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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

“The Fly” Wins Again

Unless you’re prepared to take up arms against the government, I suggest chilling the fuck out and quit worrying about shit you have zero influence or control over.

After all, we are on this miserable planet for an undetermined amount of time. There is no point in trying to change something that can never be changed. It’s sort of like trying to make the Statue of Liberty a lesbian.

So, the government is giving us a green light to make money in stocks. Why not take it?

Sure, lot’s of short sellers got ape raped; but that’s Wall Street. It’s unforgiving and entirely inhumane.

If Wall Street was an easy place to make money, all you of pikers would own holding companies, making tender offers for distressed cdo’s.

I digress.

With my money, as always, I will press the envelope here, staying long a lot of Citigroup Inc. [[C]] and a variety of other long side bets. I like bank stocks with big short positions, like Synovus Financial Corp. [[SNV]] and Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. [[IBKR]] , and I will buy them in size.

For a hedge, like a rat, I will nibble on [[SRS]] and get long basic materials, such as Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. [[FCX]] and Southern Copper Corporation (USA) [[PCU]] .

Finally, I am not sure if I got lucky or if it was skill that made me switch from short to long yesterday. Let’s just say I got lucky for having a “calculator brain,” and for being a bad ass “space alien magician,” who drives diamond studded time machines—when all of you assholes are home sleeping like little bitches.

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Today’s Events, in Video

This just about sums up Paulson’s interaction with those who sell short bank stocks. Further commentary on this matter is no longer needed.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGEtsvdUxd4&feature=related 450 300]

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Fly Sell: C, WNR

I sold 75,000 Citigroup Inc. [[C]] @ $21.25. And, I sold 50,000 Western Refining, Inc. [[WNR]] @ $12.65.

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Fly Buys: SNV, C, SRS, IBKR

I bought 20,000 Synovus Financial Corp. [[SNV]] @ $12.75, 20,000 Citigroup Inc. [[C]] @ $20.10 and 1,000 [[SRS]] @ $72.34.

UPDATE: I bought 20,000 Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. [[IBKR]] @ $21.62. And, I bought 10,000 SNV @ $12.71.

Disclaimer: If you buy the above stocks because of this post, the government will arrest you for being an active short seller. And, you may lose money.

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Stocks Goose Step Higher on Mother America Bailout

Our government demands, mind you, that people make money long equities. Luckily for “The Fly,” he is a HUGE government hack, with martyr like patriotism. Hence, he (“The Fly”) is long Citigroup Inc. [[C]] , in egregious size.

I almost feel sorry for some of you corn can fuckers. Almost.

Let this be a lesson to all of you. A market thesis works until it changes. Just like that, with a snap of a finger, the gov’t cheese makers changed the playing field. Either conform to the market or get eaten whole by it.

Unfortunately, many of you asset managers out there are inadequately prepared to deal with this market, due to your low IQ. As you know, “The Fly” is here to help and your invoices will arrive shortly.

With my money, like a rat, I nibbled on [[SRS]] , due to the fact that reits can still be shorted. Fuck the reits and the motherless whores who run them.

I really like Citigroup Inc. [[C]] here. Even at $20, it is my belief the Treasury will goose step this bank up to $25, where I will book a 7 figure profit and spark an old cuban to celebrate my greatness.

Finally, the Fed will be printing money like a motherfucker now. On that news, get long energy and gold stocks. Right here, I like National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. [[NOV]] , Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. [[FCX]] , Hecla Mining Company [[HL]] , Royal Gold, Inc. [[RGLD]] and ConocoPhillips [[COP]] , amongst others. Or, you can just get lazy and buy [[DIG]] .

NOTE: Preferred holders, [[PGF]] and [[PGX]] , look good here too.

UPDATE: I bought 10,000 Synovus Financial Corp. [[SNV]] @ $12.75.

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WOW!

