iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

ONE HUNDRED AND FIFTEEN PERCENT

I’m not talking about an option trade here. Rather, I am talking about my shares of JDST.

Gold has entered the elevator shaft. Today was the first day of the move into the abyss below. Stop and think for a minute. You are up over 100% in this, and the move just started.

1180 is resistance if it even matters in the days ahead. We have a runner, so make sure you milk it as a way to get back some misfires from last month.

OA

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73 comments

  1. linmoo

    Did you mean 1080?

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  2. Zuul

    Had a load of GLD 115 Dec puts that I had to sell this morning. That move was too quick not to book. I agree that it’s going much lower.

    Looking to reenter on a bounce, only near term support is 1125. It will be in the triple digits either before the year is out or in the first quarter of next year.

    This is one of those trade it with extreme bias situations.

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  3. Dr. Fly

    Gold bugs deserve this. They’ve earned it.

    Lifetime achievement awards.

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  4. k_melancon

    This reminds me that I need to rebuild my coin collection now that prices aren’t stupid anymore….I was told I was an idiot for selling off a good portion on it back in 2011

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  5. Sia

    Triple leverage ETFs,now THAT takes me back to 2008.

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  6. longview

    Wonder what Glenn Beck is doing with all his?

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  7. therealhmmm

    Nice trade Jeff. It’s amazing that at the nadir of the economic collapse gold was the anointed choice to “fight” QE and now after the US, Japan, and Europe continuing that path gold has been eating hot dogs off a rake. At this rate it looks like it could find technical support at $1000/oz and then maybe $700. I haven’t followed the supply/demand side of the fundamentals in a long time but many hands are going to get weak, especially if they’re holding tea party signs with their gold.

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    • Option Addict

      Interesting indeed! Another vehicle chosen to extract money from the public. Those continue to be the most interesting trades out there – wherever the general public is invested at extremes.

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  8. juice

    the OA pointed JDST over the center field wall, a la Babe Ruth in game 3 of the 1932 world series, and boom! hit it outta the park …. awesome

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  9. Scott

    OA, what do you think about INXX…monthly chart?

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  10. budh

    Damn , QE might just work

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  11. Tom

    Hi OA, let’s say I missed all the market move for a month, and holding all the investment port. What would you recommend to buy/add here at this price ?

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  12. lplongo

    I am eying TRUE good spot.

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    • lplongo

      Pricey options, though. If I do it, it will be a Nov 15. May take stock instead w/a target just under 22..

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  13. yoshii11

    OMG, the sign is changing on the storefront across the street, it now reads, “WE SELL GOLD” lol

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  14. yoshii11

    contemplating some COUP here, ahead of next Tuesday, fresh off GRPN earnings. apparently the 12.50’s are popular

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  15. Alec

    OA- Would it be too late to start a position (stock) in JDST ? let me know when you get a chance.

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  16. Nemesis

    Or is it time for some scalps on JNUG.

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  17. bear54

    OA
    Do you think this is the X-mas rally for the year?

    I wish the market does not do a 3 digit day, for the rest of the year

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  18. cat

    Jeff,
    Thank you for the JDST and for the heads up that we are finally in the volume pocket. I added some GLD puts on that news … now just waiting for Aunt Edna and the football coach to capitulate.

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  19. AriBaba

    Jeff, I’m curious what you told the basketball coach to do. Did you say “the price of gold will go up when you sell yours?”

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    • Option Addict

      The first question he asked was…”What is QE?” Before asking about Gold. I think he was trying to understand why he owned it.

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  20. lplongo

    My $JMEi and $WUBA working for me, Still stalking $TRUE and still not sure…

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  21. lol

    Looks like 1996 might work as an analog too. Same idea. Set up a low, take out that low, reject new lows and slingshot higher.
    http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-ocsmwauwS8E/VFPco739lwI/AAAAAAAAAbE/SRmcIAwZ3FM/s1600/analog.jpg

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  22. thomasjefferson

    While your prognosticating abilities are being praised, I should also point out to the world that your call to sell the MBLY Yolo right at the open and not sit on it during the session was also perfect. Wish i had joined in of course.

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  23. bear54

    OA
    Do you like $NKE for puts here?

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  24. chiefton15

    OA, epic call on gold. Calling it so long ago and getting it right is impressive. One of the best trades I’ve seen.

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  25. lplongo

    Keep watching and watching $JPEP $DSKY and $TRUE but that means I am getting too excited about this. Not buying anything and not going to watch anymore. Time to take a break.

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  26. show me da money

    Hi OA, do you think TWTR Is worth a shot down here? Thanks!

