iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
22,270 Blog Posts

What Do You Think Happens Next?

It’s a rhetorical question. I don’t really give a shit what any of you think. Below are the very prescient mean reversion algorithms. You can see the ranges in 2022 and how every time without fail — the OB’s dissipate into dust and transmorph into OS’s because the market truly does suck and we are in a bear market.

That being said, the price action is constructive and I’ve been cursed by the Gods. I sold all of my stocks this morning for a gain of 1.2% and didn’t dare step back into the tape in any way shape, form, or matter. I walked away and now blog about doom and gloom — but have no skin in the game other than my Quant which is +70bps.

If you held a gun to my head and forced me to give financial advice at the threat of violence, I’d tell you “the fucking market is gonna crash. Tell all of your friends and family to get out now while they still can.”

NEVERTHELESS, it might not happen today and it might not even happen in August. These things are really hard to time. For now, I will be trading very small at no more than 30% invested, hoping to hit a few singles and cast off this fucking curse upon my person.

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6 comments

  1. traderconfessions
    traderconfessions

    Just watch ES and NQ future charts. Bull bots just submitted bear bots at support. Follow the robots.

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  2. the_wolf

    Oil was a buy this morning, longterm held, not that anyone really fucking cares, but I want my 1000 %
    Oil retests previous highs

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  3. the_wolf

    Other than my 1000%
    I’ll tell you what I’d like ,……
    I’d like Biden, Pelosi, trump and Turdeau’s heads to explode

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  4. soupbone

    I’m afraid the Marxism versus Freedom debate will interfere with any further reasoning. The markets, however, will sniff out a less hawkish Fed before the Fed even knows. That must be in the cards because it’s pretty much a foregone conclusion they will leave us with steady state inflation higher than anybody wants..

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  5. soupbone

    China banned all sand shipments to Taiwan on August 3rd. Construction sand and quartz sand. Very heavy message. Semiconductors! I could speculate on the timing reason.

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