iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
20,626 Blog Posts

Kill the Bear!

I don’t have much time to spend with you internet leeches. As you know, when the markets go up, “The Fly” is busier than you, banking profuse amounts of coin.

Thus far, today’s action is telling me the bears want no part of this market. The pendulum has swung—they are now on the run.

Instead of letting them get away, I suggest trying to kill them, via going long stocks with big short positions.

Short term, I anticipate squeezes in BWLD, VMI, LFT, FMCN, VMW (already underway), HANS and FTK.

As far as rolling dice is concerned, CFC looks good for a bouuncy bounce.

Off to do “way more important things.”

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49 comments

  1. Dinosaur Trader

    Check the Peanut Gallery.

    I win again, JJ.

    -DT

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  2. big snacks

    i like the cfc idea.. although i would rather own cfc-b as opposed to the common.

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  3. Bison Burger

    No one shorts LFT.

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  4. Woodshedder

    When you return, the market will be red.

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  5. Steve

    Wood, you’re a technical guy. Why do you ignore the bullishness of the S&P chart?

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  6. WildWestie

    King of the shorts is NTRI. Over half the float, up to 18.2M shares shorted, 34.3M outstanding.
    Fly, you like that for a squeeze? After all, they do have the new products coming out in December plus the push into Canada plus the fat New Years resolutions.

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  7. newequity

    He is also technically under performing the S & P.

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  8. Bison Burger

    WildWestie, try BZH.

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  9. Bison Burger

    Try HOV too.

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  10. Woodshedder

    Steve, technically the S&P is a turd. It is still trading under its 200 day and 50 day averages for Christ’s sake.

    If we take the SPY as a proxy, volume was nothing special yesterday. RSI still in neutral zone. MACD crossed over yesterday. I bet the MACD never makes a big move above.

    This is nothing to write home about.

    Get back to me when the SPX trades above 1490 for several days. Then I might agree with you.

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  11. Woodshedder

    Let me be clear- the whole reason I’m a bear here is because of the technicals.

    The best index, for technical strength, is the Nasdaq. That is the one I’m concerned about.

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  12. The Fly

    NTRI can run here.

    However, I hate management.

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  13. Bison Burger

    That’s because everyone is hiding their money in the tech stocks all year.

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  14. JakeGint

    I am short tech right now. Cubes and AKAM.

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  15. WildWestie

    I don’t think NTRI will go belly-up, like those homebuilders.
    The program does work, as my wife dropped 30 lbs to a svelte 105.

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  16. Woodshedder

    Jake, am I a fucking idiot? Someone please tell me if I am. I just don’t see how or why this correction should be different than any other. Of course it could be. But WHY will it be?

    If not, then more downside. Period.

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  17. TraderCaddy

    Another Orlando Magic win and free doughnuts at Dunkin Donuts again. I went to two different ones this morning. Two chocolate glazed doughnuts for lunch.
    Some of the leaders are hitting daily lows i.e.ISRG,AMZN,PCLN,etc. Stay AWAKE.

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  18. mdawsz

    Gentlemen, get your helmets and your hedges.

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  19. ottnott

    So if the Magic keep winning, buy NTRI?

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  20. TraderCaddy

    I predict NTRI will be a winner in Orlando if the Magic keep winning.

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  21. Bison Burger

    Westie, fat people go back to MCD in the long run.

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  22. Woodshedder

    Funny. Mdawsz blog is Get Short.

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  23. TraderCaddy

    … on the other hand have you ever seen the fat ass tourists at Disney with their fanny packs walking around eating giant turkey legs?

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  24. Bison Burger

    Dwight Howard – Look How High We Is:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Luy85Gkrjz0

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  25. Bison Burger

    Ever seen fat people eating fried ice-cream in the South? Quite a scene.

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  26. mdawsz

    Woodpecker, I actually meant hedge your longs, but you’re funny nonetheless.

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  27. mdawsz

    Besides, my blog is mostly defunct. I miss TWW, are you not posting there anymore? I should ask fly for a permanent column over here.

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  28. Sir Douchebag

    Bears are absolutely petrified of hedgie shenanigans…

    If these stocks were so valuable, why run them up 15% in 2 days?

    Without shorts, there’s no buyers. Remember that. Because every time these bullshit rallies occur and use up all the short fuel, you run out of buyers.

    Let’s repeat: Nobody wants U.S. equities. Just a bunch of dipshits who think the U.S. economy is sustainable and can’t do any math.

