iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,430 Blog Posts

We Were All Going to Space

In the Summer of 2020, we were locked down and yet enjoying the full zest of markets — all provided by Federal governments in their attempts to avoid collapse. They printed more than ever, and since we were bored and some of us scared, we didn’t say a word in protest. Why should we? Stocks had risen and the advent of the SPAC was upon us, an asset class that had tried and failed innumerable times throughout history — but this time was different because they were led by quasi famous people who had lots of money and prior success. We bathed in their splendor and then took upon new people on Twitter, or Reddit, who also enjoyed wanton success. We were going to be those people too.

And then we were all going to space. Virgin Galactic, Space X, and Blue Origin were a few of many space companies that were going to extend the inquisitive reach of people out into the heavens, creating endless opportunities for humans and exploring the wonders we’ve always seen in movies.


SPCE

I recall very vividly wording some things out loud, along the lines of “maybe they just need to get people out of the way? Maybe we as a global society are on the way to reach new levels of innovation which was unthinkable 20 years ago and maybe things are about to get very very good.”

That was the top, February 2021 when things crested and the Chamaths of the world slipped by the way side back into their sewer holes leaving the rest of us without gurus to fend for ourselves. It was the best of times, trading at night long past the market’s close because rippers were on the move and we could not afford not to partake. There was a period of time when I’d wake up at 4am just to sell an array of rippers up 30%+, go back to sleep, and start the process all over again in the regular session. It was impossible to lose money and gains of 10% daily were very common. It felt good because it was good. The people who were left behind and angry at the world for entering a paradigm shift were relics, to be mocked and quarantined.

I’ve been down this road before, got my series 7 license in 1997 and traded through all of the crashes and the booms and the crashes again. I even wrote two short books about it. It always feels different — because humans want to be lied to. It’s not that we purposely want to be deceived per se, but we willingly acquiesce to fallacy over reason and logic in favor of ideals. We want and need purpose and sometimes it comes in the form of a lotto ticket, NFT, crypto, trip to the racetrack or casino. We believe, a least some of us do, that becoming extraordinarily wealthy is the answer to happiness, when in fact it’s not; but the glamor of it all is enough to risk freedoms and families and everything that is truly sacred because, in the end, we are all going to die.

So as we race against time chasing down our dreams just beyond our reach, fallacies are revealed and the truth always renders itself to be obstinate. Here we are in the throes of crisis again, stocks beclowned and traders in ruins. The shiny veneer of innovation and paradigm shifts now look like childish dreams of an overstimulated teenager, but that’s only because the adrenaline and dopamine have stopped pumping into our brains and the dark and sinister nature of some people are laid bare once again — shattering the future we were supposed to have.

 

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17 comments

  1. soonerxii

    vintage Fly

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  2. jbandy

    Beautiful.

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  3. tjnyt

    Could have led your troops to victory by following the short route.

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  4. tjnyt

    There is a time to sow and there is a time to reap.

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  5. tradercaddy

    It will turn out like any other highly anticipated or not anticipated geopolitical event that turns into a quick resolve.
    Think Cuban Missile Crisis, Kennedy Assasination, Gulf War, 9-11, Trump election, etc. A quick Russian invasion will be like all of the other one time events. A massive drop in futures, big gold and oil advance all followed by huge run up in stocks and a crash in commodities. Think for yourself and let the sheep get sheared.
    Guaranteed.
    Then back to Fed watch and some normalcy.

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    • roguewave

      Ukraine could be a relatively quick resolve, what follows, maybe not so much.
      It seems humans run primarily on dreams/deception, resorting to reality only when forced to. Periodically mother market shows you reality.
      As they say, we overestimate what can happen in the next year and underestimate what can happen in 5 years. That was the case w crypto 5 years ago. Similar today but many projects that were dreams on paper 5 yrs ago exist but they are still very early stage.
      It’s always difficult not to be your own worst enemy. I learned about position sizing among other things here at iBC. Someone said, don’t get into a position that will force you to start over again from square one.
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sc5iTNVEOAg

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  6. irma vep

    All I’m dreaming about right now is a timing belt. We have a bluebird in the neighborhood. A genuine bluebird. https://images.app.goo.gl/dgnaAs1UqpBFrLJ56

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  7. irma vep

    BIG NEWS: Twitter just went down.

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  8. irma vep

    TCM just ran “Dr. Strangelove”. Think TCM has a sense of humor?

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    • tha pirate

      To roughly paraphrase Dr. Strangelove (the 2022 version) let me ad:

      Mr. President, I’m not saying we wouldn’t get our hair mussed in a total war with the Roooskies. But we have GOT to defend Ukraine! I do say no more than ten to twenty million killed, tops. Uh, depending on ummm…

      Hey. what IS important here is that NOBODY notice the possibilities that the price of gas, the wide open border being run by Mexican drug gangs, the wild inflation, the end of Keystone XL leading to the high prices, the Chinese owning half the celebrities and politicians, the Iranians on their way to sanctions relief AND nuclear bombs to threaten the world, the mostly peaceful’ riots of BLM which were ok (but not the ‘violent’ protests in Canada) the COVID coverups of Wuhan lab, Hillary/Obama spying and Hunter’s escapades in Ukraine and China do NOT get scrutinized by the government-media complex!

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  9. maxx2000

    What the fuck is up with all this melancholy bullshit this weekend?!? Are you guys mixing booze and downers again? For fucks sake we can’t even go down to test the January lows. UAL a fucking AIRLINE stock for chrissakes is up 20% this month alone, and Walmart is now a fucking momo stock. How are you guys even contemplating your mortality?? STFU please. Watch some speed skating or something.

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  10. maxx2000

    Except the bluebird guy, the only one with a sense of normalcy around here. Thanks for posting that.

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  11. sierra water

    Beautiful post Fly, one of your best! I got stuck in an orbital space cannon that failed to ignite a la PLTR. A very rare occurrence where I decided to ignore my TA in favor of being a “long term” investor. Hopefully it can reignite sometime around the turn of the decade, after the ashes have settled and the new world order has been finalized by our communist adversaries.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fQRey3pwFUI
    Sierra Water

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  12. purdy

    I have little faith in our currency, even less in crypto. The good folks who run the place can withstand the fall in the relative value of the currency and program the unwashed to cast blame outside. While, with crypto, with so many fewer being invested, it’s even easier to wipe it out completely with a simple decree during a time of crisis and distraction.

    But there’s big money invested in real things like farm and timberland …maybe getting some of these real things will get one’s interests more in alignment with those who have juice.

    Separately, Putin, like much of our leadership, is an old Klaus Schwab/WEC bud. Is it possible that Vlad had not gone off script with his troop movements and such, but rather is following the same screenplay as our “leaders”. Ha.

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