iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,445 Blog Posts

Possible Short Squeezes

Most of the time, short sellers are right. When you see a stock with a huge short position, it’s because intelligent people did the research to find out how bad the underlying company blows. However, during periods of glee and outright joy, heavily shorted stocks can provide traders with big dicked gains, in short order.

I compiled a short list of names worth perusing and monitoring, in the event the market rallies for more than 2 days. (Note: I have zero patience with heavily shorted stocks, mainly because they are ticking time bombs. If I am unable to catch the inflection point, most of the time, I sell heavily shorted names within 3 days—and move on.)

Remember, most of the stocks below are shorted for a reason. Failure to adhere to strict risk management guidelines can lead to your dumb ass getting “River Twiced” on such said names.

SYNA
CMG
FSYS
NFLX
LTM
FDS
UA
BKE
GNK
NRF
WNR

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Good Evening

Woodshedder special request:

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W9WyW-LeVhs 450 300] [youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTGNEZARSdM 450 300] [youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5uKnPB43Dog 450 300]

In other news, I am so glad, as well as comforted, that the old hack boss from Time Warner, Parsons, is the new Chairman of [[C]]. I am sure Carl Icahn is equally pleased, if not more!

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Run DMC: Here We Go

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZDSK3qmj_lo 450 300]

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BADA BING

I didn’t want to get long egregious amounts of stock; but I had to. My hand was forced by that fucking asshat Ken Lewis, CEO, Bank of America.

Granted, prior to the report that he bought 200,000 shares in the open market, “The Fly” was nibbling on select equities. However, after I was informed of that news, I bought millions worth of a variety of names, namely ABB, FAS, PFG and UYM.

In addition, I hedged out the remainder of my SRS position, going long URE.

I am still short oil, via ERY and DUG. I am prepared to buy them both lower. It really is a negligible pair of positions, in comparison to my new longs.

Bottom line: I am 50% long, 10% short and 40% cash. My neighbors are members of the Italian mafia and I am so fucking sick of this bastard of a market.

Nonetheless, I ended the day higher, thanks in large part to my Godly buys. I’ll have you know, the losses in my shorts were and are entirely meaningless. I will also have you know, I intend on making Donkey Kong coin in EEV, SRS, ERY and DUG, in due time.

NOTE: God willing, I will get the opportunity to buy back FAZ in the low $40’s. God willing.

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Fly Buys: FAS, ABB, PFG, URE, UYM

I allocated 50% of my cash in the above names, FAS, south of $9.20, ABB, south of $12.50, PFG, south of $15.50, URE, south of $4.45, UYM, south of $12.80 and TNA, south of $24.70

Disclaimer: Just watch.

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Oil Unfun

I should have stayed in cash and ate sandwiches. Instead, in my infinite wisdom, I went long a financial that traded off from my basis and I bought some 300% short oil garbagio that cut off my fucking head. Between yesterday and today’s small trades, I built up a quick 40k+ paper loss.

While 40k may seem like a lot to most of you bar hoppers, it is of small consequence to Senor Tropicana.

However, losing money is not something that should be afflicting me and I worry, with great intensity, that my early losses will force me out of retirement, effectively depleting my cash reserves.

After all, if so inclined, I can just sell out DUG, ERY and PFG and make believe it never happened. But that would mean capitulating in the face of abject stupidity, as the retarded Texas tea baggers at XOM near $80 per share.

I will not capitulate.

So, the only course of action is to begin a campaign of effective dollar cost averaging. Being that I already dug myself a small ditch, I will refrain from buying more, until I am able to obtain a decidedly lower price or an inflection point arises.

With other capital, I am somewhat optimistic about the near term prospects for the markets and may begin buying some stocks, later on this afternoon.

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Get in the Deflationary Vortex

All of you fried rice loving meatloaf throwers are not only wrong when it comes to reflation and growth in Asia; you’re exactly wrong.

See, good Sir, the money that is being created or printed is being thrown into a deflationary vortex, mind you. The destruction of capital, worldwide, far outweighs the bullshit trillion dollar stimulus package.

