMI]] .

On the front burner, I am interested in buying more Sociedad Quimica y Minera (ADR) [[SQM]] and initiating new positions in both Coinstar, Inc. [[CSTR]] and Neustar, Inc [[NSR]] .

Ultimately, I am just a one man coin printing press, whose only goal in life is to win and win large.

My cost basis is around $2.30, so I am not exactly enthralled with the stock. Nonetheless, with funding out of the way for 2010 and natural gas prices on the mend, there is a chance little old Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] can get their act together and offer shareholders a reason to stay long, by way of normalization of earnings.

As you can see, the stock price is recovering nicely today, up more than 20%. If the company can get back on track, and that’s a big if, I believe Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] can be my biggest winner of 2010.

Either way, with today’s run in the stock, coupled with my other positions boot stomping higher, I am up more than 6% for the year.

Needless to say, I am just getting warmed up.

I bought 5,000 Corinthian Colleges, Inc. [[COCO]] , north of $13.30, 3,000 Cummins Inc. [[CMI]] @ $47.80 and 10,000 Sociedad Quimica y Minera (ADR) [[SQM]] , north of $39.10.

Disclaimer: If you buy the above stocks because of this post, you will be carjacked. And, you may lose money.

I sold 90% of my Sears Holdings Corporation [[SHLD]] position, north of $89.

My new buys of Wimm-Bill-Dann Foods OJSC (ADR) [[WBD]] (Russian Milk) and Cummins Inc. [[CMI]] (Chinese Trucks) are paying instant dividends, via going the fuck higher. Despite the indices fagging out at these levels, my positions march higher. From Sears Holdings Corporation [[SHLD]] to Flowserve Corporation [[FLS]] to  Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. [[GMCR]] to Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) [[CTRP]] , they march higher.

You see people, “The Fly” is a very generous person. After all, he donates his time and “calculator brain” to the lowly people of the internet, on a daily basis, as part of Prezident O’bama’s government stimulus program. iBankCoin is a robust instrument of economic stimulus. You should never forget that.

The first week of January is the most important week of the year, in my not-so-humble opinion. It sets the tone for the entire year, revealing to the world what Wall Street really thinks of the market. Without equivocation, Wall Street wants higher stock prices and they want them now.

So get out there and throw a pie—filled with cherries—at your neighbors face and buy some stocks. If you have a mental disability and do not know how to pick stocks, join The PPT and smoke a cigar to celebrate your evolution.

Into this bull run, I favor Sears Holdings Corporation [[SHLD]] , Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) [[CTRP]] , POSCO (ADR) [[PKX]] , Cummins Inc. [[CMI]] , Wimm-Bill-Dann Foods OJSC (ADR) [[WBD]] , Mechel OAO (ADR) [[MTL]] , Flowserve Corporation [[FLS]] , Lennar Corporation [[LEN]] , AgFeed Industries, Inc. [[FEED]] , Corinthian Colleges, Inc. [[COCO]] and even Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] . As unbelievable as it may seem, the aforementioned securities are all current positions of mine, indeud.

Now be gone and sin no more. For the next time I catch you hanging out here, in that burlap sweater of yours, I will kick you down an empty elevator shaft, wheelchair and all.

Our app launched today. If you have an iphone, be sure to download the app here. Or, go to app store and punch in “ibankcoin.com the fly.” The keyword search function is a little gay, but so is Apple.

Beijing, China

If you are into industrialization, the above picture is the end result, particularly in Asia. Due to a perfect blend of not giving a fuck and greed, Asian cities are smog heavens, thanks in large part to horrendous emission standards. I know it’s very uncool to kick Chindia in the nuts, while a perfectly good America is around to kick; but I speak the truth. Our enemies from Asia are DESTROYING the planet, one truck at a time.

The answer:

Cummins turbocharger

Ahhh, what a delight! Cummins is your play on rising emission standards, dictated by EU III and EU IV.

Here in the states, emission standards are being buoyed by Government stimulus, forcing truck fleets to upgrade their diesel engines or be eliminated. Starting 1/1/2010, a multitude of cities and states enacted new laws that will prohibit bullshit trucks. For example, the city of Oakland is prohibiting trucks made earlier than 1993 from entering their ports (get the fuck out of here!), unless they upgrade their fucking diesel engines of course.

Who benefits, you might ask?

Cummins Inc. [[CMI]]

Cummins is the premier play on the resurgence of the U.S. trucking fleet, most likely to occur in 2h, 2010. And, more importantly, they derive 25% of their profits from Asia.

Think bullshit Foton light truck

Recently, Cummins inked a deal with Foton for 400,000 engines or 20% of China’s light truck market. And, they have a deal in place with medium-heavy truck maker, Dong Feng, where they own a 20% stake in the joint venture. According to estimates, the company should earn $3.65 in 2011, based on a U.S. truck order recovery and Al Gore pressing his boot heel on foreign nations to upgrade their smog machines, in an effort to kill less people via egregious air pollution.

Tag a 20 multiple on $3.65 and you have a $73 stock price inside of one year, aka 55% higher from here.