iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

RELAX AND TAKE NOTES

Last night we focused on a few things that help identify market bottoming processes. One thing that we focused on from yesterday was that the sell-off at the open was followed by multiple new lows throughout the day in all indices except the Russell. These subtle divergences are important at lows, especially by an instrument that has overall lagged the market, and fallen the hardest recently as the market weakened.

Today, this intraday action should be monitored the same way. While the NASDAQ, SPX, and DOW are heading towards lows, trading under VWAP, etc…notice the Russell is doing something different.

After the bell we’ll be creating next weeks watchlist based on our technical biases discussed last night. Make sure to bring a few ideas to contribute.

OA

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73 comments

  1. matt_bear

    would you recommend waiting on intiating positions? i still haven’t taken the NFLX, AMZN, or GOOGL trades.

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  2. dfjas

    dollar most overbought in 30 years. 40% above 200 day MA.

    buy NUGT

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    • Dr. Fly

      STFU ASSHOLE.

      GOLD IS DEAD. FUCKING DEAD, just like your brain.

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      • dfjas

        hilarious when you will be pimping it soon. mark your post

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        • Hattery

          I especially love promissory notes without any concept of downside, opportunity cost or time wasted…

          Like gold will go up “one day”. I’m sure people said that in the 80s and 40 years later it didn’t even beat inflation but “just wait” meanwhile, your life is losing premium, and if you had just put that capital to work in any halfway decent fashion, or even set only a small portion of it on fire rather than all, you could buy more gold now than you could 2yrs ago. Just hurry up and capitulate and tell all your cult like friends so it can bottom and then I can buy under $1000.

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      • exbankergirl

        LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

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    • BoilMeImIrish

      You are literally not even worth acknowledging anymore. You like Gold, we get it. You have made your opinion exceedingly clear.

      If you’re right about things, come back in a few months, tell us off, and wag your genitalia around — until then, kindly STFU.

      Sincerely,

      Everyone in Here

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    • TheHarper

      Did you also vote for Ron Paul?

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  3. ncsutrader

    OA is so cool he pisses ice cubes.

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  4. Billy Cutting

    …while I take totes

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  5. gudenaev

    OA, you still in SINA?

    For a stock that is threatening to make 52 week lows, volume is almost non existent, and BB on the weekly more compressed then they have ever been.

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  6. hawaiifive0

    OA,
    Would you explain how the Russell is doing something different today? I can’t seems to see it.

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  7. Jon V

    Jeff – what’s your take on Natty? I posted about it last night…looks like it put in a buy signal on your oscillator back in mid and late July. Huge speculative short interest in it. Highest ever I believe.

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  8. Option Addict

    My indicators are relatively oversold, which means limited downside/upside risk.

    Not doing a great job of lifting yet.

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  9. doom and gloom

    There is major disturbance in the force. Market is topping as we speak. Expect a massive sell-off starting Oct 6.

    Time to start positioning one’s self with deep out of the money SPY puts

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    • 1177ab

      How about you let us know what you bought and how much you paid? That way we can track how much money you make with your epic call!!

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    • Option Addict

      Can I start posting all your market top comments from last year? Please? Let’s start here…

      Sethster99

      Submitted on 2013/11/29 at 6:22 pm
      Wow, they really caught you guys leaning the wrong way. Take a looksie at the VIX the last 10 minutes of the day. Can you say parabolic? Look out below, we have topped.

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    • mr_peartree

      don’t forget your tin foil hat!

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    • formergeek

      Major increase in useless posters that’s for sure

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  10. Ari Baba

    JMEI?
    TRTC?

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  11. dazedflip

    I just went with FSLR. Bought the underlying.

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  12. BlueStar

    Stay Frosty everyone. Bulls not out of the woods yet.

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    • cheifton15

      Agreed, weak bounce so far. I don’t think these lows hold.

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    • autumnalcity

      BlueStar, this is probably the oddest compliment I’ve given in a while, but you are the ONLY guy around here from the bearish camp with ONE GODDAMN MOLECULE of sense in their head. You make being wrong look good.

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      • BlueStar

        Thanks,

        In may i was up 9% being short until i got crushed and went down 4%. I am now up 8%. I bought IWM puts at the end of august and 9/4. My play here is the Paul Tudor Jones and jesse livermore approach. Prob the trading cycle tops for the evenutal big break then press. If i am I am right my 10% put position turns into 100% gain on capital. downside max 10%. I am convinced we are close to a top. I hate running with the pack. By the way most bears likley have zero capital at risk. They just talk shit.

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  13. 2kto2m

    my indicator also approaching oversold, but oversold can stay for a while when trending. i am looking for /es another 15-20 points lower, then see what shows up.

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  14. Life Savings In A Yolo
    Life Savings In A Yolo

    Did the NYMO work off oversold levels today?

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  15. Jon v

    Jeff thanks for the reply. I picked up ugaz at 13.9 yesterday and more today. Like the setup so far

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  16. JD984

    Current Positions

    Short – SCTY SLCA SINA
    Long – AMBA

    Think a bounce is coming here, but trend remains down IMO

    GL to all.

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  17. ncsutrader

    OA, you take a bite of BHI yet?

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  18. operator1

    OA sir, I will miss the webinar this evening due to work. If you don’t mind please have a look at LOCO as a long idea for me. Thank you in advance.

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  19. Trent J

    Jeff- Could you take a couple mins in an upcoming webinar and talk about your exit strategy. In other words, say you have an option position with October expiry that is already up 100% or 200%, etc. I know we let our winners run here but do you have a rule of thumb to when you book gains or is it based mostly off of looking at the profile?

    Thanks my man.

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  20. boyaj

    OA, around 10:45am today the DOW hit its low, while the Russell has been in a general uptrend throughout the day. Is that what you mean by testing lows and seeing subtle divergences? Thanks for all the help and teachings.

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  21. jessiej

    KORS lookin broke

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  22. Ari Baba

    That was a high TICK

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  23. Ari Baba

    TRTC continues to be epic. Up 50% last two days. Eric Holder looks to be softening the govt stance on marijuana on his way out.

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