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18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
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India Undergoing Massive Bank Run After Government Bans Money

In an effort to cut back on corruption and the black market economy, in a surprise move, India banned 500 and 1,000 rupee note denominations, which is causing people to go fucking haywire, desperate in need of money.

They’re waiting on lines for hours to either deposit their banned notes or exchange them for legal tender. India is in the process of printing new notes and will make them available shortly. In the meantime, people are fucked.

Imagine waking up to learn that $20 and $100 were banned and no longer legal tender and that you had a few days to turn them in, otherwise they’d be rendered worthless?

Source: Bloomberg

People stand in line to exchange now-defunct notes.
Indians rushed to deposit 478.68 billion rupees ($7.1 billion) of cash at State Bank of India after the government’s surprise move to abolish high-denomination banknotes, as customers queued for hours to deposit or exchange the old bills and ATMs ran dry.

With the banned bills accounting for 86 percent of money out of circulation, there is tremendous pressure on India’s banking system to replenish the cash. There’s adequate money in the currency chests at more than 4,000 locations and re-configuration of dispensing machines will be completed within two weeks, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said at a press conference in New Delhi on Saturday.

India’s banks have been caught out by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s unexpected and widely-praised announcement late on Tuesday of the withdrawal of 500-rupee and 1,000-rupee notes, part of a crackdown on tax evasion and the underground economy. Jaitley urged people not to rush to banks immediately and wait for a few days and to conduct financial transactions using electronic transfers, cheques and credit and debit cards.

“A big regret is that people are getting inconvenienced, but currency replacement of this magnitude will cause some problems,” said Jaitley. “There are long, but orderly queues. Such a big currency replacement can’t be done overnight.”

State Bank, the country’s largest lender, has handled 543.70 billion rupees of cash transactions, including deposits, withdrawals and exchange of banknotes, starting Thursday through 12:15 p.m. on Saturday, Jaitley said. The state-owned bank and its associates account for about 20 percent to 25 percent of the nation’s banking system, he said.

The government deliberately didn’t reconfigure the more than 200,000 cash machines beforehand to help keep the announcement a secret, Jaitley said. The machines are being re-calibrated so that they can dispense new 500 and 2,000 rupee notes, which do not fit into the existing cash trays in the ATMs.

The central bank’s presses are printing banknotes at full capacity to ensure availability, Reserve Bank of India said on Saturday.

To overcome cash problems people are facing, the government allowed the use of old banknotes to pay court fees and utility bills until Nov. 14. It had earlier also suspended collection of tolls on national highways through the same period.

“The first few days are going to be a period of inconvenience, but long-term advantages of this are to the overall economy,” said Jaitley. “There is no mismanagement at banks, had that been the case then not so many people would have been serviced.”

Taxes will be paid, whether people like it or not.

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14 comments

  1. mistermoe

    I was in India a few weeks ago and can speak relatively well about this. Only a small percentage of money actually gets deposited in banks. If you go to buy an acre of land there will be a price of 1 million rupees and about 70% of that will be in cash so the recorded transaction happens at Rs. 300,000. That is just not sustainable anymore and PM Modi had it with not just tax evasion, but corruption and counterfeit money as well. It seems that about 5% of the 500 and 1000 rupee notes in circulation are actually printed outside of the system and are funding terrorism. Also, the opposition party (Indian National Congress) is mostly funded by black money. As far as corruption goes, one of my schoolmates’ is super well off and his dad happens to be a Customs officer. All in all, a painful but necessary move given all these facts.

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  2. mistermoe

    Super well off = Helipad in residential compound next to Maybach fleet. Beyond ridiculous.

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  3. Dr. Fly

    Thanks for the feedback

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    • mistermoe

      You are welcome.
      Update: I spoke to a friend there this morning and am hearing real estate prices have dropped by about 25% and there are burnt bags of cash doused with kerosene being found on the streets of Pune. Those who have been sitting on 100 rupee notes (which are not banned) and are up to date on their taxes are charging about a 30-45% premium to convert 500/1000 notes.

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      • mistermoe

        Also, the formerly wealthy black money hoarders don’t actually count their money very accurately and use weight to judge value. A jute bag filled to the brim can hold about 6 crores ($880,000) in 1000 rupee notes and weighs about 5 kgs. There are basements filled with these bags that are now basically worthless.

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  4. heaterman

    So just for the sake of entertaining Saturday afternoon discussion…..

    How long before the equivalent happens here, and….

    What will happen when it does.

    Personally, I think it’s inevitable as the egregious tax burdens drive more and more of our economy underground.

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    • sethster99

      The opposite will happen here. People will be rushing to get their money out of the banks rather than into them.

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    • ironbird

      Man. Out here in Crazy Cali every new tax magically passed again. And they have not even counted all the “votes” yet. We dodged the biggest bullet in US history if Trump does what he said he would. Watch for all out chaos in the sanctuary cities of communist Cali.

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  5. cancel19

    In the end gold and silver win!

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    • en1gma

      GOLD is kinda fucked because of all the paper gold that has been issued. Gold ETF and government manipulation would have to be unwound for Gold to get normalized and I don’t see that being in any way predictable as an investment. In fact I see USA going to war with anyone who directly fucks with USD as world currency by issuing a PM backed currency.

      Which brings me to Bitcoin. Same functionality as gold. Easier to transfer. Store of value. Immune to manipulation. What’s been missing in my opinion is that seismic shift into the currency. It’s mostly still nerd money. If Greece, Argentina, Venezuela or any other population move on BTC “like a bitch” we’d have a different story. Notice I said population. I don’t see any major government ever willingly adopting a currency they can’t control.

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      • cancel19

        Very interesting observation. I appreciate it. Maybe after a nuclear exchange is my above statement possibly true.

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  6. roundwego

    It would be awsome to see ron, nigel and trump together. Trump would be wise to listen to ron paul, the og outsider.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-12/beware-shadow-government-ron-paul-warns-president-elect-trump

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  7. JakeGint

    Interesting their concerns about “inconvenience.” This is the difference between a tyrannical system that jas no respect for property rights, and a system accountable to the people. If they tried something like that here, they’d have a revolution on their hands.

    _____

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