I have never seen the British pound down this much (5.5%) in one day. You can track the pound via FXB.
Without a doubt, there are many people stuck in the funnel today, trying to escape The Great Obama Crash of 2009. Howsoever, due to the conviction of the bears, via egregious selling pressure applied to the banks, there is no respite.
The losses in the banks, worldwide, are staggering. Look at RBS. Look at BCS. For the love of healthy hair follicles, look at BK.
Today the world is expressing their cynicism, with regards to the notion of “change” and “hope.” Despite the flowery rhetoric from President Obama, his actions, through appointments and stimulus proposals, suggest we are in for more of the same.
On days like this, it’s important to remember the people who got it wrong. Remember the mustard seed motherfuckers from CNBC and throw eggs at your televisions, whenever they appear on your bullshit goggleboxes.
Look, I’m more than happy to be in cash right now. While it’s true, it would have been fantastic to be heavily short, kicking old men down idle sewer pipes. However, 2009 is going to a very long, painful year for equity holders. There is no need to rush into a half hazard trade.
Looking at the banks, I have no desire to short them down here, nor go long. See, recent actions in the U.K. tell me that all major banks are subject to nationalization. Essentially, the equity of all banks are at great risk here. On the other hand, I am not crazy enough to short stocks, already down 50% intra-day.
If anything, towards the end of trade, I may buy 10,000 DUG or 5,000 ERY, due to XOM‘s retarded persistence in the high 70’s. That fucker deserves to be much, much lower.
Trade accordingly.
UPDATE: I sold out of VCLK @ $5.59.
UPDATE II: I bought 10,000 DUG @ $27.95.
UPDATE III: There is no need for “The Fly” to opine on today’s market close, since he is in a glowing state of “winship.” Instead, I offer you a little poem, written by none other than Karl Marx.
1. Abolition of property in land and application of all rents of land to public purposes.
2. A heavy progressive or graduated income tax.
3. Abolition of all right of inheritance.
4. Confiscation of the property of all emigrants and rebels.
5. Centralisation of credit in the hands of the State, by means of a national bank with State capital and an exclusive monopoly.
6. Centralisation of the means of communication and transport in the hands of the State.
7. Extension of factories and instruments of production owned by the State; the bringing into cultivation of waste-lands, and the improvement of the soil generally in accordance with a common plan.
8. Equal liability of all to labour. Establishment of industrial armies, especially for agriculture.
9. Combination of agriculture with manufacturing industries; gradual abolition of the distinction between town and country, by a more equal distribution of the population over the country.
10. Free education for all children in public schools. Abolition of children’s factory labour in its present form. Combination of education with industrial production.
The Fly is good!
I predict the Fly will soon be in the middle of Tombstone with both 6 shooters blazing as he takes the market to new lows with 3X ETF’s.
FIG
Re entered all my bank short positions. Short BAC too. BAC is cooked. Stock will be under $2 within 10 days guaranteed. There is no way they can survive with a $2.4 trillion balance sheet supported with 61.7 billion common equity. A 5% hit to that balance sheet and its game over for BAC.
And keep shorting WFC and JPM while they still have some meat on the bones. I don’t like to short stocks once they are under $10.
The Fly is the imaginary creature some people believe created the universe.
WFC?
OBAMA OBAMA OBAMA
“someone poisoned Kennedy”
If I have to look at that fat gut on the right side of screen any longer, I’m going to lose it.
Buy programs kick in? Everything just ticked on my screens. I’m looking to lighten up my ultra longs that I averaged down with…
GS is a bleeding bitch, much to my liking.
Fly wins again: http://www.ibankcoin.com/rcblog/index.php/2009/01/03/2009-stock-of-the-year/
Eh…nope. I must have hiccuped.
Ceasar- It was Fidel Castro. First JFK, and now trying to get Teddy.
Congress is being poisoned
Tomorrow will scream up at the open.
FREEEEEEEEDOMMMMMM!!!
Tomorrow should be ‘Defecate in your bank’ day. Drive up to the local branch of one of our big banks – WFC, C, BAC, JPM walk inside, pull down your pants, squat and leave a big steaming turd on the floor of a BAC JPM WFC and C branch. This great big turd is a metaphor for what you really think about our big banks.
