iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,433 Blog Posts

Classic October

Later on today I will do a post about long term positions. Over the years, a slew of clients have asked for ‘good’ names to “buy and hold”, for the kids, grandkids or what have you. I happen to have a fine list of stocks, thoroughly researched, that can be shared inside of these fine halls. But it all depends on how stocks behave today. If stocks bleed lower again, my mood might become violent, filled with rage, causing me to harbour a significant amount of animosity towards the world. Under that scenario, there isn’t a chance at seeing me behave in a charitable, distinguishable manner.

Earnings season is here, by the way. That means you need to sell non-core stocks before their earnings are reported. I have a feeling there is going to be a lot of blood drawn this quarter. Looking at retail, which is the US consumer, the economy is underperforming. If you don’t have an edge, get out of the way.

Speaking of which, Dry Bulk rates are lower this morning, due to a drop in Capesize rates. However, Supramax and Panamax rates were higher, once again–which might support some share appreciation in the bulkers today. Truth be told, I am flabbergasted by the weakness in the shippers. Isn’t anyone else paying attention to the god damned shipping rates?

JOSB is bidding for MW. This small deal should remind short sellers of the amount of cash on corporate books. It’s a very dangerous game to sell short, particularly heading into Q4.

Dark clouds are overhead, in classic October fashion. The goal should be to make it through in one piece, then prepare for an unrivaled, perverted, run heading into Turkey day (gobble, gobble) and into Xmas. Better times are ahead.

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21 comments

  1. tradercaddy

    “JOSB is bidding for MW.”
    Is Joseph Banks demanding buy one share get three free?

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    • The Fly

      and get half off.

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      • kdog

        “You’ll like the way you look. I guarantee it!”

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        • tradercaddy

          Ha.
          Maybe George Zimmer will get back in as spokesman for the merged Co.
          He can combine the quotes:
          “Buy one, get three free, and the first at half off. You will like it. I guarantee it.”

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  2. matt_bear

    have you enjoyed your morning earl grey with mill and honey yet?

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  3. matt_bear

    milk*

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  4. kdog

    I hope you can control that mood. I’d really like to hear your thoughts on long term positions. I’m opening up a brokerage account for my son soon in hopes of educating him on some of this. I want him to stick more to longer term investing rather than the short term stuff.

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  5. kdog

    What is this “awaiting moderation” stuff after I post a comment?

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    • Bullish

      Be careful, they usually do that to you to daze and confuse you, next they aim the Orbital Space Cannon (OSC) at your home.

      You know what comes next… DUCK!

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  6. longview

    Dooms day is near! Die all! Die merrily!

    I’ve been watching the “Hollow Crown” series, a production of Shakespeare’s history plays available free on PBS.com. The line is from Henry IV Part I.

    Fly, I know you are a fan of the classics. You might enjoy them.

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  7. bood

    today sell off is option/future/shit driven ( is a push down , no liquidation going on ).
    we might be near something .

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  8. tspirit

    BDIY latest (10/8) is up to 2146 +1.47%. 52wk high. Unclear on the down comment.

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  9. bood

    it seems shorts have piled up some new weapons against the artificial fed market

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  10. mr.partridge

    URRE DSLV .. portfolio in green today.. still high cash

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  11. gatorsun

    still feel no need to jump in this shitstorm…i’ll wait for the green light

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  12. tradingnymph

    Well OF COURSE I am always watching the BDI rates, so you are not alone. Chinese Rebar has been acting so weird, it was up last night…but nothing to justify the huge amount of Ore being moved. OK here is my BEAR thesis for the pop in buying of Ore.
    1. They are playing a trend that India starts construction up when their Time to Honor the Dead ends (which was Oct 7). So that came, sell the news, India isn’t building.
    2. Basic Metals Traders were playing the Golden Week low stock piles and hope for more Govt Stimulus from China..but Copper didn’t act the same way? So Don’t like this one.
    3. China was allowing a New Offshore Iron Ore Futures Market, they are trying to push China Steel Makers to use Spot vs being Slaves to VALE, BHP, etc “Contracted Prices”.
    4. Real Demand in China…ROFLOL, that was a good one.
    Anyway, I see the BDI rates peaking soon because we are going into winter and Shippers are scrabbling to bring more Ships online.

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    • txchick57

      and how long did it take you to make your first billion in the dry shipping market? George Economou disagrees with you. I’ll listen to him instead of some internet “expert” wannabe.

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  13. bood

    ALERT the qqq just dropped 5M block volume in plase, like candy , should mean something

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  14. bood

    Sorry it was a 10M volume block . dropped there where it was effortlessly , like a candy .

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