Watching this interview of Ken Lewis, CEO of BAC, almost makes me feel sorry for the guy—almost. Basically, he’s a good ol’ southern boy, naive of the insidious NY/Merill Lynch ways. After he found out that Thain donkey punched him into buying MER, he went to the government to inform them he wanted out of the BAC/MER deal, since there was “material and adverse changes” to the fundamentals at Merrill.
The government responded with a “fuck you, you’re doing the deal for the country” rap, essentially strong arming Ken into a deal spearheaded by modern day “Northern Aggression.”
Egregious!
I like the way the market is trading and would not short anything, with exception to oil, at these levels. Geithner is speaking on Monday, regarding TARP II. And, the stimulus bill is likely to be passed within days, if not tonight.
As you know, “The Fly” is all about playing the orient, via CHL, YZC, FXI and JRJC, with a little side order of WX.
Some other “Chinese Burrito” plays worth considering are:
ACH, SNDA, EJ, CMED, MR, GU and HNP.
Within Steel and Iron, I like MT, RIO, TS, SCHN, NUE and for a dice roll CMC.
I like equipment firms JOYG, BUCY and dice roll play MTW here. And, if you are really adventurous, SKS is pricing in outright bankruptcy. Actually, it is likely that SKS will go belly up. However, into unchecked optimism, there may be a trade in SKS worth taking.
Finally, I smell mustard seeds and I do not like them. I will keep all of my DUG/ERY, due to my core belief that the oil/gas industry will suffer grave consequences for levering up their balance sheets into weak oil/gas markets. I will restrict my longs to non-financials, focusing in on the traditional “global growth” aka “Chinese growth” plays. And, I will look to buy back SRS/FAZ lower, over the next week or two.
In short, this is a relief rally. It can last a few weeks, so be ginger with your short positions.
Comments »