iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,552 Blog Posts

Paul Ryan Calls Trump’s Comments on Mexican Judge ‘Textbook Definition of Racism’


Just one day since Speaker Ryan came out to endorse Trump, he’s disavowing him for comments made about a judge presiding over the Trump U case, who Trump says is biased due to his affiliations with pro Mexican, super racist organizations, like La Raza.

Whether you agree with Trump or not, this action by Speaker Ryan is bound to have lasting ramifications. Trump will retaliate, likely saying some pretty crazy shit. Then the GOP might try to replace Trump as their candidate at the convention, using this faux crisis as a reason to do so. They truly hate Trump, so it won’t take much to cause a revolt.

 

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Goldman: Sell $JBL Because $AAPL Sucks

Apple is their largest customer. Jabil is a contract manufacturer for the electronics industry. Generally speaking, when they do poorly, the electronics industry is sucking wind.

Hence, Goldman slapped a sell rating on JBL today, citing 7 out of Jabil’s top 10 customers mired with a weakening outlook.

Their Apple exposure has become an albatross to them.

“We see earnings pressure from both limited top-line growth and increased overhead costs for Jabil. For revenue, Street assumptions have been reduced for 7 of Jabil’s top 10 customers since the last EPS report,” Goldman Sachs’ Mark Delaney wrote in a note to clients Tuesday.

“Our reduced estimates are consistent with the fact that Goldman Sachs analysts have lowered estimates for several of Jabil’s key customers since Jabil’s last report (e.g. Apple, NetApp and Ericsson). … High Apple exposure is a key part of the reason that Jabil has had to significantly reduce its guidance in two of the last three fiscal years.”

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$RL Horsekicked, Following Earnings Warning, Restructuring Plan, Share Buybacks Continue

People aren’t wearing clothes like they used to. RL just unveiled their restructering plan, guided revenues lower, and reaffirmed a moronic $200 mill share buyback. The market isn’t impressed. The stock is being drilled.

Alas, the mall is dead. Millennials dress like homeless men. Share buy backs are pretty much the dumbest thing a company with core fundamental problems can implement.

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Fiscal 2017 Restructuring Activities: Co expects FY17 restructuring activities to result in ~$180-$220 mln of annualized expense savings related to its initiatives to streamline the organizational structure and rightsize its cost structure and real estate portfolio. This is in addition to the $125 mln of annualized cost savings associated with the Fiscal 2016 restructuring activities.Co expects to incur restructuring charges of up to $400 mln as a result of the Fiscal 2017 restructuring activities and up to a $150 mln inventory charge associated with the reduction of inventory out of current liquidation channels in line with the Way Forward Plan. These charges are expected to be substantially realized by the end of Fiscal 2017.

Q1 and Full Year Fiscal 2017 Outlook: Co expects Q1 consolidated net revenues to decline at a mid-single digit rate vs -3.5% consensus, op margin ~110-160 basis points below the comparable prior year period. Co sees FY17 net revenues at a low-double digit rate vs -4% consensus due to a proactive pullback in inventory receipts, store closures, pricing harmonization and other quality of sale initiatives, combined with the weak retail traffic environment in the U.S. FY17 op margin ~10%, as cost savings are expected to be offset by growth in new store expenses, unfavorable foreign currency impacts, infrastructure investments and fixed expense deleveraging. The Fiscal 2017 tax rate is estimated to be approximately 29%. Capital expenditures are expected to be ~$375 mln in Fiscal 2017. This guidance assumes ~$200 mln in share repurchases. Q1 2017 and Fiscal 2017 guidance excludes the restructuring and inventory charges associated with the Fiscal 2017 restructuring activities.

Long-Term Financial Outlook: As a result of its Way Forward Plan, the Company expects to stabilize performance in Fiscal 2018 and pivot to growth off of a smaller, more profitable base in Fiscal 2019, with improving operating margins in both fiscal years. In Fiscal 2020, the Company is targeting market share growth and a mid-teens operating margin.

I thought the stock was interesting in the low $120s. In the $80s, this looks like a steal.

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Suntrust: If Current Trends Persist, $TWTR Will Pursue Merger

This isn’t exactly a bold call. As a publisher of digital content, I am reliant upon Twitter for traffic and engagement with readers. But many people don’t get Twitter. It’s a bit too complex for them to figure out, so they dick around with facial filters all day long on Snapchat. There is immense value in Twitter that has yet to be released. Hopefully, they can sell the property to someone that could properly manage it.

