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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

Banks are to be Loved, Oil Faded

Over the past two days Exodus has been flagging the financials oversold. I discussed it briefly, due to the very accurate history of the signals. Today the banks are running like freed slaves. I do not claim victory in this endeavor, as I didn’t have a horse in the race. Perhaps if I wasn’t so stubborn, I would’ve done something about it. But that’s another matter to be worked out with my inner demons.

FAS

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Today, there is another interesting call being made and I am going to tell you what it is, in spite of a certain fuckhead who’s been menacing me with his childish complaints.

This should come as no surprise to you, so I feel at liberty to discuss it. We all know that oil and gas stocks are overbought. The only question you should have  is how does one quantify it and what are the past results of selling short into overbought levels, such as now?

OBOil

This signal is flawless by the 5th trading day; which means if you shorted it on Monday, you should expect profits by the first day of the following week. Some of the levered ETFs, like ERX, are overbought too and the potential profits of leveraging this trade is tempting. But short squeezes are brutal affairs and it’s best not to get too aggressive while these little speedboats are racing across the waters.

Wait for them to hit a rock, then pounce on them with medieval intentions. Moor their little ships and then crush them into the octopi infested waters.

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Iraqi Prime Minister: ISIS Used Mustard Gas in Recent Attack

Who wants to get American boots on the ground? The junior varsity ‘B-team’ as Obama like to call them, ISIS, reportedly used the chemical agent known as ‘mustard gas’ in a recent attack near Kirkuk.

“The random gas attack against the town of Taza is a big crime and the response will be tough,” Abadi said in a statement posted on his website on Friday. He said he sent a team of medics to Taza, south of Kirkuk.

Rudaw news agency reported that mustard gas was used in the assault, which took place on Wednesday and killed a 3-year-old girl, citing local health department official Burhan Abdullah. Dozens of people were wounded and some are in a serious condition, Rudaw said.

Fuckheads like Rubio and Cruz want to send troops to that hell hole, in order to secure, well, hell.

No thanks. Indiscriminate bombing from low altitudes works for me.

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Oil Stocks Turn Positive for the Year; Massive Bull Rally Underway

With today’s 4% move in oil stocks, the median return is now positive for this once derided sector. Now that the crisis has passed and the bull market is back, we can all go back to our jobs in the Bakken Shale and start drilling for USELESS FUCKING OIL AGAIN.

Also, the biggest gainers in oil today are in the exploration names, due to America’s renewed interest in fossil fuels. Fire up that deep sea driller; we’re gonna drill, baby, drill.

The unhedged morons at CLR are higher by 8%. The once thought to be bankrupt WLL is higher by 9%, as well as BBG.

There is a party taking place in the oil patch now, lads. Are you man enough to buy them?

Since oil is now up for the year and everyone is making money again, what sectors are lagging?

Biotech -27%
Nuclear -21%
Tankers -17%
Solar -16%
Staffing -15%
Foreign Banks -14%

Have at it.

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Trump: Hillary Doesn’t Have the Energy or Strength to Get Deals Done

In a press conference this morning, Donald Trump promised to make America rich again. He is going to save social security and slay the Chinese dragon beast from eating all of our jobs.

Also, he discussed the low energy/strength status of Hillary Clinton. He cast her aside like a piece of parsley garnish on a rib eye steak, saying she had no business instincts and was terrible on trade.

It’s worth noting, Trump has many, many friends in China and isn’t mad at them. He’s only going to park the USS Reagan in the port of Beijing until we get better deals out of them.

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CCLA: The ECB’s Moves Were ‘Insufficient’

There are two ways to judge the ECBs moves.

1. How will they affect markets?

2. How will they affect the economy?

While Kiesel Soze says it’s the hugest shit ever, the distinguished and eloquent James Bevan, from CCLA, says it’s complete horseshit and that it will have no material impact on the ECBs economic woes.

To that end, Bevan believes the ECB will regret these moves, and rue them in a mournful manner.

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PIMCO: ECB Move Huge For High Yield

This guy looks like he has a few bodies buried in his basement. But I’m certain he’s a great investor. Who’s that annoying BBG female host? What’s going on over there, cocaine?

The new ECB plan is going to serve as a giant vacuum, depleting the world of income generating corporate bonds. This, inexorably, is going to cause investors to lower the bar, disgrace themselves by settling for high yield crap, according to Mr. Kiesel.

Should credit spreads tighten, as Kiesel is predicting, both JNK and HYG are screaming buys.

Who the hell are these people?

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Goldman Turns Positive On Oil Stocks

Who knows what these people are up to? Some of you actually believe the analysts say the opposite on purpose, just to gain an edge on an unsuspecting public. Fucking conspiracy theorists.

At any rate, with the recent rebound in crude, analysts have become much more sanguine about the oil sector. This morning, Goldman upgraded a slew of companies, suggesting the worst is behind us and there are nothing but cotton candy clouds ahead.

They upgraded OII, FTI, WFT, OAS, CRZO, RSPP and APC. They did, however, downgrade HP.

HP likely told them to fuck off, when asked about doing a secondary for them.

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American Markets Set to Rage Higher

Gains are bountiful in Europe. U.S. futures are following their lead, as people digest yesterday’s ECB actions, coupled with the yuan strength, and decided it was good news after all.

 

Crude is higher again, despite a sharply stronger dollar.

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The DAX is ripping tits to the upside.

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And of course, NASDAQ futures are through the roof.

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European Banks Soar; Euro Weakens Considerably

There is a massive move in European banks taking place in Europe today, thanks to incentives offered to them by the ECB for lending money. The whole thing is sort of a mess. But in the interim, European stocks are spiraling higher, led by Unicredit, Axa and Deutsche Bank.

The euro is selling off v the dollar, a net positive for European exporters.

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Look at those banks run.

 

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Kasich the Loser Thief Openly Says Stealing Election is Fair Play

These RNC hacks are incorrigible with their brazen, immoral, behavior, openly talking about ‘brokering’ the RNC convention in order to steal it from D. Trump. In other words, the time invested by the millions of republican voters are absolutely meaningless to the miscreants in the empty suits.

In the past, they’d at least try to be subtle about their corruption, hiding behind scandal and perfidy, using a controlled media to frame the narrative. Now they just come out and say it: ‘fuck this guy. He’s not one of us. We are going to take the election from him. Isn’t that a great idea, folks?”

You didn’t build your business.

You can keep your own Doctor.

We’ve won the war.

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