Most of my advisor friends are conservative, but they’re also greedy pigs who only think about themselves. As such, many of them want H. Clinton to get elected. Before you flip out on a rant, understand that most people just want to do blow, drink a few gallons of wine, and unwind on a nude beach in Greece. The idea of a Trump presidency is a headache for people who have much to lose.
My populist bend has more to do with growing up inside of the sewers of Brooklyn, before it was gentrified into a hipster haven, than anything else that might’ve swayed me over the past year.
For a long time, I wanted the status quo. I thought it was good for me because stocks went up and I made a living from their appreciation. But in 2014, I started to view things differently. I saw the corrupt nature of what the Fed was doing as unnatural. On top of that, companies were missing earnings by wide margins and macro trends started to really point lower — yet stocks continued to edge higher.
I think the Yellen Fed and their feckless and asinine approach to monetary policy, with all of their fucking speeches and lies, put me over the top — John Rambo style.
But in the event Hillary gets elected, I won’t lament over it, not even for a second. My approach to most things in life is to expect the very worst, making favorable outcomes nothing but upside surprises. I realize that’s a very gloomy way to wade through life; but it has worked for me thus far and I’ve used this cognitive dissonance with great success — steadying an otherwise volatile and unpredictable vessel.
Should Clinton win, and based upon today’s polls it’s looking like the probable outcome, I anticipate Yellen will remain at the Fed. Monetary policy will remain static, healthcare reform will be increased, this time aiming at profit margins for big pharma in order to help out the struggling Obamacare. Our foreign policy will surround itself around a neocon agenda, targeting Russia as our biggest enemy.
In other words, more of the same.
Growth will be moribund and multi nationals will do well. Stocks will rise and the debt burden will expand.
Maybe it’s a good thing, although I doubt it. Banks will rise and solar will get hammered. Most people would think solar would do well under Clinton. But you’d be forgetting the fact that she’s owned by Saudi Arabia. Either way, as market participants, it’s important that we figure out how to prepare for Clinton and the easiest path towards making money.
The election season has been very distracting, and fun, if I’m being honest. Bear in mind, a Clinton win might already be baked into the market. Big money has never taken Trump seriously, so you may not get any immediate upside upon her election.
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I remember in your blogs you acknowledged the Fed manipulation was there and purposeful but we knew it made stocks go up so it was a good thing. What changed?
I still want stocks to go up!
I literally woke up one day and decided that life was more than collecting money and that maybe I could use my small corner in the world to expose the corruption that will end up hurting everyone.
You’ve been doing an excellent job of it. Thank you.
I second that. Thank you for your voice.
Stocks going up was a good thing in 04 05 06?
You people are So stupid (extratrump)
C’mon Cap’n, you REALLY trust the mainstream media’s “polls”??? Even as I write this, CNBC is once again interupting market discussion to again bash Trump and coronate Queen Hillary. CNBC is literally trash talking Trump EVERY 5 minutes ALL DAY so far (Clinton is a sure winner, Trump is called to quit race, Trump is evil, fake ‘debates between a Trump hater and a Clinton supporter etc). It is comical. Maybe the people aren’t QUITE as stupid as the MSM thinks they are, don’t be so sure Trump won’t get more votes. My concern is assuming he does, will the ‘fix be in’ – and maybe thats why the MSM is trying to brainwash us into ‘expecting’ her coronation, so that a Trump win can somehow be disputed…
I’m a natural pessimist.
I’m not your Cap’n speaking but I’ll chime in. I think Trump is further ahead than the MSM is giving him credit for. Why trust anything they say. We are well aware that they will stop at nothing to get her elected. Even if he was ahead 80% to 20%, does anyone believe they’d tell us that.
Enter Russia. When Trump beats her, they will use Russian interference to void the election. There’s no way that Russia is involved in our election process and if they truly were, why isn’t anyone doing anything to secure the process?
As for Fly’s associates who want to maintain the status quo, this charade cannot last forever and those dudes are going to be in for a rude awakening when the shit hits the fan. It will hit the fan if Trump gets in but I’d rather have someone in office trying to help than purposefully hurting people.
Trump (assuming moderators ever allow him to speak about it) should ask, assuming Russia is on Trump’s side (and they surely are not if they want America to be a weaker, Socialist state), who is on Hillary’s side? Who are the Radical Muslims, Saudis, Iranians etc routing for?