I bet American International Group, Inc. [[AIG]] wishes the government did this a few weeks ago, no? However, I suppose the government mug fuckers were interested in a little nationalization. Nothing wrong with communism, considering how dumb everyone is.

Listen up, this is not time to short stocks. As you know, the SEC has banned short selling in 799 financial stocks, in order to save the United States from certain death. I know this sounds insanely silly, but today may turn out to be one of those epic days when everything changed.

Taking the toxic shit off the banks’ balance sheets and putting it on the tax payers laps is ludicrous— but likely necessary. The government has a choice: they can spend $500 billion now, or trillions later on a Armageddon type melt down.

I am not going to switch my philosophy on the gayness of U.S. equities. However, I am not going to get in the way of this run away train. I rather hop on it for a joy ride.

Top picks: Citigroup Inc. [[C]] , Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. [[FCX]]

Loophole UPDATE: Banks that ARE NOT on the SEC’s short sale ban list will get boot stomped. Go look for them. CIT Group Inc. [[CIT]] and Annaly Capital Management, Inc. [[NLY]] are NOT on the list. And, neither are the reits, making [[SRS]] an incredible buy down here. Food for thought.

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Government Sponsored Short Squeeze

It’s quite brazen, you must admit. Now that the Bush administration has declared Al Qaeda to be active short sellers in our banks, I think it’s safe to assume they will now rifle them higher.

What a difference one day makes, no?

Courtesy of The PPT, I ran a screen for financials, priced above $5, with a high percentage of shares sold short.

BEHOLD:

Ticker % Short
(FED: 17.24 +45.49%) 80.7
Greenhill & Co., Inc. (GHL: 85.00 +18.88%) 51.9
East West Bancorp, Inc. (EWBC: 16.13 +16.88%) 43.9
Zions Bancorporation (ZION: 45.22 +25.65%) 41.8
Colonial BancGroup, Inc. (CNB: 10.50 +42.08%) 37.8
Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT: 27.00 +31.64%) 35.4
Bank of the Ozarks, Inc. (OZRK: 30.94 +13.62%) 34
Provident Bankshares Corporation (PBKS: 10.61 +33.96%) 34
World Acceptance Corp. (WRLD: 38.00 +14.18%) 33.8
LandAmerica Financial Group, Inc. (LFG: 21.16 +11.37%) 33.8
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (FR: 31.00 +15.63%) 33.7
(AXR: 46.46 +9.83%) 32.6
JER Investors Trust Inc. (JRT: 6.35 +9.48%) 32.3
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR: 10.20 +33.51%) 32
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (ABK: 6.67 +15.60%) 31.8
Maguire Properties, Inc. (MPG: 7.45 +4.78%) 31.5
MBIA Inc. (MBI: 14.00 +44.18%) 31.1
UCBH Holdings, Inc. (UCBH: 6.53 +12.78%) 30.1
Cathay General Bancorp (CATY: 29.02 +14.57%) 30.1
Cohen & Steers, Inc. (CNS: 29.76 +12.22%) 29.9
Capital Trust, Inc. (CT: 10.34 +5.73%) 28.9
Northstar Realty Finance Corp. (NRF: 7.67 +12.63%) 28.8
First Horizon National Corporation (FHN: 13.20 +20.55%) 28.8
RAIT Financial Trust (RAS: 6.50 +10.36%) 28.8
Green Bankshares, Inc. (GRNB: 20.80 +11.47%) 26.7
(EVR: 14.00 +6.30%) 26.5
Anthracite Capital Inc. (AHR: 5.85 +14.26%) 25.8
Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN: 10.50 +28.99%) 25.7
Umpqua Holdings Corporation (UMPQ: 19.00 +11.70%) 25.4
LoopNet, Inc. (LOOP: 11.32 +12.08%) 25.1
First BanCorp. (FBP: 11.01 +18.39%) 24.9
PrivateBancorp, Inc. (PVTB: 42.99 +15.47%) 24.7
Hanmi Financial Corp (HAFC: 5.20 +7.88%) 24.6
The St. Joe Company (JOE: 38.65 +3.98%) 24.5
United Community Banks, Inc. (UCBI: 17.19 +23.14%) 24.1
Frontier Financial Corporation (FTBK: 17.50 +50.34%) 24
TCF Financial Corporation (TCB: 21.00 +13.21%) 23.5
Banner Corporation (BANR: 17.51 +39.97%) 22.7
Federal Realty Inv. Trust (FRT: 84.75 +11.90%) 22.6
Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc. (SKT: 43.35 +9.19%) 22.6
The South Financial Group (TSFG: 10.16 +20.52%) 22.5
Old Second Bancorp Inc. (OSBC: 22.00 +12.13%) 22.4
Cascade Bancorp (CACB: 11.00 +28.06%) 22.4
National Penn Bancshares, Inc. (NPBC: 17.50 +23.07%) 22.4
Central Pacific Financial Corp. (CPF: 18.70 +34.15%) 22.1
Synovus Financial Corp. (SNV: 11.00 +7.32%) 22
Life Partners Holdings, Inc. (LPHI: 32.39 +5.68%) 21.9
AmeriCredit Corp. (ACF: 11.26 +15.37%) 21.9
Old National Bancorp (ONB: 23.64 +14.09%) 21.7
Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida (SBCF: 11.65 +26.63%) 21.1
Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR: 48.00 +11.55%) 21
Glimcher Realty Trust (GRT: 9.88 +1.75%) 20.6
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB: 98.46 +8.53%) 20.5
Wilmington Trust Corporation (WL: 29.64 +17.62%) 20.5
National Financial Partners Corp. (NFP: 23.00 +20.42%) 20.5
WestAmerica Bancorp. (WABC: 64.68 +12.04%) 20.4
Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC: 32.81 +17.01%) 20.1
Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF: 30.69 +9.61%) 19.8
Capital One Financial Corp. (COF: 54.00 +16.53%) 19.8
Popular, Inc. (BPOP: 10.50 +31.25%) 19.8
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR: 19.66 +1.76%) 19.7
(CACC: 19.99 +14.49%) 19.7
American Capital Ltd. (ACAS: 24.08 +29.46%) 19.1
Whitney Holding Corp. (WTNY: 27.28 +20.71%) 19
First Commonwealth Financial (FCF: 15.00 +20.97%) 18.7