Tell Obama my services are available
The lack of an oversold bounce is really quite disturbing.
“Obama watch your back”
The weight is hefty,,,, $ 685 “T”
Look at SWHC get it’s footing
volume picking up
The SPY can’t break 81
Didn’t the Pound get hit pretty hard in 1992 (I think) when Soros was shorting it big and going long the D-Mark (I think)?
Bulls shouldn’t worry. Hope and change begins tomorrow.
How does Ken Lewis still have a job?
CAP-
Now that was funny!
Whooooooooooo!!!
Burn you fucking bitch GS, burn!! Who’s your daddy
FLY: Tell me your gonna buy some stocks soon. I mean come on.
Even after America elects a Black Man to be President, it’s business as usual for the scum in society who want to perpetuate anger, raceism and cynicism.
from Drudge:
Benediction at Obama ‘s inauguration, Rev. Joseph Lowery: ‘Lord, in the memory of all the saints who from their labors rest, and in the joy of a new beginning, we ask you to help us work for that day when black will not be asked to get in back, when brown can stick around… when the red man can get ahead, man; and when white will embrace what is right. That all those who do justice and love mercy say Amen. Say Amen’…
The West Virginia Turnpike Authority has to be happy that Byrd is okay. More pork for them in ’09.
God’s bank, JPM, entering the first vortex of hell. Helluva rally on treasuries.
I just held my nose and bought more BGU and QLD. BAH!
Fly-
Do you have over the FDIC limit in BAC?
This would be the 8th time the S&P Banks Index has declined more than 10% in a single session since 1989. All of them have occurred over the past six months.
The index has had a habit of seeing these tremendous one-day declines, then recovering over a period of 3-5 days, then collapsing again. Here are the others, along with the 3-day forward return in the index:
09/22/08: -3.2%
09/29/08: +15.7%
10/09/08: +23.5%
11/19/08: +6.5%
12/01/08: +14.4%
12/11/08: +10.6%
01/15/09: ??
01/20/09: ??
all the rich and famous party on the inauguration … so they are absent to buy stocks … the offices and government departments are also headless this week … so down we go
Obviously, Obama abolished the PPT.
The only thing holding down the markets are the banks. Looking at the carnage in the banks, one would think we would be down 700-800 points on the Dow and a good 50-60 on the S&P. Banks are at new lows while the market is not. A sign that stocks are trying to rally and will eventually decouple from financials.
Can FAS go below 0????
Gonna be fun to watch it as a penny stock in a day or so!
“bail out my GE now”
I see dead people…oh, never mind, only bankers…
Where the hell is DEVILDOG? He must still be at the inauguration.
Bought some SDS @ 3:15 – Whitney and Rogers and Roubini have been blasting the banks for months, but they never did a good job of explaining why. The why is basically their assets mostly are going down in price – that’s all.
…fwiw…
.
should we come back to the temporary long side?
We may get some pretty nice death cat bounce from here
It is pretty funny to see all the top performers are Proshares Ultrashort Funds
I so badly want to by FAS right now at $7.64 but I don’t want any longs overnight. Oh well…
Can we close at the lows? Yes we can!
Bah…bought some anyway at $7.52 for a trade
Taking short profits, up 4% on day.
FAS will double….from $2 to $4 in a week or so.
I noticed today I’m living this vicious cycle; I lose money for a couple of days, get depressed but come back with more focus and a freer attitude, trusting my intuition, then after making money for a few days, I think holy shit I’m making money and I tighten up, get fustrated and end up doing stupid shit, lose money and it all starts again. Anybody else suffer from this or am I just a hopeless fucking idiot?
SRS and FAZ are insane today……….
Shrink’ I concur!
The Messiah had ordained this nastola selloff for Coronation Day, just to sow seeds of doubt in the non-believing doubting-Thomas’s and doubting-Fleas
He will save the world, yet …. for a spell
what a nice close today … worthy a man, who wants to prove he can clear out the Augean stables
Obama will send the market to zero so Americans can focus on real jobs like producing something of value rather than sitting around stock screens trying to make a buck here and there with the random fluctuations of some funny little numbers.
