iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

PARTY LIKE ITS 1998

Futures are ripping on the BOJ news. Heading straight to the highs, with or without you. This is truly epic.

My perma-bull analogue of 1998 implies a vicious short covering rally that walked straight back up to the highs of the year before pausing. If that happens, there will be a reaction at the top, one that if followed correctly could be the entry point for the last and final phase of this bull market cycle.

It’s crazy to see so many asset classes and signals going off the same as they were in 1997-1998.

While this market has had some damage done to it over the year, if those wounds start to heal in the near term, then this analogue still has promise.

Stay frosty out there.

OA

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45 comments

  1. Kevin

    OA
    what are some actionable items here ? Thanks.

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  2. denizen

    Wow, you’re up too.
    Watching same thing. Crazy stuff.

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  3. bchu

    would be great if we got that reaction at the top. we haven’t had anythign to let us load up more

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  4. Quality Control Inferno
    Quality Control Inferno

    Tomorrow is going to be an important day in how the markets react to new highs in the NQ and possibly the ES and DOW. Even though it feels very exciting to be a bull right now I am very interested in hearing your take on the action as it unfolds. How convenient that I’m a TA subscriber. 🙂

    It feels like anything is possible, including some kind of a blow-off short term top, before the final melt up.

    #cantsleepthankyouabe

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  5. yoshii11

    Party on!!! I need some zzzzzz’s

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  6. Dr. Fly

    See you fuckers in Vegas.

    Champagne for everyone.

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  7. kidstock

    Holy Faaaaakkkkkiinnngggg Shit… I own a combined 475 call options spread across DDD GPRO MACK NDLS & TWTR. Could not have done it without you guys!

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  8. chiefton15

    Now we know why the market wouldn’t go down the last 2 weeks.

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  9. DaJuice

    I’ve got a nice JDST stock position, some Dec 15 & 16 calls, and various Nov, Dec & Jan GLD puts. It’s already one of the best trades of my career. The last couple weeks has reinforced the importance of staying in the game, managing risk and sticking with the process. Thanks again OA, the lessons I’ve learned this year have been invaluable.

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  10. danny1980

    Well my hedge is dead but everything else on my book is magical right now! RIP Sesther UVXY to 70…. Lmao he’s probably living under an overpass somewhere eating his own toenails !

    Long live Kohler

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  11. MRBIG

    Geez , just think how well we would be doing if this move could’ve happened when we had those 20+ Oct positions on that all went bust . Timing is everything .

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  12. Nixon5

    2 am I told you so bulls? hahaha

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  13. k_melancon

    Gold just fell off the cliff – but still has support at 1160 – I thought we would possibly see 1180 today and level off there…geez! I wonder where the stop orders start getting tripped

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  14. matt_bear

    i’ll gladly take the coming gains in the positions i have but i tip my hat to the market. it’s back at new highs and i’m still trying to pick up the pieces.

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  15. toast

    woke up to some big gains this morning. it’s great to be 130% long on a day like today. good luck all and let’s get er up to new highs.

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  16. Tito Jackson

    GOOGL target? I bought some 560 calls yesterday for 1.80, going to hoepfully 10 today – how greedy should I be?

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    • Option Addict

      568 or better.

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    • twinkies

      have those same calls for same price (only i got in monday)

      i was targeting 568-569ish, but missed the opening ticks. hopefully it gets back up there.

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      • Tito Jackson

        Wish I would have got them .50 yesterday and quadrupled the amount – but I will take what I got – nice win for me.

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  17. Trent

    Up a cool 150% on my GLD puts in just over a week’s time. I until December. What do you think here OA? Lock in or does GLD have more room to drop? Always appreciated my man.

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  18. SGT HARTMAN

    Party like it’s spring 2003.

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  19. matt_bear

    Most expensive piss of my life. Missed the googl 565 call high of $6. That was a fucking small window to get out. 🙁

    20 calls. Call it a $10k bathroom break? lol

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  20. yoshii11

    GRPN curse is over! after hours yesterday reversed a -7% reaction to earnings to +3-4%, and with the help of BOJ, high of about 18% today. good win, Trent J…options tripled from yesterday

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  21. bchu

    call me crazy but i added a tiny position of $GLD noV 105 puts. rolling the dice baby

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  22. Taxmonster

    OA – we should talk about retailers and the corresponding reduction in oil/gas. I think earnings will be higher based on what I have seen so it would be nice to take a look at beaten down stocks like PSUN, TLYS, etc. Thoughts?

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  23. bottom_feeder

    OA, at one point you mentioned QIHU as a short if it snaps back to resistance around 76, given the huge volume hole below. Do you think a short is still relevant here?

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