I misplaced my February seasonal data on Sears, but its compelling with a 10 year track record.
*Nevermind, found it: ($SHLD seasonality…last 13 years. March is best (+10.66%), February is 2nd (+8.35%). Both months were up 9 of 13 years.)
Some of the most memorable short squeezes I’ve ever seen were in this stock. As I mentioned in the last couple weeks, I built a position in this stock for the retail exposure…but also for the squeeze potential.
Long a sum of shares that has been keeping me up at night. Now I can get some fucking sleep.
If you enjoy the content at iBankCoin, please follow us on TwitterStruggling retailer Sears Holdings Corp. laid out a plan to turn its business around by sharply cutting costs and said it had amended its credit facility to add borrowing power.
Shares of the company shot up 40% in premarket trading, which would push the company’s market value to about $840 million; the stock had dropped 55% over the past three months through Thursday’s close.
Under the restructuring plan announced Friday, the big-box retailer said it hopes to reach at least $1 billion in annualized cost savings and reduce its debt and pension obligations by $1.5 billion.
“To capture these savings, we plan to reduce our corporate overhead, more closely integrate our Sears and Kmart operations and improve our merchandising, supply chain and inventory management,” Chief Executive Edward Lampert said in a statement.
Sears also noted it had “right-sized” its asset-based credit facility, adding $140 million to its available borrowing capacity.
Sears, poised to report its seventh consecutive annual loss, has been stumbling through efforts to return to profitability as customers have continued to shift spending online and away from brick-and-mortar stores. It has focused on assortment, sourcing, pricing and inventory-management practices — sometimes at the expense of sales.
So far this year, Sears has sold its Craftsman brand and a number of real estate properties to generate extra cash. The company is continuing to explore options for its Kenmore, DieHard and Auto Centers business.
Sears also reported preliminary results for the fourth quarter, saying it expects a loss of $535 million to $635 million. It also forecast revenue of $6.1 billion, above the $5.69 billion consensus forecast of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters.
I can now accurately claim to have bought calls on a company, watched said company trade -30% over the course of 2 weeks, and still made (a little) money.
Holy shit great calls. Balls of zinc!
Oh shit, one of you catamites flagged me for fake news?
This is where I get frustrated beyond belief. Let BIDU run, and now on expiry it decides to stall out. Still going to make a profit, but when I let things run, they stall, and when I get antsy and sell, they run like a mofo…..why can’t I make the correct call?
I sold short term positions of BIDU BABA today. Before it jams up again hopefully it consolidates like last time giving time to jump aboard
Have calls expiring today, so will need to unload them today – making a profit, just frustrated. Trying to look at this objectively and there wasn’t a breach of yesterday’s lows, so the trade is still good, but I could have sold yesterday and done better…maybe I am just being a little whiner, but so be it….still holding as the day is young, but was expecting more from the stock…maybe that is my problem, I need to lower expectations. price target for this was 185.
Imo, risk appetite is fading. I’ve got red creeping through the high beta names in my watchlists.
I remain long IWM puts and TLT calls and am taking profits from long stock positions anywhere I can.
Pfft. It’s rotating to the next level of risk. High short interest stocks. Watch that category, all the interest is happening there.
Watch $WTW, $NTNX, $TWLO, $P, $CMCM, $CLF…anything with 20% or more of the float short. All ripping.
I agree completely with that but wouldn’t you consider the rotation to short squeezes “late” in the risk cycle?
Maybe I’m totally wrong on that.
Yes of course. I guess you’ve never read my risk rotation stuff eh? It’s religion.
I have, I think your meaning got twisted in my head. Thought you were trying to say we’re still fairly early on.
$PLUG indicator flashing bright today…So mad I bought $SHLD too early I may buy $FIT next
closed GLD short on open and will reload in size on bounce. Eyeing a bit more retail exposure
Jeff, that pic is hilarious! That’s a SHLD shorty alright. LOL
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_o1jdKFJHL0
Bought GIII.. large short float, wedge, nice pockets above.
Only reason to shop at Sears/Kmart was Craftsman. Terrible stores. But traders are scraping the bottom for opportunities. Why else are restaurants up?
ZOES looks like the restaurant version of SHLD. Worth a gamble..
Looking at some ANF and SHAK to get a little more long exposure on the table.