The FUCKERY REPORT;
for today,
CNBC just announced from the floor of the NYSE, “Some financial institutions may need additional capital injections.”
response = fucking duh……..
Looks like it isn’t just communism that only works in theory, capitalism also only works in theory.
The love between a husband and wife is always good to see. Obama will do well
Shrink, I concur as well!!!
Imagine having some of your money evenly spread across SRS, SKF & FAZ. 10k each position. Ask this guy how it feels…
Im going to go to the nearest greek gyro shop….
Uh…just curious…why the hell is Citibank still paying a dividend if they have no money? They should have cut to zero.
What do you people think about your tax dollars being distributed to Citigroup shareholders?
Ridiculous.
“Democracy is the road to socialism.”
“Democracy is a form of government that cannot long survive, for as soon as the people learn that they have a voice in the fiscal policies of the government, they will move to vote for themselves all the money in the treasury, and bankrupt the nation.”
fwiw…freakin’ SKF is UP a 100 points…
… in the last 10 trading days !
—————–
For those of you keeping score at home…
.
test
Steph: are you gonna deny them shareholder a .01 penny?
I throw pennies out on Tues morning trash .
UK is a Fortune Cookie…GBP is fucked as they will default on their debt…
Today 04:11pm
Citigroup Inc Cuts quarterly dividend to $0.01 v $0.16 prior
– payable on February 27, 2009 to stockholders of record on February 02, 2009
Cramer loses again.
half hazard?
I got lucky today…or unlucky depending on how you look at it. I was hesitant to be in at all but had a bearish view. I got in early and took mild profits before the speech. Once the SPX got below 815 I jumped in srs with both feet. At the end I had a nice taste of glory but looked back on the day as a whole making only half what I would have if I had been in at the close on friday.
The question is…where do we go immediately from here?
I know a lot of little old ladies that lost today, they are called 401K holders. Bottom line is if you won a little, you won.
http://www.nascrack.com
cut it out nascrack or catch a ban. If you want recognition, post in the fucking Peanut Gallery and shut the fuck up.
Obama Rally? Not so much.
Nascrackah — get yer own schtick.
________
Doesn’t Soros know that we count TODAY as his first day on the clock?
Fugger must’ve been asleep at the switch on the buy orders.
________
i was wrong…so far
Short BRK-A
nascrack is an excellent driver. lol
Fly Jr. – If the old man gets too ornery fell free to come over for dinner. It’s meatloaf night.
Bridge Bank: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bridge_bank
Karen Tso says “Bare-ack Obumma.”
ppt top 10 etf’s
No. Ticker Acc/Dist Price Perf. Rel. Strength Volatility Volume Final Score
1 DTO 5 5 5 5 3 4.41
2 SCO 5 5 2 5 4 3.86
3 MYY 5 4 2 3 5 3.71
4 UUP 5 4 5 1 1 3.56
5 REW 5 4 1 5 5 3.56
6 PSQ 5 4 3 3 3 3.56
7 SKF 5 4 2 3 4 3.51
8 SDD 5 4 1 4 5 3.51
9 RSW 5 4 1 4 5 3.51
10 EFU 5 4 1 4 5 3.51
Dylan Ratigan is a gumshoe.
what a complete assclown. He must get paid by the word
Fly Jr.
YOu bore me. I am sick of 90% of you commenting idiots. Therefore, you are banned.
CAP maybe you haven’t been reading any SEC filings lately, but these companies you presume are trying to rally are nothing but borrowed money; and where does that money come from?
huh, i’d bet the freakin’ financial sector. there’s no such thing as a separation from financial’s genius, because if financials crash, they sell out. unless of course you think all this mystical “money on the sidelines” is gonna appear and save your sorry ass.
2009, the year of “oh fuck, we’re still crashing?!”
Q4-good thing we’re a democratic republic then.
christ, can we ban political theory on these boards. if i hear one more quassi-philosophical comment comming from the psychophantic ass whipes spamming across these boards, i’m gonna punt a small kitten.