“We note that if the current trend of meager user and engagement growth remains, we think it’s inevitable that Twitter will need to pursue M&A alternatives as has been discussed in the media for some time,” he writes. “Our current read of trends suggest a difficult April and May consistent with April levels thus far.”

Peck has kept his “buy” rating on the shares given the perceived value of Twitter as an M&A target. “Twitter within a larger property could be much more efficient on the cost and development lines and benefit from the reach on the top lines,” he adds.

The analyst believes a sale would likely be a 2017 event, assuming current trends do not improve. He adds that the most likely partners for such a deal would be Google, Facebook, Apple, or a more traditional media property.

I do believe Twitter would fetch for a decent sized premium from current levels, if it were for sale.

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Biogen Plunges After MS Drug Fails to Meet Primary Endpoint

Even when you’re invested in a diverse, revenue and earnings generating machine, like Biogen, failed clinical trials for important pipeline drugs can wreak havoc in investors portfolios.

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In the study, opicinumab missed the primary endpoint, a multicomponent measure evaluating improvement of physical function, cognitive function, and disability. However, evidence of a clinical effect with a complex, unexpected dose-response was observed.

Opicinumab also did not meet the secondary efficacy endpoint in Synergy, which evaluated the slowing of disability progression. Safety and pharmacokinetics were also assessed as secondary endpoints.

Opicinumab was generally well-tolerated and the safety profile was consistent with what has been observed in prior studies. Opicinumab showed a linear, well-behaved PK profile over the studied dose range. Synergy results will be presented at future medical meetings.

That’s about $6 billion in market cap wiped out because of a phase 2 trial. Utterly ridiculous. There are better ways to get rich, than cavort inside of these biotech fun houses.

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Valeant Pharmaceuticals Demolished on Massive Earnings Warning

This is very bad news for our good friends over at Pershing Square. These earning are an abomination. Massive earnings guide down.

Hey, but the good news is, according to new CEO, Joe Potato Head, the company will report bad earnings on time from here on forth.

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Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $1.27 per share, $0.10 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of $1.37; revenues rose 9.3% year/year to $2.37 bln vs the $2.34 bln Capital IQ Consensus.

Co lowers guidance for FY16, sees EPS of $6.60-7.00 (Prior $8.50-9.50) vs. $8.51 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees FY16 revs of $9.90-10.01 bln (Prior $11.0-11.2 bln) vs. $10.92 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; Sees Adj-EBITDA of $4.80-4.95 bln (Prior $5.60-5.80 bln)

“The first quarter’s results reflect, in part, the impact of significant disruption this organization has faced over the past nine months,” said Joseph Papa, chairman and chief executive officer. “This has been a difficult period for Valeant and its stakeholders, and while there are some challenges to work through in certain business operations in 2016, such as our U.S. dermatology unit, the majority of our businesses are performing according to expectations. While we recognize that we did not meet the timeline for filing our first quarter results, with our filing expected this week, we will be current in our financial reporting. We have made progress toward stabilizing the organization over the past few months, and we expect to file our financial results in a timely manner going forward

The ultimate egg is all over Ackman’s face this morning.

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Sure, This is Normal: Toyota Sells Corporate Notes Yielding Record Low of .001%

Don’t pay attention to the cranky Fly in the rocking chair, smoking his pipe, throwing rocks at the kids playing on my lawn. Go ahead and keep pretending a GIGANTIC FUCKING METEOR isn’t heading straight for your pillowcase.

If I was running Toyota, I’d press my luck and issue $500 billion in bonds, then buy Apple with it. After I did that, I’d issue $2 trillion in bonds, then I’d buy the world (muuuaahhh).

Toyota Finance Corp. issued 20 billion yen ($186 million) of notes at a yield of 0.001 percent, according to a filing with the nation’s Finance Ministry. That’s the lowest coupon ever for a regular bond by a domestic company that isn’t backed by the government, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The Bank of Japan has sent yields on Japanese government bonds below zero for notes out to 10 years since adopting a negative-rate policy in January, increasing demand for corporate debt. Average yields on Japanese company bonds dropped to 0.17 percent on Monday from 0.33 percent a year earlier, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch data.

