iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

Morning Appetite For Risk

Last night in After Hours with Option Addict, the call was quite simple. “What is the move tomorrow that screws the most market participants?”

The answer? A sharp drop at the open to stop out yesterday’s dip buyers, and a pause to load up shorts, then a rally into the close. Everyone loses. Except me.

The Russell is leading here. That has been like seeing a unicorn in this environment. Things are looking according to plan, so let’s take advantage.

I copped some September LULU calls this am. VNET, BTU, TRIP, BORN on watch.

OA

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68 comments

  1. Raul3

    Bot your after hours NFLX early on

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  2. azulgrana

    OA im gonna go with $TRUE $BLUE

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  3. Trent

    Took some $BRKR calls into August. Like the look of it.

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  4. matt_bear

    just looking for the other half of this bottle.

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  5. Kevin

    Do anyone hold through FSLR earning ?
    Feel like want to sell this pop before er, though… OA?

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  6. matt_bear

    i’m holding.

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  7. Tom

    My DIS also has ER amc. I hold DIS FSLR both just because investment. If they got down I will buy more : )

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  8. frog

    how much of an earnings move is priced in gmcr options anyone?

    dem niggas always beat and I aint hear nobody talkin bout dem

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  9. yoshii11

    dare I say VEND about to exit discouragement haha. “Secures Largest Monthly Total of Locations During 2014″…it doesn’t get old checking in from time to time to see how this one is doing.

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  10. k_melancon

    so yesterday’s gains sufficiently wiped out… waiting for something t happen after lunch, but probably won’t like that either….

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    • k_melancon

      waiting to see if last night’s AHWOA analysis comes to pass – pretty good so far, I just hate waiting…

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  11. azulgrana

    i know ive been beating a dead horse on the china call, but this WBAI is rounding thru the sentiment cycle pretty well (earn 8/11)

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  12. yoshii11

    Could we set up a TOTW in AHWOA?

    Azul- that WBAI can’t get options soon enough…wish they were available.

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  13. linmoo

    OA, is the weak bounce in RUT you warned to watch out for? Doesn’t seem to be showing strength.

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    • Option Addict

      It’s up/flat while everything is at least .50% lower.

      Are you not seeing the difference here intraday?

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      • k_melancon

        If we hadn’t talked about it last night, I would be a lot more worried – just making sure my individual stocks maintain structure/support

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      • linmoo

        I was definitely seeing the strength relative to SPY but not overall. Now it’s all screwed. RC and bluestar may have been right after all.

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  14. frog

    got in wynn aug14 215s @ 2.15

    where everyone at? cryin I bet

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    • yoshii11

      they’re all hitting up the fresh healthy vending machines…now up 17% on the day.

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  15. granpa

    Turn around Tuesday, No?
    The real question is what does Wednesday bring.

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  16. Option Addict

    Granpa, I think we were right on that call.

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  17. Bruce Keller

    This looks like disbelief before panic? For today that is, daytrading wise. I think we might end up pretty low.

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    • bensteinsmoney

      Bruce, haven’t you been keeping up with Tony @ OEW?

      ” … Minor A at SPX 1916, a Minor B at SPX 1943, and Minor C underway. Thus far we count three waves down from SPX 1943: 1926-1936-1914. Today’s low could have ended a complex flat, or was just part of another double zigzag to the 1901 pivot. At SPX 1900 Minor C = 0.618 Minor A. Intermediate wave iv is still unfolding.”

      “Short term support is at SPX 1914 and the 1901 pivot, with resistance at the 1929 pivot and SPX 1943. Short term momentum is displaying a positive divergence. The OEW short term charts turned negative at the open with the reversal level now SPX 1927. ”

      Once Wave C is completed we rally to new highs before Primary IV takes back 10%+ this fall/winter.

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  18. k_melancon

    Are other people seeing these price swings? Is there news out?

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  19. Jersey whale

    WLT is ripping

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  20. k_melancon

    I do want to point out again how much I appreciate being in X

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  21. bear54

    OA
    BID looking good?

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  22. Civilmetimbers

    Hi OA,

    What is your opinion about WB? Should we keep it until earnings?

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  23. yoshii11

    ROIAK – kerplunk

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  24. bchu12

    FSLR reporting after close. Get your popcorn ready!!!

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  25. yoshii11

    Lots to watch after close: JAZZ, ZIOP, ZAGG, ACAD, ACHN, ATVI, CBPO, CORT, VRNG, FSLR…I’ll be watching to see if there’s a 15% gainer and loser in the midst. Some would be ideal entries were it not for earnings risk.

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  26. chiefton15

    This is rough action but the key is that the RUT is holding the lows.
    I’m loving this WLT!

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  27. Jon V

    Hey OA – Did you bail on LEJU? Taking a header today

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    • Noni Kavuri

      Jon, I’m thinking about buying on this dip. 10% draw down? I can’t find any news for a reason.

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    • Option Addict

      Booked gains a week ago, at least.

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      • Jon V

        Oh really? I listened to that after hours free link that Fly sent last week and you mentioned you were still long.

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        • Option Addict

          You are obviously mistaken.

          Trading Addicts @TA_TradeAlerts · Jul 31
          Trade: LEJU, MNGA Sell Long Stock
          Price: $12.95. $1.33
          Trade Detail: Booked a gain, and a loss.

          Here’s a time stamp. Watch your tone.

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  28. J Livermore

    The poll was right again. Go against the poll at your own peril.

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    • yoshii11

      I’ll have to watch yesterday’s recording, I was only listening…so I don’t know if it was a poll specific to today’s action or the week as a whole. So far, Russell looking great on a weekly chart…bottom bloop if you will, while other major indexes take a breather. Probably due for a rip right after Aug expiry…chop everyone up until then.

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  29. chiefton15

    I know this is a little crazy but I just added WNR and TSO August calls to go with my VLO. I guess this must mean I’m bullish on refiners.

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  30. lol

    There was a story about a human contrarian indicator. Eventually his friends decided that whatever he said he liked next they would do the opposite. in October 1929 he went short and they did the opposite and went long. He finally was right…

    When they finally asked him he said “I realized that everything I did was wrong so just before I was going to buy I sold”
    CNN fear index at 5… lol
    http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/
    The funny story makes me wonder if a contrarian indicator can become too popular to the point where it is not longer “the opposite”… I’m probably overthinking it but I’ve seen more attention paid to this thing than I have in a long time.

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  31. yoshii11

    buh-bye GRPN

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  32. yoshii11

    FEYE, FSLR down initially as well.

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  33. matt_bear

    FSLR miss hurts. although last time they ramp came after the earnings drop.

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    • bchu12

      man. solar earnings have all been missing this earnings season.

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      • yoshii11

        maybe it can turn around like FEYE by morning…wishful thinking probably.

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        • bchu12

          it’s sitting on that $60 support level to the penny. i imagine if that breaks, we have a freefall. crossing fingers that it holds.

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  34. Quality Control Inferno
    Quality Control Inferno

    Bears need to get seeking alphaed somehow. Would be the ultimate payback is a bitch moment. Someone write the article.

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  35. matt_bear

    TSLA chart looks identical to PCLN pre-breakout. wow.

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  36. punyandy

    Fuck FUEL. Damn it.

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  37. mr

    Hi OA,
    What the market will do today?
    UP/DOWN/Flat ?

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