Fly,
You had to bring up Old Beardy, huh?
The latter aspect of point four is a warning to all the good people of this, the greatest site in all the internets.
Dylan Ratigan is a gumshoe.
He’s a private dick?
__________
Hey Fly is there any update on the release of the godly device known as the PPT?
Fly, Jr. Come on over for dinner until Dad cools off. Garlic mashed potatoes with Italian style meatloaf. We will send some home with you so Fly can have a midnight snack. Should help to get back in his good graces.
PPT is in beta now. I am making sure it runs perfectly.
Soon.
Did anyone else notice that oil went from $32 to over $40 (a 20% gain) while companies like COP and Suncor lost 7.5% and 17% today? Is this because all Western Currencies fell? Did currencies from relatively isolated economies surge while our interlinked ones all fell?
Are we all on a sinking ship and don’t even know it? Will the US print itself into oblivion ala zimbabwe or Iceland?
Answer = YES.
Then the gold standard comes back, strict lending practices, people get used to saving (after they starve for a few years).
How can the commodity/oil stock price diverge SO MUCH in a single day??
Fly,
does ppt run shit on the TSX?
go2mars.
you’re an idiot.
old oil contract expired. There is a contango in oil.
go2mars there are very large crude carriers (VLCCs) friggin’ elbow to elbow in the GOM, you want some?
I’ve been in cash since mid december waiting out the retest of last quarter’s lows before I go long on some stuff. I’m going to take a look at JPM’s behavior during the previous bear markets and look for correlations with market trends and try to time the bottom. Wish me luck.
Fly. Yes.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contango I had to look it up.
scum bucket bitchez,
I am aware of that. So there’s tons out there. Storage hubs the world over are to the brim, and there’s over 100 million barrels at sea waiting on future delivery. So why the fuck is the price going up when there’s a supply glut?
go2mars, they are saving it for lube. You are going to need it.
omfgitsjd.
Very helpful. Thanks Dickhead.
WTF??
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/rwtcd.htm
Never mind, you’re talking about the january expiry, I got it. Hey they either have to take delivery or roll it over.
delete
ALL HAIL THE MESSIAH! He has already enriched my account! Thank you Mr. Obama.
This just in:
DEVILDOG bought the state of Texas.
Developing…
Juice – the time to short SKF and FAZ is close at hand. I think SKF may just make it to $300 and FAZ to $150 but a very strong reverse will occur, either this week or next. Just keep your eyes peeled.
Early October – SKF went from $210 to $110 in 3 trading days.
Late November – SKF went from $300 to $130 in 5 trading days.
Late November FAZ went from $200 to $60 in 4 trading sessions.
The way I play these reverses is via selling naked calls. If SKF is at $250 , sell a $150 call .
If one wants to start shorting prior to the reverse, buy FAZ and SKF and sell covered calls with the same expiration. e.g. buy SKF @ 200 and sell a $200 call for $40. Then place a stop on SKF at $180.
http://www.raptureready.com/rap16.html
Historically , Dems inauguration years are up huge because people buy into hope mongering.
But historically inauguration has not corresponded with Banks insanely bad investments imploding.
OK, so I took a look at JPM during the 2002 market bottoms and JPM coincided with the market bottoms very nicely. It was the week of Jul 23, 2002 when JPM took it’s first major nose dive after eratic volatile behavior (ring a bell?). Then it rebounded for awhile and then dropped again more severely (10% further) the week of Oct 9, 2002 which was 2 1/2 months later. It then ran up for awhile until it’s third drop the week of Mar 25, 2003.
This whole thing looked like a reverse head and shoulders with six months between the shoulders. After that the DOW and JPM reflected a bull market.
correction, eight months between the shoulders.
I couldn’t agree more, the market’s reaction was a clear response that few believe the bigger government policies that Obama is pushing will help our economy. In fact, like you, i would argue that they are doing the exact opposite: http://www.squawkingtech.com/2009/01/why-the-market-dropped-on-inauguration-day-the-psychology-of-short-term-economic-planning/