iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,445 Blog Posts

Closers Don’t Trade Openings

Theoretically, we should storm higher. The stage is set. However, people are more focused on the pending ABK bankruptcy, issues in Fagland and potential apocalypse, thanks to the BP gusher. Personally, I don’t trade the open anymore. In the winter, I am at the gym. During the warmer weather, you can find me playing tennis outside. Either way, opening ticks are riddled with retarded buy/sell on open orders, issued by idiot money managers, on behalf of stupendously moronic pension fund managers.

You have to buy into the fear, unless of course that fear is warranted, backed up by horrific events set to unfold. Without a doubt, should we double dip, and I think we will, the Dow is headed much lower. But, that remains to be seen. Before we can get to that, first, we need to deal with standard, run of the mill, stock market supply and demand. Right now, there is way too much pessimism. Stocks are being blown out, without regard for valuations. That, my friends, is patently absurd.

My top pick, into the rally that I see coming, is FLS. That fucker is good for another 15 points, despite being up 3 as you read this. If I am correct, we should see the market rally another 300 before settling in, which at that time my handy-dandy PPT algorithm will likely tell me to GTFO of stocks.

UPDATE: I covered my MET short, under $40. Now, I am completely unhedged long, with a 40% cash position.

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38 comments

  1. jg

    fig

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  2. checklist

    I got into the ppt yesterday. Nifty

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  3. Lokapujya

    Does anyone think it’s a good idea to play NWY for a bounce?

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    • Lokapujya

      Seriously, for $1 mil, I could own 1/100th of New York & Company. That would be sweet.

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  4. The Fly

    Indeud.

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  5. The Fly

    like clockwork

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  6. bubo

    Fly,

    Do you still have PKX?

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  7. Walter

    My first attempt at playing the PPT for a full reversal cycle. I half-played it when it called the last downturn and wished I had listened to it more fully.

    So far moderately good results this time.

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  8. Satanfeller Luciforgan
    Satanfeller Luciforgan

    I refuse to go long in a down market. I’ll double up on the down side to make up for it. Just wake me up when this bullshit reversal rally is over…

    in the meantime, I thought I would share the way I see 99% of the American TV-worshipping investment public…

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8DFwb3zlDk

    Dance, and be free!

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  9. arch

    there are guys who sit around and do nothing

    there are guys who sit around and watch other people do stuff

    there are guys who want to do stuff but have no clue how to do it

    there are guys who get things done

    then there are guys who make things happen

    and there are guys who stand at their window wondering what the fuck happened

    i sir am a man who makes things happen, with that and the fact that the U.S. needs TO CREATE 250,000 per month for 5 yrs i will draw up my plan to submit to my congressman in the comming days..i can create 4,900 jobs ..

    and i guess while im at it i might as well fix that fuckn oil leak

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    • The Fly

      You need to be restrained in a sleeveless dinner jacket is what you need.

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    • Action Jackson

      If you submit a plan to a congressman (a guy who acts like he is doing something, but does nothing)
      that would make you:
      a guy who wants to do stuff but has no clue how to do it

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  10. TheMarketAce

    ATPG moving way higher on solid volume…..do you expect to see this same kind of performance in ATPG within the next couple of weeks via the 300 point rally you discussed? It did get absolutely slaughtered on the way down, thats for sure.

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  11. The Fly

    Did I call this shit on a dime or what?

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    • Alvari40

      Nice job Fly. One of the keys I am seeing with the Hybrid is to not get too excited when it hits oversold/bought.

      I wore my rally cap to bed last night….wife thought it was…well, interesting.

      How do I convert from piker to gentleman?

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    • Bullish

      I’ll give you that… I on the otherhand was about a day and a half early.

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  12. tradingnymph

    Plus the first hour has all the crazy Think and Swim players with their “can’t loose” system of buying pre market and selling w/in the first minute plays…………….Yes, logic would say we would hold this level and attempt a rally, it’s the Feb lows, there has been a lot of selling…..market players have a strong vested interest to hold this level. But, what is bothering me is this Iron Ore thing…..you know the China and India dealers MUST have had the heads up on the leak of export data but the spot was still down 1%. Maybe tonight it could pop, but Steel Mills aren’t buying cuz they just have too much ore. If you look at the SPX, it made a Feb low, ran up to about 50% of that, turned around and we are back here………….I am watching with total amazement the PPT Magic…….but it seems like it’s at such a tipping point…..maybe not today or tomorrow…..but darn soon….

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  13. jg

    need some fucking help. botched position sizing on tyh over the last couple days and then panic sold it like a fucking paradiddle yesterday. now im 100% cash.

    what to do?

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    • Big Bird

      find the nearest window and throw yourself through it.

      “Even though TNA is lower than yesterday’s purchase price, I am not chasing it because that would be emotional.”

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    • Alvari40

      Lesson learned. Next time get in with 1/2 of position size. There is no way you will catch exact tops and bottoms, so you need to be flexible/patient and allow position to bounce around a bit before it goes in your direction. Scaling in (for me) solved that. In the mean time, wait for the S&P to come back down to the 20 ema on the 30 min chart then start a position.

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      • Lokapujya

        It’s hard, because if you miss it, and it goes down another 10% you then you buy the other 1/2, but then it goes down another 30% and have no more money to buy more. Then you get scared, and sell when it finally relieved that it breaks even. But if you had more money you would have bought even more at the bottom. Then, you miss the double up after you sell it, ha ha.

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      • jg

        definitely cropping my entries on 3x — to 1.5% from 3%

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    • Yogi & Boo Boo

      RU in the PPT?

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      • jg

        yes yogi, i spoke of being cockslapped and bent over yesterday

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  14. Mr. Cain Thaler
    Mr. Cain Thaler

    (laughter) the picture of Paulson made my day. I missed seeing that.

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  15. Subcomandante Braveflaps

    “Fagland is the kind of place that, if you have to ask where it is, you are in it.”

    Mark Twain

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  16. alf44

    … if you made a little money LONG on this … ah hem …”Bounce” …

    take your profit and consider yourself lucky !!!

    —–

    SHORT the humps…

    COVER the dumps …

    and don’t DIDDLE in the MIDDLE !!!

    —–

    THAT is (or, should be) the trading strategy in this Market ! imnsho

    .

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  17. Mr. Cain Thaler
    Mr. Cain Thaler

    ^ You are far too impatient. This bounce isn’t even into its 48th hour. It can run longer.

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    • Teahouse On The Tracks
      Teahouse On The Tracks

      or maybe not …. fade the top @ 1078

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    • dumas

      Obviously many are deciding to lighten up here. Like teahouse says, 1080 will need some motivation.

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  18. 2 Cents

    Thanks for the lesson in hedging it was a good learning experience.

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  19. sufi

    Tennis is a godly sport, indeud. What’s your NTRP rating?

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