iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,431 Blog Posts

The Bubble Has Burst

Inside of The PPT, I’ve created a “Bubble Basket” of my own, one whose constituents are the most vulgar of stocks. There are companies who belong at the very bottom of the ocean, alongside the Titanic. God willing, they will be there soon.

I bet when you broke up with your girlfriend, or divorced your wife, deep down you hoped she’d get fat and ugly, age badly. You probably went to an old reunion and kitchen bitched about so and so being out of shape  and loose around the jowls. The truth is, when we sell our stocks, we want them to go down forever. The very idea of them doing well without our gracious endorsement is hateful to us, well at least that’s how I used to think about them.

“The Fly” no longer harbors deep resentment for the stocks who nearly destroyed and mangled his career to elephantine pieces, and may still do that–all dependent on my next moves. I forgive FEYE, SPLK, WDAY and YELP for making a fool out of me and I hope that they go on to marry other rich men and live happily ever after. I do not wish that they travel to Africa and have unprotected sex, catch aids, then die.  I’m a single man now and wish only to pleasure myself (no masterbation), through explicit stock market winshippery.

Ragin Cajun went through the oversold data for this year and last and it’s exactly what I expected: low beta, peace of mind, returns. After I give his work a second look, I might post it here, for all of you Original Don’s to peruse. The gist of the report says, had you bought QQQ upon The PPTs OVERSOLD signal and sold 5 days later, you would have made upwards of 15% last year and over 4% this year, so far. On the surface, it’s an unimpressive number, at least to the layman. You folks want cocaine shoved down your necks and into your noses, with 500% gains. “The Fly” can no longer offer you that sort of satisfaction. However, if you’re interested in having your money exposed for merely 100 days at most, in this God forsaken market, with a maximum drawdown of just 1.5%, I am your man.

There are ways to juice these returns, through other investment vehicles and of course leverage. But this is the recipe to the mother sauce and I do not intend to share it with the great many of you unwashed heathens just yet.

 

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63 comments

  1. ROB CARL

    HERE HE HERE HE!

    The King is back. The one and only Roberto Carlos Los Tres De La Rosa Rodriguez.

    Long TSLA. Put all your money in it, your parents money, your grandparents money, your savings, 401k, fucking everything. We’re doing this Jeff Skilling/Enron style, invest your life fucking savings and help me push that PoS stock higher.

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  2. Buying Question

    At what time each day are PPT oversold readings generated/posted? Can someone get into a vehicle on the cash market before the end of the day, or are the readings generated after the close, causing one to have to play in the futures market or the after hours session?

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  3. Rolling the Barrel
    Rolling the Barrel

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X29hSD7_5dY

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  4. soupbone

    How about some of your more recent picks? Other than Perry Como. Ditched Pfizer, don’t trust.

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  5. spinner

    Fly, I believe that would be “burst”
    as opposed to “bursted” though I’m sure I’ve done both to my portfolios over the years.

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    • The Fly

      That is correct, an oversight on my behalf. Corrected and thank you.

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      • Original Don

        Also:

        There These are companies who belong at the very bottom of the ocean”

        “habors” should be “harbours”

        “elephantine” means huge, I think a career is destroyed into “tiny smithereens” if we’re rolling with that analogy, not huge chunks

        “Masturbation”

        No comma needed after “peace of mind”

        In fact, many unnecessary commas in the last paragraph, not going to correct them all

        Just having a little fun, not really grammar trolling fyi

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        • Original Don

          “who belong” —— “which belong

          I remember being chided rather sternly in my youth that corporations are always “its” not “theys” and “which” not “who”

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  6. og

    Look at GOGO.

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  7. Atlas

    “I do not wish that they travel to Africa and have unprotected sex, catch aids, then die.”

    Cretin.

    See the world.

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  8. alf44

    .

    We’re after that same rainbow’s end, waiting, round the bend…

    My Huckleberry Friend …

    Moon River, and me !

    .

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    • ROB CARL

      Fucking wierdo GTFO with that non-sense language. Go join an anti-dark pool group or something.

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      • alf44

        .

        Learn to spell “weirdo” … cockroach !!!

        .

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      • The Real Muppet

        He is quoting the song’s lyrics. The song that Fly posted above, you dense lump of jellyfish turd.

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        • ROB CARL

          It is still non sense, regardless if The Great One posted it. I prefer to be a dense lump of jellyfish semen, as it much more accurately describes the fluidity in which I think and dominate the markets.

