I’m in deep thought over here this morning, but on the topic of blogging.
If I may, would you share with me a write up or blog I’ve done that was most memorable to you? Could be recent. Could beat any point over the years. It could be more than one if more than one comes to mind.
I’m curious as to what readers respond to the most. Market calls, trade ideas, psychology, breaking news, making fun of others, etc.
Thanks for your participation.
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All posts on tech IPO stocks and masterfully crushing their analogue / sentiment trades. Love all the sentiment oriented blog posts too. Also, the Bear Stearns “something’s fishy” story was an all-time great.
+1 for sentiment oriented blog posts. I do wish you would be a little clearer on the takeaways of these blogs because sometimes it’s hard to decipher your sarcasm.
Hmm. I like your posts on market psychology. Generally spot on. Hope you took $AMZN trade. Hit 820 perfectly and now momentum looks to be rolling over a bit. Trade possibly confirm itself if $NDX rolls over too.
Of course I did. I mapped it for you.
If I’m right I’m kicking that grenade up yer ass.
Never said you were wrong. Just caution as AMZN can act irrational in big way.
How is AMZN irrational?
You thought the idea was irrational.
How is AMZN irrational?
You thought the idea was irrational.
Thanks for the caution.
No. Did not think your idea was irrational. AMZN can swing wildly. That is irrational part.
Perhaps a different trade would be better allocation of attention. Looks like AMZN broke resistance, now support. Still early in game though.
Resistance is 840.
How long have you been trading?
Off and on for 15 years. Depends on where I am located. Seems we have different types charting methods, most likely time frame. Just went long on qqq calls, for what it’s worth.
Your ongoing comparison of the 2015 market to the 1998 market was number one for me. Number two was your call on Deutche Bank. Thanks for the great work!
The blog post discussing maker participation. This helped me understand more fully your premise and understand crowd mentality and positioning with regards to broad market action. This was the last big one that jumped out to me, but you have done them before, usually at critical market junctures. Having long in depth posts like that aren’t needed often, but they are timely when you post them.
Do you happen to have the title or date of that particular blog? I’d like to read it, sounds very educational.
I think my favorite posts were at the ‘scary lows’. The best was https://ibankcoin.com/option_addict/2015/09/23/lets-set-a-trap-shall-we/ … great blend of market analysis, sentiment, and humor. Also called an audible that we wouldn’t get the ‘leg sweep’ move which eventually came later in Feb ’16.
agree. these are the best. nice having some calm during stormy times.
not on the blog, but when I had your alert service one of your kids came in the room saying “Hercules, hercules” – lol – it was awesome for some reason
I think it was $GRPN earnings trade, picture of a walnut in a nutcracker, something about shorts nuts in a vice, only to have the stock puke it all up. Full disclosure, I was in with you. $X, $TWTR, $LULU all also very memorable.
The DB post, for sure. The posts where you discuss participant psychology are great way to get an idea of what triggers your interest in something.
The sentiment chart was very powerful. Posts on volume pockets was awesome.
The most memorable non stock related blogpost was the “blogger commenter sterotypes”… There was also one where you were saying “you” (the blog commenters) were the reason the trade worked or something.
I love when you break down a theme or idea, usually with a chart.
For the future… A post on your process for what you look for to place YOLO trades would be awesome.
Most impressive for me is when the market would got volatile and you’d maestro like the next three moves all on day one, like you were conducting a symphony.
And even though you’re often times crabby in the comments section, your headline / pics are usually pretty funny 😉
But my two favorite things you do are probably sentiment and crowd control stuff, and talking about trading philosophy / psychology.
Also nice when you throw out a big winner like tossing a steak to a pack of wolves.
I’ve been trading for a long time and I never considered the impact of volume pockets on price. I’ve added that to my decision-making criteria with nice results. Your conviction during volatile times certainly has helped me reconsider some reflexive actions.
That time you sold your GOOGL calls right before it spiked 20% on earnings.
Haha, likewise I root for you to lose.
haha. have you noticed the spike in trolling recently on this blog? I feel left behind these days.
Always notice trolling. It’s very effective.
My personal favorite moments are when you are replying, generally in a snide manner, to commenters, generally someone wanting free in-depth analysis. Speaking of which, I saw CNBC quote a poll showing only around 16% bears this a.m. Don’t you feel this number belies the 5-7% correction coming any day thesis that I have been hearing numerous bulls basing their case on recently?
All your blog posts are excellent for all but the biggest know it alls.
I don’t track CNBC stats for much other than contrarian analysis. I use AAII which isn’t too extreme yet. The spike in P/C ratio a week or so ago kept me buying…but I am tentative up here.
It was a comment I read about someone saying “if we trade back above 20,000 again I’ll buy.” That has me thinking less upside…but we’ll see.
wow, tough question. I really like all you write whether its macro, picks or shootin down haters. Keep up the great work!
Still have it in my bookmarks, OA. Jan 2014. Richard Sherman picture for the post. Wicked two days of trading.
Better Think Twice. http://ibankcoin.com/option_addict/2014/01/23/better-think-twice/
Your post spoke directly to all kinds of traders and focused on risk management. Active and engaged discussion from a ton of different traders. I basically refreshed your site all day back then and saw what others were doing, and got ideas from you/them. Then we got together in After Hours to rehash and reload.
Holding this weeks BISU 180 calls from .65, normally would have sold at this point, but trying to let my winners run…..
BIDU….
OA how you feeling about VRSN, I know that one was on your radar.
$AMZN is truly the death star – sweet jesus it is strong…
Strong? It’s the only FANG that hasn’t broken out.
thx for the perspective 🙂
Looks like this could be when China stocks start to go bezerk as OA predicted for early this year
Bro, they went bezerk right after I predicted back in Jan.
Ehhh…n seems like a lot of names still hasn’t.
Don’t be stupid. All the ones I picked ripped tits.
Can’t remember the date but the blog post I remember the most was about how trends weren’t lasting very long and how your charts were constantly lying to you. It was both raw and sincere and echoed the frustrations almost all of us were feeling at the time.
wow – want an example of euphoria – look at the $AMZN stocktwits board….crazy chest beating over there.
Well, $820 is where to start measuring strength/weakness. I won’t plan to stay long if I’m too early.
How do you look at the price action in $MTW? Is that no bueno based on the speed it left the profile or a clean re-test?
Looks ok thus far. That is, if you were planning to be with this LT>
Damn missed TGT this morning. Might still jump on this one. All around really good day tho.
Can’t remember the exact posts but I def remember the themes of fading sentiment and entering positions when the respective stock’s volatility is low.
Several specific blog posts stick in my mind for unknown reasons, namely, the KING 1000% and JDST $40 posts, as well as the Danny McBride ones. Aside from those, the broader themes of market sentiment and gauging sentiment via various indicators (crowd, trolls) have left an indelible mark on me.
I like the ones where you identify a key sector or industry to watch. I dug through your archives to find one. I can’t say it was easy given the vague nature of most headlines but I found one in 2015 http://ibankcoin.com/option_addict/2015/12/15/leadership-action-in-biotech/
LOL, a big blogging weakness of mine. The actual structure of blogging.
I like posts that give me industry or stock trade ideas, overall market sentiment/conditions, or around trading techniques or tactics.
Your “roadmap” in Sep/Oct 2015 was awesome
First usage of the Danny McBride video. Greatest moment in iBC history.