And, I hear many of you discuss the virtues of Chinese banking institutions. As a point in fact, you praise the Asian lenders for being smart and not having fucked up balance sheets. Well, I have news for you again, good Sir, Asian banks, particularly Chinese ones, are fucked on a spindle.

The decline in property values is rapidly accelerating in Asia, indeed. Furthermore, the nonsense capital ratios you read of, regarding Chinese banks, is all fiction. Wait until the Western dollars file out of China, then tell me how self sustainable their bullshit economy is, with their low standards of living, coupled with industry after industry being sustained by government incentives aka life support.

To bet against Asia and their currencies, I like EEV.

Look, I’m not here to throw acid in your face. “The Fly” is all about sharing the wealth of ideas, while kicking old men (47.5 and older) down shockingly big storm drains.

Hell, I make lots of mistakes. Just this morning, after giving a big huffy puffy chested lecture about “staying on the sidelines,” I went out, like an imbecile, and bought PFG a buck higher than where it is now. I deserve the loss and more.

It’s hard sitting on 90% cash. You have to be a special type of animal to just box watch and do nothing. If the weather was warmer, I could go swimming or go for a jog. But, NYC weather is like a fucking Siberian wasteland in the winter. I’m trapped and have no choice but to invest.

As for the markets:

I warned you about “Getting in the Funnel.” Some of you heeded my dire warnings, while most of you laughed, did a few lines of low grade blow, then bought USB on Guy Adami’s rec. Now, I am warning you about entering “The Deflationary Vortex.” You can do so at your own volition. However, just know, “The Fly” is never wrong for a period longer than 3 weeks. Furthermore, the dollar will punch your lights out, should you choose to sell it short.

Finally, I want to sell short all oil stocks, going into earnings. To do this, I have opted to short cut it by staying long DUG and ERY. However, at the moment, all of my positions are light.

I still have a 90% cash position, so you know.

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Fly Buy: ERY

I bought 5,000 ERY @ $41.72.

Disclaimer: If you buy ERY because of this post, you will spend all of your idle cash on utter bullshit. And, you may lose money.

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Fly Buy: PFG

I bought 10,000 PFG @$15.30.

Disclaimer: If you buy PFG because of this post, all bank stocks will go to zero, taking your deposits with them. And, you may lose money.

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Sitting This Rally Out

Here we go again. The plan to save the world, via the banks, is about to being— again. NTRS, which is on my possible buy list, just beat the street. Expect CNBC to suck its dick, all day long, similar to what they did with JPM—prior to it being skinned alive.

Right now I have more than 90% of my assets in cash.

I will not buy into this rally, due to my aversion to fuckery. However, at the same time, I may choose to close out whatever inverse etf’s I have left, namely EEV and SRS.

I went long 10,000 DUG towards the end of trading yesterday. I suppose the only course of action is to just deal with losing some coin on that transaction today. But, with the oil companies about 1 week away from disappointing en masse, time is on my side. I will buy more DUG on dips.

On the long side, if I was so inclined, I might buy some COGT, OXPS or even some BK.

As for upside etf’s, scalping a quick FAS long is worthy of a shot, providing the banks bounce here. Expect the Obama administration to unveil lots of plans that can boost sentiment. However, the million dollar question is: how punitive will such said plans be to the banks?

Personally, I am outright bewildered as to why our banking executives are not in jail. How the fuck can they continue to get away with this shit, without prosecution?

Let’s call a spade a spade: those cocksuckers have been lying to everyone for years. Maliciously, they hid losses and artificially propped up their balance sheets, so that they could enjoy the fruits of fraud, via exorbitant bonuses.

All I know, the Enron fuckers were goose stepped to jail rather quickly. Conversely, Congress seems totally disinterested, when it comes to nailing a few bad GS men to the altar of integrity.

Fuckers.

Bottom line: I will be sitting out the initial move in the market, mainly because I do not trust it. If anything, I’ll jump on board the afternoon rally and play the momentum into the bell.

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