I didn’t want to go there, inside of the bowels of the recent rally, a disgusting place filled with excessive greed and distortions, but someone had to do it. It has been a marvelous time in the markets. I hope 99% of you made some money into the teeth of a worldwide BREXIT induced panic. The other 1% of you can go fuck yourselves.
I’ve all but protested the market for the better part of 2016, and have been idled in mostly cash, TLT, and some trades here and there. At the moment, I am long EDZ, a trade that will expire by the end of this week.
The air has been flushed out of the utility sector in recent weeks. Investors are entirely justified for selling the utes, something I’ve pointed to on more than one occasion.
Over the past two weeks, the best gains have been found in tech, banks and services, mostly semis, auto dealerships, textiles, and foreign banks who were being priced for zero during the BREXIT panic.
The median return for all stocks has been +4.8% over the past two weeks.
Hitherto, energy and gold stocks fared well, but not anymore. Those fucking bastards have DIVERGED from the overall exclamatory statements of grandeur, readily found in all of the major indices. Nevertheless, no one cares about oil anymore, unless, of course, it rallies.
Biotech shares are leading today’s rally, higher by 2%. There are, however, a few dozen up greater than 5% for the session.
All in all, we’ve come to a place where news flow doesn’t directly affect the moods of robotic buyers of stocks. This is a common complaint, expressed by bears over the past two hundred years. One would be wise to ignore anyone who says “one day the fucking news will matter.” We’re all positioned for what we believe to be a future reality. What is the catalyst for higher or lower prices? One of the arch catalysts for lower prices was the BREXIT vote. How did that work out?
Stocks are at record highs.
Another catalyst was lower crude will lead to a panic on Wall Street. Well, thus far, lower crude has only been ignored by traders. Stocks continue to climb the wall of worry.
From my vantage point, the very next catalyst to be tested will be the dollar rally and how it might deleteriously affect FOREX markets. No one is paying mind to it now. But if China devalues their yuan again and U.S. corporations start to bitch about their plight to export their fucking broken dishwashers overseas because the dollar is so awesome, we might run into some resistance soon.
Until the world ends, I remain, inexorably, aboard the S.S. ARK, eagerly in search for storms that might pose an ‘extinction level crisis’ for mankind.
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