iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,433 Blog Posts

Love is in the Air

Old man Buffett is buying ketchup. He’s a cynical type. Perhaps the government will begin inserting drugs in our ketchup, in order to maintain a docile mob. Either way, I think it’s fair to say mergers and acquisitions are back. Men of banking have their swagger bag.  Million dollar bonuses and the private jet life are their rite. Soon enough, the ipo market will boom and private equity will become increasingly active–which is why I am long GS and BX.

Just so you know, BX has been a very big buyer of foreclosed properties over the years and now hold a portfolio of more than $3 billion. Not only is BX your best private equity play–but it’s also a great way to play the housing recovery.

ANGI is going absolutely gangbusters this morning. Naturally, I missed out on the run, even though I was a fan. Here is a snippet of a convo I had with RC about it, on 9/11/12–when the stock was at $10.

This has become a regular occurrence. It takes patience to hold distressed assets, a character trait that I am lacking in some regard. I am very patient with stocks that I believe in–but not so much in names that are shrouded with uncertainty–as was the case with ANGI.

Seeing ANGI  soar makes me want to buy back NAV. The company is struggling and in the process of attempting a turn around. The valuation is so cheap, it’s almost worth the gamble. If they’re successful, the stock will quickly head back into the mid-$40’s.

Aside from taking Mrs. Fly to a Valentine’s Day lunch, I intend to research some distressed companies today. I will only buy them if the fundamentals scream value. Otherwise, they’re just dogs in a rip roaring market.

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25 comments

  1. Bravo

    Add ANR to the list as well.

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  2. JakeGint

    You cannot find more value than you can in the bosom of the Gollum Stocks, El Jefe.

    Make some good use of that bilinguality and take a field trip, si?

    ___________

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  3. TraderCaddy

    Take Mrs. Fly into the city and get yourself a nice corned beef sandwich at Sarges Deli.
    Just tell her it’s the prototype for Whole Foods future eateries.
    http://www.yelp.com/biz_photos/sarges-new-york-delicatessen-new-york?select=9NbWmTnP3N3VUcsWaPCz3g#9NbWmTnP3N3VUcsWaPCz3g

    Or go to to Shake Shack at Madison Sq. Park and get some cheeseburgers.

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  4. TheMarketAce

    How about $KKR as an alternative private equity play? Why $BX over $KKR?

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    • The Fly

      KKR is good. I just like BX. They are the best in PE

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      • JakeGint

        Disagreuuuuud.

        Take a look at the 5, 3 and 1 year chart comparisons between BX and TCAP, for example.

        That’s your Raleigh-based gentlemen, for you. Not a dishonorable man in the lot.

        The guys at Blackstone on the other hand….

        ___________

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        • The Fly

          Did you just say “chart”?

          Maybe you want to look at some of them PM charts first?

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          • JakeGint

            When I say “chart” I mean “compare the returns.

            Chart means nothing save as a comparison between the two stocks performance over the last 5 years.

            Easiest way to look at it, but one could break it down into numbers as well.

            _________

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  5. Mr.Partridge

    Best day of the year… huge scores for me all over the place SHZ HNZ DGAZ … etc
    HVD!

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    • The Fly

      congrats

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      • Mr.Partridge

        Thanks boss.
        ment to say STZ not SHZ..
        I had bought STZ just a few days ago (February 8) in my investment portfolio – switched form TRP, twited in real time and one kid followed me, hope he is happy too lol. Bought DGAZ yesterday in trading portfolio, often do it on wendsday before report (this is 3rd week on the row)… and of course i have HNZ for long time as ‘old man stock’ and boom old man bought it .. wow didn’t expect it at all.

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        • Mr.Partridge

          To all canadian traders outhere, the word of advise – stay the fuck away form canadian energy names oil and gas and TRP and ENB… shit is about to hit the fan JMHO

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  6. TheHarper

    $APP is by far the best turnaround play in the market right now

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  7. jb

    Hi Fly,

    What do you think of ANR now?

    Thanks!

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  8. The Pirate

    I share your pain Fly, and have a question. Dammit, I own Heinz (HNZ), but the bonds, NOT the stock… I also own Constellation brands (STZ) bonds, but not the stock and it is rocketing higher today after the beating it took recently – I really should have seen this one coming and nearl bought the stock, but didn’t pull the trigger 🙁 Anyhow, on Heinz I just wanted what most think is a stable company to keep my money safe in ketchup, but unlike Partridge, I thought it best to go with a long term bond rather than the stock – who could’ve known Buffet would buy them?

    Fly, my question is: are my 2028 HNZ bonds are safe to hold to all the way to maturity in Buffet’s hands if need be? Will they trade higher? 15 years is a long time to wait, though I do get those interest payments…

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  9. JakeGint

    Dang, I have a buddy who works for Titleist down here… he is DEFINITELY buying the bourbons at the White Bar tonight ….

    Lucky bastid has a hot wife too…

    _______

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  10. djmarcus

    fyi, wnc has an investor presentation going on atm. link: http://wsw.com/webcast/bbt24/wnc/

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  11. Patrick

    Eah man I thought drugs are in ketchup… corn sizzzzurp?

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  12. Mr.Partridge

    Bonds are rising

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  13. JakeGint

    That Israel Chemical is a winner, btw.

    _______

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