iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,441 Blog Posts

BEHOLD: Another Black Swan Event

All hope is lost.

JPM just sucked the life out of the market. There is no need to offer flowery writing this morning, no metaphors or analogies. You will have to accept the bad news and move on with your lives. For some of you that means eating sandwiches and hoping this will pass soon. For others, today’s tape is a fine opportunity to go for a spin in the FAZmobile.

I cannot fathom a scenario where banks can do well in the short term. Until we get more clarity on this JPM story, avoid the banks like you would avoid pig fat sushi.

It looks like a -1% day and that’s too bad because European yields are somewhat stable. There was every reason to believe the market was setting up for a reflex rally, after weeks of somber, cocksucking, bullshit. But now it’s all over and death itself is knocking on the front door.

Are you going to open it?

Naturally, I anticipate heinous losses in my accounts today, with exception to WNR. Crack spreads are almost $30 and the refineries are being accumulated by giant hedge funds, whose goal in life is to be greedy and kill people for profit.

Regrettably, Mrs. Fly has plans for me today, which entails accompanying her to some event that borders on the ridiculous and lives in the nonsensical. Nevertheless, I am a generous man, with both time and money. Therefore, it is my duty to shed my owlish wisdom into her life, with the hopes that one day my generosity can save lives or inspire others to build space cannons, designed and purposed for egregious offensive measures.

In short, watch Spanish and Italian yields. It’s my hunch JPM’s fate is tethered to the “credit worthiness” of the club med states. Therefore, and this goes without saying, and I say this with the boldest of stentorian tones: they’re pretty much fucked for another $10 billion plus.

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24 comments

  1. JTU

    Greedy pigs who haven’t learned anything!

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    • JTU

      Jamie says he accepts full responsibility! It’s only fair that he should payback the 2 billion personally!

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  2. Black swan

    I thought I was unique. I guess not. If you say “another black swan” is it really a black swan or perhaps endimic to the systme

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    • The Fly

      It’s a play on words.

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      • Black swan

        Fortunately QE allows us to ignore this risk and bid up stocks aggresively. This should end well and of course allow me to make another “unexepected” appearance. See you shortly.

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  3. surplusdroids

    indeed. great post sir.

    Looks like the bad hedge trade from JPM was to offset chasing high yield HORSESHIT from Europe.

    The IBEX (NO BOND) getting crushed. down 3%
    http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/IBEX:IND

    I own JPM and was having a good year.

    It is so nice that todays markets are an inter-connected global fox trot monkey fuck. I pray to the market gods for a return to an economy of making and selling actual goods. Not shaving points of paper assets.

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    • surplusdroids

      I would also like to add..that it just wasn’t a hedge.

      Many times hedges need to be PROFITABLE.
      By that definition. One is chasing risk. (The opposite of a hedge)

      I would wager that at JPM they needed to be profitable because that is the modern way most companies cut up there divisions/businesses.

      You must be profitable to keep your job. And justify your own costs. Even if your fundamental purpose is HEDGING RISK.

      What a joke.

      PS: Will retweet.

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  4. The Fly

    You should all do me a favour and Retweet my posts. It’s important that others on the outside learn about the splendour of Le Fly and his fine dwellings.

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  5. xxxHuggieBearxxx
    xxxHuggieBearxxx

    It would be impossible for me to accompany my wife to any non-sensical event on a day, such as this one, this is poised to deliver such grievous losses upon my person. I would be intolerable if not downright nasty.

    In other news, gold continues to fall faster than any single other investment vehicle on the planet, with the exception of the gold miners themselves. I feel a bit like i own XLF in the 2008 time period. One would think that the mining sector is sitting on trillions of derivatives losses.

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  6. asteroids

    I lost a small amount yesterday afternoon. My bullshit meter went off. I went to cash. Glad I did. I fucking hate this market.

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  7. Gent

    Umm fly get ready to get your positions roasted by a big red friday just like old times, oh and do enjoy the outing with the miss.

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  8. Dog

    “…pig fat sushi.” Almost threw up my coffee.

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  9. The Fly

    Mkt looking good. Hyperbole works!

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  10. Yabollox

    It’s no big deal. Jamie made a clean breast of it once discovered at his level. Remember the SocGen rogue trader that blew $7bil or whatever? No bid deal now, much more has been lost in other events. Market is a honey badger.

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  11. Bullish

    Poof, the bullshit sell off is gone!

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  12. razorsedge

    hey look at the hd chart, lol. its perfect

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  13. surplusdroids

    GREEN SHOOTS

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  14. noodle

    Told y’all bulls need a black swan.
    NOW WE ARE FREE TO RALLY.
    FUCK JPM.

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  15. Mad Willie Thompson
    Mad Willie Thompson

    Loaded up on TNA just before the JPM news hit yesterday. Decided to hold (though shitting bricks the entire time).

    So far, it is treating daddy right.

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  16. wvufan8787

    Smoking some FAS here.

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  17. LFZ

    I’m not going to sell now!!! 1350 on the SP looks solid for today next week too!! Sick of cocks. The Bear Funds must lick many upswinging retracing balls that plan to spread with Call style on their faces for next week!! Tea Time Baby!1

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  18. razorsedge

    fdx, wprt…lov today.

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  19. LFZ

    It appears Obama and Hiliary are making reciprication deal with Club Meds if they can pump us on a Friday afternoon after Major Bank gets hurt….JMP needs a favor….then they will pressure IMF when time comes to get them back.. which is soon!!!

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