Toyota, the world’s largest automaker, last month sold 60 billion yen of debt including 20-year bonds paying a yield of 0.343 percent.

This a perversion of finance. The basic laws of economics are being violated. Let’s see what happens when the degenerates push it too far.

Gold is looking pretty interesting to me right about now.

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Team Hillary Clinches Nomination For President of the United States of America

Thank you Puerto Rico. Now that Bernard Sanders has been shuffled aside to the trash heap of time, the real campaigning can begin, in earnest, for Team Hillary (yay!). This is a very historic moment for the United States, as the first woman is about to become the leader of the free world. The fucking bastard, Trump, stands in the way of true gender equality. God willing, he will contract herpes or gonorrhea and drop out of the race–permitting #TEAMHILLARY to make history, or might I say HERstory.

“We are on the brink of a historic and unprecedented moment but we still have work to do.
“We have six elections tomorrow and we’re gonna fight hard for every single vote, especially right here in California.”

This is all indelibly wonderful for the markets, as the specter of a generous Ebenezer Scrooge taking the White House, providing free stuff to all of the base creatures who traverse the gutters of America, would likely lead to a market rout not seen before since 1929.

I am sure you’re all super excited, in a very gender neutral way of course, to celebrate this momentous occasion with your life partners.

Cheers to Hillary and the first gentleman, Bill ‘the fucking rapist’ Clinton, for locking in the win. America needs some level headed Clinton-economics, right about now.

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HITHERTO: Here Are the Best Performing Stocks For the Month of June

Catamites everywhere agree, June is the time to get back into stocks with full force and gusto. Along those lines of thinking, I’ve tapped into the cellars of Exodus to provide the world with the very best performing stocks for the month of June.

Here are stocks that fall within the guidelines of 75% win-rate, accompanied by their historical percentage gains, for June of course.

SAM +4.4%
INFY +4.99%
ILMN +5.1%
SKF +5.5% (indeud)
ULTA +4.6%
ZAGG +15%
DMRC +13%
ANAC +12%
LOCK +12%
YELP +12%
AMBA +12.6%

There are more. If I was running money now, I’d be in treasuries, cash and a basket of these fuckhead stocks–maybe YELP, ANAC and a commodity related stock of my choosing. The life of the market is born in commodities. Plain and simple, if you’re bullish on stocks, you’re an idiot for not having some sort of exposure. Additionally, healthcare and tech are the other pillars. Pick a solid stock, preferably away from the small cap arena and behave like a gentleman, or at least pretend that you’re one.

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Markets Zoom Higher Again, Spearheaded by Retarded Oil Stocks

Wouldn’t it be funny if oil went back to $100? Oil stocks raced higher today. I mean, these things really took off, leaving boring REITs and bonds in the dust.

Stocks rose like Jesus from the tomb, by triple digits, to ingratiate all of its disciples who have been patiently waiting for the turn.

One could make the argument that stocks rose after the asshole, Lockhart, said the Fed should be patient, opting for a more dovish outlook on rates. Understand something, these are the most ridiculous trading days of your lives. You will reflect upon this era, pre-apocalypse, when the Fed would run around the country giving speeches, designed to trick and fool the public. I imagine, sometime in the future, these Fed heads will be brought up on charges, by the people, exiled from America–forced to walk on the other side of the wall, in the ravenous lands of Mexico for food and shelter.

I know, everyone made money and Le Fly is living out his days like a monk, in the house, smoking from his estate pipe. But you have to understand, I do not want to trade back and forth, to and fro, like some sort of paradiddle. Life has grander designs for House Fly, than to partake in a clownhouse with a bunch of baboons.

I am eating a mango now and becoming quite annoyed by it. The little strings are getting stuck in between my teeth, which is going to force me to go floss for the next 30 minutes until each and every fiber has been removed.

Also, it’s time for me to go to the gym, where I will attempt to injure myself through the lifting of things too heavy for my frame.

NOTE: I am not totally out of the game of stock picking. I have a portfolio running in Exodus, recently updated. One stock is up 65% since I added it and another is +15%. They’re some of my top thesis picks, heading into the elections, so join the halls of gentlemen in Exodus and absorb the expertise from a superior being.

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