iBankCoin
Joined Nov 11, 2007
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When Will Equities Catch Up to The Realization Commodities Have Come Too Over QE ?

“Here’s an interesting point via SocGen that I haven’t seen many people discuss.  Notice in the chart below how commodities have stopped responding to the QE effect while equities have not:

“The effect of QE on commodities (if any) vanished earlier than for equity markets. During each of the first
two quantitative easing phases carried out by the Fed, commodities appreciated by over 25%. However, following the announcement of QE3 in Sept. 2012, commodity prices declined (-7% for the CRB index), a reminder that they remain largely driven by economic cycles rather than central bank actions (Gold being the notable exception). In fact, equity markets now seem to be the only asset which benefits from abundant central bank liquidity.

Conclusion: The all-time high reached by US equity markets last week can be attributed to the fact that the only major asset class which benefits from the current “risk-on” mood of investors is equities in developed market.” …”

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