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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

SHIPWRECKED

I am looking for reasons to sell OSG, frustrated by the seemingly endless decline in the stock. I went from +10% to -25% inside of 1 week. The stock is getting drilled today, yet there is no news or industry specific clues as to why it’s getting hit. At this point I can only guess there is a big seller. More often than not, this type of drop precedes some fucked up news. I got caught entirely flat footed by this drop, numbed by my fixation with coal.

I have three big positions getting BALBOA’d today, pressing me into a -2.6% drop. Most of yesterday’s gains have been lost and the Dow is up. This is a real fucking mess for me.

On the plus side is ESRX, PEP and DDD–everything else is shit. Luckily I have 20% cash and can use it to average down. But I’m not about to do that when the fucking dow is barely down for the day. I sense a swift and catastrophic correction is in order, for me specifically. Just yesterday I was feeling my oats, long the other black gold, elated with the prospects of maiming short sellers. One day removed from all of that hubris, I’m next on line to have my genitals chopped off.

Fuck me.

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Paralyzed From Winship

My ANR is getting hit this morning because of two analyst downgrades. Should I give a shit about what two shmucks have to say? In hindsight, absolutely not. Nevertheless, their opinions are hurting my position today. Earlier this week, Goldman downgraded ACI. The result: ACI is up more than 20% since then. It goes without saying, often times analysts are reactionary asshats, desperate to make a good call. In my opinion, it’s borderline irresponsible to downgrade coal at the time when a new President can lift EPA restrictions, a cold winter may spur demand and European/Asian exports are on the rise. Plus, has anyone taken a look at natural gas lately? It’s not exactly dirt cheap anymore.

I gather the utilities will be restocking their coal supplies shortly.

JIVE caught a downgrade too. I truly don’t know what to say about that one. My patience is wearing thin on that one.

DDD caught and upgrade and everything else I own is treading water.

Yesterday was a great day for me, making more than 3%. Last I checked, I was down about 0.8%, despite a strong market. Nothing makes me feel worse.

So what do I do on days like this?

I turn off the screen and go to a restaurant or occupy myself with a productive task, separate from the market. It’s impossible to micro-manage all the time and not burn out. In order to stay fresh, sometimes it’s important to let things go, fall subject to the whims of nature.

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Gentlemen, Our Way of Life is Under Attack This Morning

So there I was, minding my own business, merrily picking away at the rock in search of coal when two men, one French (credit agricole) and the other Japanese (nomura), came up to me and said “your mine sucks dick, hahahahah.” Well, you could imagine how’d that make me feel, darn foreign varmints getting in the way of a little coal production. In these parts, significantly less will get you shot in the face, with a sawed off 12-gauge.

Anyway, I told those two gents (heavy appalachian accent) “why don’t ya’ll get the hell out of here before I hit you with this pick ax. I don’t want no trouble; but if you want some, I got it. Plus anyway, we don’t take too kindly to your type around these parts (spits chewing tobacco onto the ground)”

The two gents said to me “we are downgrading your mine. We don’t think it’s worth as much as people think.”

Aside from not knowing what in the hell they was talkin’ about, I didn’t take to that tone very kindly. The nerve of these two celestials telling me what my business was or is worth. I done had enough of them and asked them boys to kindly leave.

The French fellow said to me “oh yeah, Monsieur, tell your friends down the block we are downgrading them too. We don’t think their coal mines are worth as much as people think either.”

By that time I had enough. I hit the two invaders with my handy union pacific railroad pick ax and buried them in my backyard. It makes for good fertilizer. Just last week a good friend of mine said there was a guy from New York, some yankee fellow, who told him the same thing! I’m not too sure what’s left of him. But I know Arch isn’t exactly the type you start trouble with, if you get my drift.

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The Elections Have Ended; Get Back To Work

I have learned through back channels, under confidence, that the next President has been elected this evening, setting up for the “mock election” this November. It was a close race and many of you will be disappointed; but it’s time to shut up now and get back to the business of banking coin.

Do not ask me who will be President, for I swore under allegiance to hold it a secret.

With regards to the debates, I feel it was a draw. I live tweeted it. For those who are interested, peruse my stream here. My bias says Ryan cut his dick off, due to his stoic look versus Biden’s retarded teeth. Nonetheless, Biden was good enough to make democrats feel all nice and cuddly about themselves again.

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Holding Winners; Dumping Losers

Today I was gifted with a COCAINE GORILLA RUN in coal, long to tits in ANR. I didn’t take this generosity for granted by sitting idly by–doing nothing. I sold out of PPC and SVU, not because I couldn’t take the losses–but because I could. The losses in both names were a mere trifling, compared to the magnanimous advances made in ANR. Hence, I sold and started a new position in a name more aptly suited for today’s tape: TC.

It’s worth noting, already, I am +3% on TC.

Moving on, I feel today’s action was both bullish and bearish. Bearish for the obvious reasons: selling off from nice high spots is deadly for your financial futures. On the other hand, basic materials showed some gumption, a sector sensitive to both global growth and the superfluities of the Chinese central bank. It’s always been my belief that the Chinese will stimulate their economy, like a motherfucker, when the 18th congress seizes power.

We’re into banking coin, here at iBankCoin. I’ve got a good eye for these sort of things and generally make it my business to succeed, no matter the clime.

NOTE: short seller in the video below isn’t scared of the cocaine induced gorilla. He’s eating that fuckers leaves, petting his baby.

NOTE II: PPT members- I will be issuing today’s report a little early, about 4:45.

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Fly Buy: TC

I started a position in $TC, using some of the PPC and SVU proceeds.

Cash is now at 20%.

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Frankly, I Am a Coal Man

I see the markets are selling off from this morning’s sugar high. However and quite frankly, I don’t give a damn.

Some of my positions are behaving rather poorly, like PPC, SVU and OSG. Let me reiterate, I couldn’t (emphasis on “n’t” for the illiterates) care less.

“The Fly” is a coal man, knee deep in the black stuff. My face is covered with soot, as I overlook the worker class mine money for me.

I want you to understand something, very simply: I warned you of the coming rise in coal. I let you into my world of fortune and glory. For those of you who followed me into the gates of heaven, I expect gratitude. Everyone else can make ham sandwiches for the business elite, for all I can care.

In summary, net, net, I am up 2% for the day, as my second largest position climbs the ladder of success. I am not selling a single share; but may look to swap out of losers to capitalize on the change in momentum.

UPDATE: I sold out of PPC and SVU

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The Bearded Clam Strikes Back

Benjamin Bernanke stands up and stretches, after a long night sleeping on an old French colonial chair, prattling to himself over a philly blunt filled with A grade marijuana “I’m gonna get those bitches soon, real soon.”

He stares into a mirror and pulls out a small comb and grooms his beard to look perfect. He walks over to his 20 foot window and lifts up the Roman shade adorning it, revealing the sun rising on the horizon. Slowly, he pulled a pipe out of his pocket, filled to the brim with aromatic tobacco, and lights it. He then walks over to his desk and turns on his computer, browsing over some numbers and graphs, then turns it off.

As he walks out of his office with conviction and purpose, with a trail of pipe smoke in his path, he mutters to himself “I’m gonna get those bitches right now.”

(slams door)

NOTE: Either Tom Green or HELMUT BAKAITIS (the fucking architect from The Matrix) will play Ben Bernanke in my upcoming movie: 10 Trillion Ways to Die, Choose One
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ygfX3VAF_gg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8K-g7ipAqYY

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CLASSIC

Futures are higher. The market is going to bounce and we have this to look forward to tonight.

Life is good.

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