iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,445 Blog Posts

If Not For the Metals…

We’d be down more than 2% today. I know the metals do not hold the weighting to avoid such a decline. However, bulls look to those names as leadership. When the leadership is strong, bulls tend to hold onto their sell tickets. Look at the other sectors getting lit up today and ask yourself “does this make sense?”

Answer: of course it doesn’t, you stupid jackass.

I will make this simple for you. Europe is today’s boogieman. As a result, the euro is getting smashed to pieces, lending “apeman” strength to the dollar. The yen is powering forward, further destroying the entire country of Japan, Godzilla style. And, finally, TLT is ridiculous to the upside, as predicted by certain seasonality trends. This is a bad recipe for a rally. I am not ruling out a rally tomorrow. Understand me now, I am ruling out a rally for today.

My longs include FTK, iBN, C, BAC, GLW, GS, amongst others. I have decent exposure to financials and massive VXX positions. On a personal level, I am about 75% invested in TZA. The other 25% is cash, which will be reserved for dip buying opportunities. Essentially, you do not need to understand my methodology; but you must respect my pimp-hand–for it is strong.

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36 comments

  1. T MOE

    Still loving my ISLN baby.

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  2. Apocalypse Now

    The only way to describe our markets and therefore commentary regarding it is “manic depressive”.

    Why the volatility? Because fundamental investors and long term investors have left the building and have entered the bond bubble. Robot trading is 5 to 1 versus humans (HFT), and everyone is attempting to play the swing. This is why we have had so many 90% days up and down plus significant new highs and new lows (H. Omen) because of mass confusion between economic reality and talking heads manipulating market sentiment.

    Your dollar will be worth nothing in QEX^x, better spend it now!!! We are approaching the greatest depression, better save every dollar as everything becomes cheaper as the dollar strengthens in a low growth and low interest rate environment with global loans is USD where the dollar will be needed, crashing equity values and housing prices!!! Unusual uncertainty indubidibly, but this is ridiculous since these two commentaries are playing out almost weekly with the market gaining or losing.

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  3. FIG

    holy shit 75% in TZA. That is fucking crazy. Fly has prepared for the double dip.

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    • The Fly

      On the oversold, I was 100% TNA/FAS/UCO

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      • turd

        wtf dude. i did the TZA all in before you. totally jackin’ my style… obviously, i have to commend you on the better entry…. FIG, i suppose.

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  4. FIG

    does anyone know why Gold popped up this morning at 8:00am.

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  5. skogie1

    FIG, I assume he means that either A) he has currently purchased 75% of his planned purchase of TZA, or B) of his current holdings 75% is represented by TZA, which if he’s largely in cash could still be a fairly small position. If I am wrong and 75% of his total portfolio is in TZA then I agree, yeah, that’s fucking shit flinging crazy.

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    • FIG

      I think he means 75% of his portfolio is in TZA. He said he has 25% in cash for dip buying.

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    • speedius

      It is 75% in a personal acct – part of a highly complex, bareballs strategy.

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  6. Bullish

    Erin Burnett is about to use her pimp hand!

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  7. BKlounge

    “Essentially, you do not need to understand my methodology; but you must respect my pimp-hand–for it is strong.” – Classic!

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  8. hubbs

    Mr. Fly is right again… $TZA

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  9. needle dick the bug fucker
    needle dick the bug fucker

    FLY you did it twice in one day. Announce that you are buying TZA and boom the price spikes.. almost to the minute..

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  10. Le Fly

    My personal aggressive accounts exclusively trade the ppt oversold/bought ranges and are up triple digits this year. That’s all i will say.

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  11. I. Robot

    I can buy TZA and sell it via PPT instructions. Total automatic money making. However, Scott is not following the PPT for some reason.

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  12. Trading_Nymph

    Well, duh, we saw that coming….China closed 18 steelmills on Sunday and another 36 last night for about a month to end of the year. The China Billett prices spiked up along with Rebar futures on the Shanghai Futures cuz they think less steel mills means better steel prices in the future….but ahhhhh you still need Demand…and with over supply and slowing property and now buzz about slow down of autos…..this giddy guess could be a bit wrong…..but it explains the metals..

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    • Trading_Nymph

      and my fustration on Sunday night over china government messing with it all.

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      • Bullish

        So I take it you took a large metals position last Friday… Duh… the US markets have been closed since Friday.

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    • The Fly

      DUH NOTHING. Sorry Nmph, but you are a perma-bear.

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      • Trading_Nymph

        Well I am a perma bear cuz Shanghai Copper is a bubble that needs to pop…but the Metals being strong was just so fustrating cuz without China Govt action on closing mills , you are right FLY we would be down a lot more….Bullish…China acted when market was closed.

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        • Trading_Nymph

          Fly..the “duh” part was my fustration with the Metals being strong ….they shouldn’t be, if China would have stayed out I could have had more of a sell off.

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          • Spratleys

            Set aside the fundamentals for now; it’s a fuckery market, of the government type

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  13. john

    u trade like a monkey jumping back and forth on trees, im longer term bullish and medium term also, we are just a tiny bit overbought but overall taking the short side is a very greedy thing to do right now and is completely egotistical especially of you and the PPT

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  14. TraderCaddy

    Cornelius and Dr. Zaius (from Planet of the Apes) were pretty smart primates.

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  15. the real John

    Don’t listen to him. I’m 300% short with The Fly.

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