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  27. twinkies

    took till the end of the day on Friday but got out of my GOOGL $560’s at my target for $8.20. Got in at $1.80.

    nice little Halloween treat. thanks for the idea OA. have a good weekend.

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    • Option Addict

      Well done!

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    • yoshii11

      way to let the winner run! sounds like you’ll be handing out the King-sized candy bars…none of that bite size/fun sized stuff!!!

      Great week y’all, let’s do it again and stick to precision entries, managing risk, bla bla bla, so we don’t get carried away with the wins and get careless. Happy Halloween.

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      • twinkies

        yoshii… i got to protect my gains. 🙂

        can’t be blowing all my money on full sized candy bars.

        i’ll tell you what i won’t be doing. i won’t be handing out those shitty orange and brown wrappered peanut butter candy things. i always hated those as a kid. Those and almond joys were the worst.

        i bet the kids that are walking around OA’s neighborhood are getting full size candy bars in addition to free Zecco accounts pre-loaded with a $500.

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        • yoshii11

          haha…yeah, there’s nothing wrong with the fun-sized candies…I’ve gone that route many times. My nieces skip their neighborhood to trick or treat at the grandparents…where some of them give out the full sized candy bars 🙂
          I agree whole-heartedly on the orange and brown wrappered candies.

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          • twinkies

            yoshii… i was pulling for the Royals!

            American League Central represent! what an epic run they had. Very cool to watch.

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  28. show me da money

    Sorry, I’ve been away for a while and missed your post on TWTR?

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  29. bood

    everyone is short gold. bounced off a trendline . might catch some pants down on the upside here .

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  30. show me da money

    Thanks OA, happy Halloween!

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  31. Quality Control Inferno
    Quality Control Inferno

    Pain trade=consolidation. Don’t let anybody on this train for a week or 2 and then melt up into Thanksgiving. Slight pullback beginning of December then melt up into year end.

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  32. chedda

    OA, is there something about MBLY chart you don’t like? Looks pretty to my inexperienced eyes. TIA

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  33. UncleBuccs

    Was there a recorded webinar that took place today?

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  34. Quality Control Inferno
    Quality Control Inferno

    This intra-month reversal of over a 6% decline had less than a 1% chance of occurring according to historical performance of the market. This was the rarest of events. We may not see a month like this for 8-9 years at least.

    Take a look at the returns going 1-6 months out after a reversal of this nature inside of a bull market. The returns are phenomenal. 4.5% on average is what we should expect for November, at the least.

    http://jlfmi.tumblr.com/post/101266998520/largest-monthly-reversals-in-stock-market-history

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  35. SGT HARTMAN

    Metals are still too expensive here. To gold bugs QE means “print money / high inflation” but actually it means low inflation / decent GDP. Right now we at 2.5% real growth, which bodes well for the market.
    I’m looking for another +6% by the end of the year. And oil looks interesting down here, we’ll see.

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  36. NoWorldOrder

    thnx Quality – Dana Lyons just gave me the clarity I needed to make gold with the black gold,
    http://jlfmi.tumblr.com/post/101083300790/smart-money-decreases-crude-oil-shorts-by-record-amount

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    • Quality Control Inferno
      Quality Control Inferno

      That is a really good article. I stumbled across that guy via Jeff Macke on twitter. Apparently he’s full of useful info.

      Just anecdotaly, I work in the oil & gas industry and I’ve heard of no plans to slow down at this point. There is a built in “put” on oil at a certain level here, probably closer to $75; that being the point where you may see some production cuts. Even below that I think you have a great deal of production still.

      I’m definitely taking a hard look at the higher beta names for a trade soon, and some for investments. I like MHR to $6 soon. The breakout would occur by the 2nd week of November if the current wedge formation holds. I’m looking to get it closer to $4.40-$4.50 though.

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  37. NoWorldOrder

    HP(nov13/b), RIG(nov6/a), MHR (nov6/b)
    — have turned into an earnings play option whore/horror with this volatility. I think we get a pull-in-da-bulls move up in oil then …I don’t know! I refer to this- http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2014/10/26/the-cheapest-oil-stocks-around/ for scalping, and PE is not waiting.
    -my best calls now MYGN(thx OA) & MOS(all me)
    -from Kanistan, where ponds of oilsands water wait to travel downstream.

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  38. MRBIG

    Just curious , would one of you grizzled Wall Street veterans please explain to a novice why one would hold a JDST type instrument over the weekend ?
    Riddle me this , what are the chances that GLD and its’ suddenly impoverished miner buddies weaken over a weekend . On the other hand many unfortunate circumstances can change the direction of gold in a Putin heartbeat .
    Just curious and trying to learn from the masters of the ?????

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