Home Properties, Inc. (HME: 58.19 +9.79%) 18.7
Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (GBCI: 27.34 +17.04%) 18.7
Boston Private Financial Holdings Inc (BPFH: 10.45 +8.63%) 18.6
Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO: 14.23 +9.13%) 18.3
(CCBG: 34.50 +19.54%) 18.3
Susquehanna Bancshares, Inc. (SUSQ: 22.97 +19.51%) 18.2
Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL: 25.75 +63.49%) 18
Cousins Properties Inc (CUZ: 26.25 +12.85%) 18
Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC: 14.10 +40.72%) 18
Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS: 129.00 +14.87%) 17.8
Comerica Incorporated (CMA: 36.58 +16.68%) 17.8
Tower Group, Inc. (TWGP: 23.20 +12.19%) 17.5
MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG: 9.50 +74.63%) 17.4
KBW, Inc. (KBW: 37.50 +37.97%) 17.3
Associated Banc-Corp (ASBC: 23.86 +17.36%) 17.1
Asset Acceptance Capital Corp. (AACC: 11.64 +12.46%) 16.9
BRE Properties, Inc. (BRE: 48.21 +9.05%) 16.7
Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. (PRSP: 35.99 +11.70%) 16.7
Entertainment Properties Trust (EPR: 57.54 +9.35%) 16.6
Realty Income Corp (O: 30.32 +17.20%) 16.5
BB&T Corporation (BBT: 39.50 +11.46%) 16.5
Marshall & Ilsley Corporation (MI: 22.98 +29.10%) 16.3
First Midwest Bancorp, Inc. (FMBI: 29.36 +13.93%) 16.2
Post Properties, Inc. (PPS: 29.65 +9.25%) 15.9
Dollar Financial Corp. (DLLR: 16.93 +1.62%) 15.8
Capitol Bancorp Ltd. (CBC: 20.76 +36.13%) 15.7
American Equity Investment Life Holding (AEL: 9.11 +8.19%) 15.6
Camden Property Trust (CPT: 50.84 +11.03%) 15.6
CIT Group Inc. (CIT: 10.70 +49.65%) 15.5
Strategic Hotels & Resorts Inc. (BEE: 9.27 +13.05%) 15
Advanta Corp. (ADVNB: 8.61 +19.42%) 14.8
CoBiz Financial Inc (COBZ: 12.07 +16.28%) 14.6
M&T Bank Corporation (MTB: 90.10 +16.18%) 14.5
Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated (HR: 30.50 +8.81%) 14.4
First Busey Corporation (BUSE: 20.77 +25.80%) 14.4
(AGNC: 17.83 +6.32%) 14.3
Wilshire Bancorp, Inc. (WIBC: 13.78 +9.02%) 14.3
Chemical Financial Corporation (CHFC: 35.16 +19.51%) 14.2
Hancock Holding Company (HBHC: 57.11 +15.07%) 14.2
Colonial Properties Trust (CLP: 19.27 +11.13%) 14.2
XL Capital Ltd. (XL: 18.15 +11.90%) 14.1
Financial Federal Corporation (FIF: 25.26 +6.22%) 13.9
National Retail Properties, Inc. (NNN: 23.93 +9.17%) 13.9
Jefferies Group, Inc. (JEF: 21.44 +11.03%) 13.8
West Coast Bancorp (WCBO: 13.85 +13.62%) 13.7
General Growth Properties, Inc (GGP: 19.92 -2.21%) 13.6
Acadia Realty Trust (AKR: 24.73 +3.43%) 13.6
Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM: 40.69 +13.75%) 13.4
United Bankshares, Inc. (UBSI: 34.50 +18.07%) 13.4
Regions Financial Corporation (RF: 14.60 +34.31%) 13.3
SVB Financial Group (SIVB: 59.41 +9.21%) 13.3
Piper Jaffray Companies (PJC: 35.45 +5.10%) 13.2
CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. (CBL: 21.40 +1.66%) 13.2
CapitalSource, Inc. (CSE: 13.50 +22.95%) 13.1
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI: 20.36 +7.78%) 13.1
First Financial Bankshares, Inc. (FFIN: 56.72 +7.71%) 13
Corporate Office Properties Trust (OFC: 42.00 +12.57%) 13
S&T Bancorp, Inc. (STBA: 39.91 +17.35%) 13
Knight Capital Group Inc. (NITE: 15.56 +5.92%) 12.9
Taubman Centers, Inc. (TCO: 52.83 +11.55%) 12.9
AMB Property Corporation (AMB: 50.45 +5.94%) 12.9
City National Corporation (CYN: 65.35 +22.40%) 12.8
Sandy Spring Bancorp Inc. (SASR: 21.50 +12.33%) 12.8
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc (SHO: 14.88 +10.30%) 12.8
MF Global Ltd. (MF: 5.63 +8.48%) 12.7
