iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,431 Blog Posts

Tired Bull

There is a real divergence today, with banks in the shitter and tech ripping. However, trannies are weak, so don’t get all excited and shit about a late day rally. I can say with an enormous degree of certainty, the market will not reverse higher today.

See tech is stupid, trading on the whims of frivolous and gratuitous takeover rumors. The real tell is the banks. Look no further than JPM, BAC, MS and GS.

Instead of selling out of my VXX, I added to my position today. It was a small add, in an effort to reduce my cost basis. Make no mistake, we are due for a 3% pullback.

All of my other positions are performing admirably, putting me flat for the day. Yesterday’s purchases of OPEN and RFMD proved accurate–so far–trading up for the session. More importantly, my WNR is barely down. Trust me when I tell you, “the WNR” cannot be kept down for much longer. It is worth at least $25, if not more.

To be clear: if I thought a steep drop was imminent, I’d sell my longs. I am net long because the market is speaking to me. My next play will be to remove most of my longs in an effort to allow my 15% short exposure benefit from the coming drop in stocks. I will not up my short exposure to more than 25%. My future allocation will likely be 10% long, 25% short and 65% cash.

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54 comments

  1. Dubz

    The $VXX Revenge trade still lives.

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  2. Anonymous

    WLT is ripping on news JPM and GS have been brought in as advisors. OTM calls seeing heavy volume.

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  3. Wall Street Protester
    Wall Street Protester

    NEXT STOP THE FLYS CHOO CHOO! Time to get your legs broken, your drove America down to her knees & you will face the ultimate justice!

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    • The Fly

      I will murder you where you stand!

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      • Andy

        Your comment reminds me of the episode of Dr. Drew’s Celebrity Rehab where Amy Fisher’s husband Lou keeps threatening Jeremy Jackson “I’ll kill you where you stand motherfucker” Hilarious. Is that greeting unique to Long Island or a reference to a movie I am not familiar with? Thanks for a great site Fly.

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    • drummerboy

      hey,shouldnt you be out protestin

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    • JDS

      Making phsyical threats on someone’s blog? Are you out of your mind bro? Get a job and if you are not going to do that then at least try to obey the law. Great example you are setting – long live your cause dickhead

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  4. xxxHuggieBearxxx

    We go higher.

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  5. Jakegint

    QLD and Skiffles up at the same time??

    Who knew?

    (Yeah, I’m a fuggin’ genius, all laden with silver stocks & shit… 🙁 )

    ________

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  6. Dirk Diggler

    Space alien magic

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    • Dirk Diggler

      lol I just saw the gravestones at the top of the main page. Hilarious!

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  7. Fishnwine

    Fly,
    What does island top signify in SPY chart?

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  8. Yogi & Boo Boo

    PPT is like having a GPS for the stock market. Don’t leave home without it.

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  9. kinz

    would you sell wnr here to buy it back lower?

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  10. ALLPROz

    WNR is expensive…

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  11. Bullish

    Looks like a resting bull.

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  12. The V.King

    Told ya.

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  13. JTU

    Looks like we’re going higher! If Google posts good results after the bell, we propel higher tomorrow!

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    • KCScott

      Google posts good results and they get clobbered. Every. Fucking. Time.

      Sergi buys something stupid and everyone loses their shit.

      He should have stayed in Russian porn

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  14. Testicules

    Rick Ross_ Tower heist
    http://www.stereogum.com/840981/nas-rick-ross-its-a-tower-heist/mp3s/

    just music…looking at the cast ?..may be the best part of the movie

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  15. JTU

    Stocks trim losses.

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  16. ALLPROz

    Rise WNR…rise!!!

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  17. ALLPROz

    11 years for insider trading…that’s a lot of sausage packing for the almighty dollar.

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  18. discoordinated

    I am shocked that we are turning higher this lat in the afternoon. I kinda doubt the close is as strong.

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    • Frog Playing a Colorful Accordion
      Frog Playing a Colorful Accordion

      Wow. We’ve reversed lower again. So, at this moment, your blog post was right, Fly. You are right, even when it appears that you are wrong.

      Of course we have such a ridiculous market that has seizures, so it could easily close 300 points up or down from here, as we’ve got 25 whole minutes.

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  19. xxxHuggieBearxxx

    We go higher.

    See you at 1260+.

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  20. JTU

    Well, that could have been worse. Not bad considering where we were this morning.

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  21. KCScott

    Uncle Fly, tell us the story about Black Friday again…

    Pleeeeeeeeese?

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  22. JTU

    Yey Google!!!

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  23. Apocalypse Now

    Fly-

    This is what has driven stocks up: Operation Twist: Look at the dates and amounts:

    http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html

    Even the bond sale (balance sheet neutral) proceeds have been used for stock purchases.

    In addition to this, I would like to see a source showing total puts or calls written at a level as the market makers work to push the market to levels that result in options expiring worthless.

    Do you have a source or do you take this into account with the PPT score?

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    • Frog Playing a Colorful Accordion
      Frog Playing a Colorful Accordion

      Market makers working to push the market to levels that result in options expiring worthless– this happens sometimes and not other times.

      Trading max option pain as a strategy would have worked out well in Sept. In August, it would have lost you your shirt, shoes, and pants.

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  24. ?

    Ding! Ding! Ding!

    I am So Sorry boys and boys. No winner today in our “Spin the Random Wheel and Guess the Dow” contest.

    But remember to Try Again Tomorrow!

    Be sure boys and boys to turn in your Why the Market Fucked Me Up Today essays. A winner will be Randomly Drawn weekly!

    You could receive a FREE tour of the Zero Hedge corporate garage!

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  25. Blind Read Ant

    If anyone here is dealing with $WNR issues, the issue might be with your plumbing.

    Fortunately, this link has a solution: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WVdzP53X9vw&feature=related

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