    Good luck with those “short-squeeze” plays.

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  29. Bison Burger

    Sounding like Schiff.

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  30. Woodshedder

    M, some things will always be funny. Viz.

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  31. Woodshedder

    M, I’m struggling as to what to do with TWW.

    What should I do there? My own ramblings and thoughts?

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  32. mdawsz

    SD is Sierra.

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  33. mdawsz

    TWW will always be an icon.

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  34. PleaseKillMe

    Wooder,

    Yes it is different. Banks and their subprime mess are getting bailed out by private investment. Action on C and FRE is giving bulls (along with a most likely rate cute by the Fed) a massive erection. The minons are buying less, but the big boys don’t care about that at the moment. If you’re short, I suggest moving most positions to cash for now. Let Fly have this day to hit the pinata.

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  35. Frosty

    TWM…taking sugar on half the hedge position from my 11:54 am post today…protection in place…will be glad to stop out the rest at 68.50 for break even on the entire positon…having built a fairly low risk barbell the pressure is off and I can watch and plan my next attack.

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  36. Woodshedder

    Frosty, not bad for an accident.

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  37. Woodshedder

    Pleasekillme.

    I’m short via options, but not much. I want more when this rally fails.

    By my count, I’ve seen private investment contribute maybe 20 billion to prop up a 400 billion problem. And the 400 billion may be too low, or too high an estimate. I believe things will continue to get worse. As things worsen there will be more bargains, and more money will flow in from private investment. I don’t think it will be soon enough to stop another move down through August lows.

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  38. Bison Burger

    I still don’t know what RRZ’s for.

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  39. Frosty

    even a blind wood pecker finds a bug in the bark once in a while

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  40. Steve

    Inverse Russell 2000

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  41. Steve

    2X

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  42. DEVILDOG

    Hi guys…just came into the pits for lunch and thought I’d check in with the cows. Well let’s see my NSR & FDX shorts are doing quite well. Cheap QIDs…I can wait as they will soon be making me tons of cash to continue shorting this market down. BTW, I heard the White House says the economy is fine and growth will be steady in ‘08 for the election rally. I guess that means no rate cut? Oh…I forgot the fed is independent of the government and can, therefor, cut rates when economic growth is doing fine…lmao. You cows are so manipulated by the power elite as they sell out with help from the fed they paid for it’s just sad. Stay in those mutual funds in your 401K and you’ll do just fine as the markets go up over time. The fed will save the day with rate cuts that will save the housing market…wait that’s what destroyed the housing market…what a delima…no problem the middle class(not hedge fund managers taxed at 15%) will bail out the average joe by contributing their low taxes to Paulson & Bush and they will give the money to those people that can’t pay their loans and everything will be fine. Aren’t you glad you get to pay loser’s mortgages too…what a deal! After all…America is a free market economy with no government intervention(your tax $s)…lol. Remember it only took from 2000 to 2007 to get back to break-even and the $ is worth 40% less now…wonderful BULL returns. Anyway…you stupid cows keep whistling past Goldilock’s grave and I’ll consider buying my own road course track as my driveway. For you surfers out there the first decline to 12.7K was only half a baby bear wave! Hang ten. BTW, who was that that said unemployment claims would be up today…ME! Wonder how payrolls will be next week? White House says BIG increase! I believe! Ta…back to smoking lambos.

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  43. Bison Burger

    Steve, that’s what TWM does. I was just pointing out how useless RRZ is.

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  44. DEVILDOG

    BTW, I forgot to say…buy all the stocks that Fly is long that he listed above so he can get out. Fly you forgot to list MVIS! I can’t wait to have a projector in my cell phone instead of watching my 85″ HD TV…too funny!

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  45. Cap

    Over the last month, we’ve seen a lot of selling taking place in the last hour when the big institutions make their move. Strong opens followed by sell offs into the close. Tuesday and Wednesday , all the gains occured prior to final hour of trading. Doesn’t appear institutions were buying. We were extremely oversold and a bounce was on the cards. So the question is, if institutions are not buying is this rally sustainable ?

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  46. cigars3

    MVIS is not meant to re4place your TV, shmuck. If you dont think MILLIONS of people would want projection in their cell phone (especially when it’ll like be free when sunscribing to some sort of TV), then your opinion can’t be trusted on ANYTHING.

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  47. DEVILDOG

    Keep smoking those cigars and you can project pics of your tongue cancer on your projector phone.

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  48. Jakegint

    Weren’t you just talking about smoking cigars?

    Lambos?

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