Weingarten Realty Investors (WRI: 40.00 +24.11%) 12.6
Fortress Investment Group LLC (FIG: 10.45 +0.97%) 12.6
Parkway Properties, Inc. (PKY: 41.89 +14.77%) 12.6
SL Green Realty Corp. (SLG: 69.67 +4.61%) 12.6
Wachovia Corporation (WB: 14.50 +58.99%) 12.6
Anchor BanCorp Wisconsin Inc. (ABCW: 9.27 +19.00%) 12.5
F.N.B. Corporation (FNB: 17.50 +21.61%) 12.5
Apartment Investment and Management Co. (AIV: 34.27 +11.67%) 12.5
PHH Corporation (PHH: 14.22 +10.40%) 12.4
eHealth, Inc. (EHTH: 14.45 +4.11%) 12.4
BancorpSouth, Inc. (BXS: 28.22 +10.32%) 12.3
IBERIABANK Corporation (IBKC: 59.88 +5.03%) 12.3
Park National Corporation (PRK: 79.57 +25.25%) 12.3
Nara Bancorp, Inc. (NARA: 14.75 +7.98%) 12.3
Gramercy Capital Corp. (GKK: 4.44 -8.45%) 12.2
Pennsylvania R.E.I.T. (PEI: 22.75 +16.31%) 12.2
Bank of Hawaii Corporation (BOH: 61.50 +12.43%) 12.2
(FSBK: 17.85 +18.60%) 12.1
(FSNM: 7.81 +18.87%) 12
Developers Diversified Realty Corp. (DDR: 33.49 +5.95%) 11.9
CB Richard Ellis Group, Inc. (CBG: 13.69 +4.50%) 11.9
Equity One, Inc. (EQY: 22.48 +11.67%) 11.9
Trustmark Corporation (TRMK: 28.50 +27.12%) 11.8
Equity Lifestyle Properties, Inc. (ELS: 52.12 +8.09%) 11.8
LaSalle Hotel Properties (LHO: 29.80 +16.91%) 11.8
Penson Worldwide, Inc. (PNSN: 13.16 -0.45%) 11.8
Brookline Bancorp, Inc. (BRKL: 12.59 +12.61%) 11.8
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST: 17.00 +25.37%) 11.8
Webster Financial Corporation (WBS: 22.99 +6.14%) 11.8
RLI Corp. (RLI: 59.92 +4.10%) 11.7
Alliance Data Systems Corporation (ADS: 57.34 +7.50%) 11.7
Stewart Information Services Corporation (STC: 28.51 +8.78%) 11.7
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM: 14.88 +41.18%) 11.6
Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG: 10.50 +0.67%) 11.6
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (ARE: 113.95 +9.73%) 11.5
Oriental Financial Group Inc. (OFG: 20.99 +15.71%) 11.4
(UBFO: 17.00 +11.33%) 11.3
ProLogis (PLD: 41.35 -2.80%) 11.3
Extra Space Storage, Inc. (EXR: 17.41 +16.85%) 11.3
(AMFI: 9.82 +14.59%) 11.2
FirstMerit Corporation (FMER: 26.17 +19.01%) 11.1
U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (GROW: 8.36 +4.63%) 11.1
FPIC Insurance Group, Inc. (FPIC: 56.08 +13.84%) 11
Apollo Investment Corp. (AINV: 17.10 +15.85%) 11
Fulton Financial Corp. (FULT: 13.88 +13.49%) 11
Sterling Bancshares, Inc. (SBIB: 11.72 +11.51%) 11
Ocwen Financial Corporation (OCN: 7.26 +5.83%) 10.9
Home BancShares, Inc. (HOMB: 31.23 +16.75%) 10.9
FCStone Group, Inc. (FCSX: 15.85 +4.76%) 10.8
Janus Capital Group Inc. (JNS: 24.23 +13.17%) 10.8
Regency Centers Corporation (REG: 70.80 +12.65%) 10.8
Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd. (MRH: 16.64 +1.96%) 10.8
Thomas Weisel Partners Group, Inc. (TWPG: 7.03 +4.61%) 10.7
FelCor Lodging Trust Incorporated (FCH: 8.01 +13.30%) 10.6
First Financial Bancorp (FFBC: 14.80 +17.18%) 10.6
Sun Communities, Inc. (SUI: 19.95 +5.28%) 10.6
Cedar Shopping Centers Inc (CDR: 12.98 +0.85%) 10.6
National Interstate Corporation (NATL: 21.15 +11.43%) 10.6
MainSource Financial Group Inc. (MSFG: 20.00 +8.64%) 10.6
Stifel Financial Corp. (SF: 45.85 +9.74%) 10.6
Legg Mason, Inc. (LM: 37.00 +4.25%) 10.4
Sterling Bancorp (STL: 17.48 +14.62%) 10.4
Highwoods Properties, Inc. (HIW: 35.22 +7.64%) 10.4
UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF: 59.00 +13.22%) 10.4
(EPHC: 10.77 +3.56%) 10.3
Allied Capital Corporation (ALD: 14.02 +14.17%) 10.3
Inland Real Estate Corporation (IRC: 15.49 +3.61%) 10.1
SunTrust Banks, Inc. (STI: 55.05 +15.58%) 10.1