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          • alf44

            .

            YOU are a DOUCHE !!!

            .

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          • alf44

            .

            AND … “a dense lump of jellyfish semen” !!!

            .

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          • alf44

            .
            … gotta say, when I woke up this morning, never in a million years did I imagine I would type those words !!!

            Crazy World !!!

            .

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  9. Biggranddaddy

    Ifon looks like a round trip to 2.00 http://stks.co/f0UpW

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  10. rahagar

    “kitchen bitching”…lol. And what about some Sinatra, “That’s life” seems very fitting:

    “That’s life
    That’s what all the people say
    You’re riding high in April, shot down in May
    But I know I’m gonna change that tune
    When I’m back on top, back on top in June

    I said that’s life
    (That’s life)
    And as funny as it may seem
    Some people get their kicks stomping on a dream
    But I don’t let it, let it get me down
    ‘Cause this fine old world, it keeps spinnin’ around

    I’ve been a puppet, a pauper, a pirate, a poet, a pawn and a king
    I’ve been up and down and over and out and I know one thing
    Each time I find myself flat on my face
    I pick myself up and get back in the race”

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  11. Schizo168

    Fly, you are a racist !! Why do you have to say go to africa and catch aids ? Even if its true ?

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  12. jimmy_two_times

    @Alf i guess your nemesis took the old i b4 e
    except after c literally

    thank God for the GDE

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  13. Original Don

    Couple comments…

    I would like to see the actual data.

    Some points to consider (and no, not trying to argue for arguments sake, trying to help you or others vet this idea as thoroughly as possible, in the interest of not being … hasty):

    Last year the QQQ returned 35.05% with a max single day drawdown of 6.96%.

    Aside from ~20 days, in all other trading days in 2013, ~232 days or 90% of trading days the max drawdown from any local high was less than 4%.

    That is really low volatility already, practically anomalous.

    You have a tendency to cite studies with way too few data points (sometimes as few as 5-10) which are not statistically valid or determinative of anything (cc: majority of seasonality stuff you post). Since the market has fat tails at the end of each probability curve and the data points are not independent, it is not a normal distribution but a t-distribution which requires a large sample size, possibly >100. But let’s forget the fancy math no one actually gets.

    Simply put, I don’t believe using data points from the upper 90th percentile of market returns in the last few decades as the core basis for the study will bear out with similar results in the future, especially since you expect a lot more volatility.

    This approach risks not hindsight bias, but outcome bias, which our friends at investopedia cite as “A decision based on the outcome of previous events without regard to how the past events developed.

    IOW — Maybe it was liquidity driven, maybe it was Ben B., maybe it was beginning of bull market in earnest, maybe the end, maybe it was vulture capitalists, etc etc.

    ————

    This year has more impressive results, +4% before fees compared to the index 1.57% ytd

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  14. matt_bear

    I guess the hatred of apple is over now once reality set in that they practically print cash.

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  15. FoorYourSuccess

    Gentleman know the path to moving on is to forgive those who don’t deserve it; especially in-laws, ex’s, and financial decisions.

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  16. Mr.Partridge

    I’ve done some crazy trading in the past… but what I am doing now is pretty nuts… just set my buy and sell for 3x at my targets and boom… done without me even at the desk… not sure how long this sick volatility can continue

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  17. Bootlick Bill

    What are those weird avatars everyone seems to be using? i feel left behind.

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  18. Bob

    You are still holding IFON right? You mentioned you hadnt sold a share. Just wondering bc it was down big today

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  19. MX2101

    All of you leave me with no choice, but to post a link to this song, written by the co-composer of “Moon River”

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p2gd_jWR4q8

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  20. Bruce J Keller

    After we surge the next week after a slight dip tomorrow I’ll probably be buying some puts on SSYS and TSLA… maybe CMG. Maybe some FAZ calls; shrug.

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  21. Bob

    Fly, where do we stand on IFON, it appears u will be riding this one to zero, does today’s action bring the ytd losses close to 40%?

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  22. alf44

    .

    MAVS vs. SPURS

    Bout to tip it off !!!

    .

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  23. alf44

    .

    Fly !

    Perhaps, in the “posting void” … that your “self-imposed” trading “re-boot” has created …

    … you could relinquish the “HEADLINER” marquee … AND … showcase some of the OTHER GREAT BLOGGERS … on tha site !!!

    SERIOUSLY !!!

    .

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