-and as for his taxes, wasn’t it a CRIME to allow Trump’s return to be publicly leaked? Why does Trump need to answer ANY questions about his returns? Of course meanwhile the REAL scandals went unquestioned by moderators.
I believe in most circles in Wall st., they are aware of the asinine nature of stock levels, and what results from unfettered amounts of never-correcting gains. In their street style parlance of course (“ah, this is a shitpile, this thing ain’t worth its weight”) Etc.
For entertainment.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/north_america/2016-u-s-presidential-election/are-they-planning-to-deny-the-election-if-trump-wins/
Follow up:
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/north_america/2016-u-s-presidential-election/obama-officially-accuses-russia-of-hacking-the-election/
If it wasn’t so blatant I might could stomach this, but as the pirate says CNBC is a spoon feeding propaganda machine…No way I can handle this for four years…The cable TV box gets returned on November 9th
Pace yourselves lads. Life is too short to get worked up over things you can’t control.
As for CNBC, fuck them.
3 cheers fer the Cap’n laddies. Arrrrrrrr!
Did u see the kind of applause he received for “Coz you’d be in Jail”
I don’t trust these polls whatsoever…Trump all the way
The encroachment of a totalitarian state, or technocracy? Cmon flydaddy. Can’t control…?
Yes, for all practical purposes the Presidential election is in practically in the bag for Hillary. I agree that we should focus on how to benefit financially from that choice.
The worst case scenario right now would be Republican loses that prevent gridlock. The market wants the following to control spending.
Hillary – White House
Senate – Republican or maybe 1-2 Dem majority
House – Republican, if this goes blue, market will not be happy.
Hillary knows bull markets win elections, the Fed is now like the Supreme Court, a political institution. I’m just not sure Hillary can keep the economy/bull running for 4 more years, unemployment 5%, housing, oil. Is there really much more to go on those trends?
But the goal is to make money and for now Oct/Nov/Dec looks seasonally bullish.
Absent an attack, meteor, missile, which can happen no matter who is in charge, anyone would be a fool to let a political view cloud their vision and sit on 100% cash right now.
Trump, is saying, audit Fed I believe right?…
I think gold rips over the next 6 months
Trump took a junket with Bill’s pedophile friend Epstein 22 years ago. When he saw what was going on he left immediately. Get ready folks, the rape claim is coming. But, maybe Trump has more on old Bill’s 13 trips with Epstein. They might not be able to go with it.
Polls said brexit wiuld not happen. Note alk the polks say (amoung likely voters) so it is discressionarty.
Look at KOL. Enough said about those horseshit polls.
The Fraud/ Corruption is out of control. Has been for some time now, just blatant in your face. Oligarch / Cleptocracy style. Fascist Business Model.
US President’ are Selected; not Elected.
>US President’ are Selected; not Elected.
Insightful comment…..the media technology industrial complex
Insightful?? You got a -lot- of catching up to do
If the Hilda-Beast wins this election it will be the first chapter in the future history book entitled The Fall of The United States.
Correction, you mean the second chapter. The first was started by the Google Kenyan muzzie president!
This is the most divisive election in history. Trump wins, Russia blamed and the fringe Trumpsters get the go ahead and behave like animals, couple with the libs discontent and social unrest ensues. Hillary wins, the fix was in and all the Trumpsters riot causing social unrest.
Following this election it will be a different country either way.
I think it’s very faulty: (and Lefly is very faulty) to think the H elected means bull/up, we go up. THEY ARE BIDING TIME!! LOL. THEY ARE CLEARLY BIDING TIME. The programmers programming the stock market, are clearly currently, the last few months, just/merely biding time. I read (reed not red) that solidly in the action they are getting/making/providing. They absofuckinglutely know, they are merely biding time with index levels.
That leads to the overall notion, (that some of us have been correct on), it is so fully-and-completely, propaganda, tool, a propaganda tool, a tool of perception in your fucking face.
STOCKS
MAY
EASILY
BE
BROUGHT
DOWN
SOMETIME
AFTER
SHE IS ELECTED
* after she is gotten elected
“Do we get to win this time, sir?”
– John Rambo
Nice “rally” today that Thing is having. Where the hell did they find that motley crew of lemmings behind the stage. Jesus Christ what a sad sack of douche bags.
AMEN BROTHUR