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Let the Tax Payer Eat the Losses

So the government may issue 400-700 billion dollars in short term notes, in order to take the garbagio off the banks’ balance sheets. In other words, the tax payer will eat Wall Streets losses, while they (Wall Street) get back to business as usual. Without a doubt, such a facility will help the banks short term, but fuck the economy long term. Gold should rally and the dollar should suffer.

After today’s trading, I am pretty sure my life expectancy dropped by 5 years.

I have not moved this fast, since the dot com bubble days. Literally, I moved millions on the short side to long, in a matter of 30 minutes.

Typically, i would never act so rashly. But, I have a hunch this plan may resonate with Wall Street. And, coupled with the fact that the media is blaming Al Qaeda for shorting American financial institutions, I suspect the rally will continue.

But, if it doesn’t, I will file a class action law suit against CNBC for disseminating false rumors.

The assholes on CNBC were half way dead when Morgan Stanley [[MS]] and Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. [[GS]] were printing at the lows. Incessantly, they were trying to rally the stocks, in order to help a few assholes out. Then, Charlie “meatball” Gasparino released the RTC rumor.

Now, if this turns out to be one big circle jerk, I will quickly blow out of my Citigroup Inc. [[C]] , [[UYG]] and [[ROM]] , and reverse course again. This is my stupid life.

At the end of the day, Bill Miller from Legg Mason, Inc. [[LM]] is still an asshole (did LM really print $51 today?). And, the economy is still a filthy cess pool. Nonetheless, in the interim, there may be limited upside over the next week or so.

UPDATE: The SEC is going to ban short selling, for an undetermined time frame. With “The Fly” covering his shorts today and going long, the term “The Fly Wins again, even when he appears to be losing badly” applies.

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Heart Attack Thursday

Truly, today was the most nerve racking day in years. Early this morning I was on this site telling everyone the market was going to zero. Now, I am here telling you I covered my shorts and went long Citigroup Inc. [[C]] .

Amazingly fucktarded.

Let me recap:

The government may set up an RTC facility that will eat all of the losses on the banks’ balance sheets, which will enable them to lend again.

Long story short, this is a fast market and you have to adjust accordingly, else lose it all.

At first, I was skeptical of the rally, when we were up 100. However, once I heard that an RTC fund may be set up, I ran for cover, like a little bitch.

All in all, I sold 95% of my [[SKF]] , in the low 120’s. I sold 95% of my [[SRS]] in the mid 80’s to mid 90’s. I covered my entire Legg Mason, Inc. [[LM]] , AXA (ADR) [[AXA]] , Pzena Investment Management, Inc. [[PZN]] , PacWest Bancorp [[PACW]] , Fifth Third Bancorp [[FITB]] and Vulcan Materials Company [[VMC]] short positions.

Then, I reversed course and bought truckloads of Citigroup Inc. [[C]] , [[ROM]] , [[UYG]] and Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. [[FCX]] .

Long story short: today was mind numbingly nerve racking. However, as always, I intend to end up on top.

NOTE: I bought more than 100,000 C today.

NOTE II: This morning, I was up another 10%. Then, as things reversed, I was down 8%. Then, I went long and ended down a mere 2%. Just another day at the office.

Off to drink myself stupid.

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