iBankCoin

Just When I Thought I Was Out

Today’s jobs numbers demands action. More than that, TLT is top heavy and I am sensing we might drift higher, specifically in stocks that have PEs and are valued relatively inexpensive. I am taking a two prong approach to the market here.

1. I am investing in a wide swath of low FPE, low p/s names that are under accumulation.

2. I am investing in several high growth names that are either EPS positive and exhibiting signs of bottom line growth and/or buying a few tech names that have low p/s ratios.

I am avoiding, like the plague, tech stocks with p/s ratios above 10, losing money.

I’ve begun buying the following stocks, methodically, and will continue to do so until I am 90% long. I intend on holding this “value basket” until it nets me 5%.

FANG

RKUS

CRTO

DLPH

KMT

HBI

JAZZ

WCC

EL

I see the market reversed lower and Rickard Santelli is on the teevee, fully erect, calling for a fucking crash. I’d much rather buy these stocks on dips, so if the market sells off today, so be it. I’ve given this approach a lot of thought and consider it my best foot forward, considering the sort of bastard tape I have in front of me. I am out of my comfort zone, navigating in unfriendly, foreign, waters.

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62 comments

  1. Pat

    I prefer LEA over DLPH, but both seem cheap and provide a lot of growth potential.

    Another name that I think will continue to remain cheap and offers a ton of growth: URI

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  2. Mr. President

    Did the no-cussing rule die with your YELP holdings?

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  3. johnny joker

    nice basket there – with the exception of CRTO (plague stock)

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    • The Fly

      CRTO is a plague stock. However, they are #2 in ads next to GOOG, acquisition target, trading 3x sales.

      C’mon son.

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      • The Fly

        Earnings on deck too.

        So exciting (Colonel Landa voice)

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      • johnny joker

        they’re definitely one of the big players in the ad retargeting space (im in digital marketing) but that market is much much smaller than google adwords or adsense. its also super competitive. they compete directly with google and a bunch of smaller players in that space. good company, but they’ve got a commoditized offering without a notable edge. just my two cents.

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  4. UncleBuccs

    I’ve used this analogy before, but Santelli is like the pyromaniac hiding in the bushes, jacking off to the sight of a lit fire. Frustrating for him, said fire keeps ‘petering’ out before he finishes, thus the anger..

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  5. noCigar

    Take a look at UBNT. P/S 7.8, fwd PE 18, y/y growth rate near 70%

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  6. Strumpet

    Can i offer you a basket?

    GE 3.3% yield
    ABB 3.2 yield
    OMG zero debt
    AZPN software for oil/gas and chemical industries, in vogue right now. proven track record
    CCI off the AMT and SBAC numbers reported. group is loved by all
    MON because its growth and value all in one. has held up well
    CMG because everyone knows it will be 1000 in a couple years.

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    • The Fly

      GE- ok
      ABB- ok
      OMG– I’ll never buy it based on acronym
      AZPN- will investigate
      CCI- like it
      MON- evil empire. Should do fine.
      CMG- too expensive for me

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    • SCJ

      ABB: Income from operations
      Q1 14 855
      Q1 13 1,052
      -19%
      but ex date 5/5 for .78

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  7. Someguy

    Half these stocks are still near all time highs…….

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  8. The Real Muppet
    The Real Muppet

    Market acting like Yellen just walked into the room, took off her clothes, and farted.

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  9. Sloop

    I like your picks, but I would apply a technical plan to the purchase of these. More attention is needed on the buy side of everything now a days.

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  10. Sloop

    Case in point is EL. Someone is having a bad day if they bought this on a break out plan.

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  11. David

    Mr. Fly, how about TM ? Great growth % Div Very low P/E P/S P/B I own as investment for life.

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  12. Cascadian

    Put on your rally hat!

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  13. johnny joker

    LNKD getting crushed…alas, the bubonic plague rages on

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  14. snoozemr

    like the new strategy Fly.
    I’m mostly in cash and old man stocks now but ready to deploy. trying to gauge the next rotation. made a tidy sum on April Exxon 100 calls i sold last Christmas for just under 3 and was able to buy back for 5 cents the week before the 19th. Hoping the recent strength and upcoming ex divy date leads to some decent far off 105 call prices. also back in EGRX at 9.38. See what next week’s health conference presentation and earnings week after brings. not one o the weak of heart though. hedgies could swing this one a lot lower before then. looking at fprx again too – chart looks interesting, but not before the weekend.

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  15. ironbird

    The bond market is not exactly giving the all clear.

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  16. Mister Jinx

    Let’s say my thesis is that rates will rise, starting this week. What’s a good play for that within the constraint of needing to use only stocks or ETFs (no shorting)? I’d like to avoid leveraged ETFs, if possible, so thinking TBF, but it won’t give me much juice.

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    • snoozemr

      only way to get juice with that theory really would be the leveraged ETFs, they are a one or two day trade so they work great if your theory is right. suppose it would be the TTT. Caveat emptor there though – better be pretty sure in your thesis.

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      • Mister Jinx

        Thanks — I just hate the time decay with leveraged ETFs. I’m thinking swing trade here. Appreciate the thoughts, though.

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  17. Juice

    Santelli is never more fully erect than when talking impending doom

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  18. Willie Phisterbum
    Willie Phisterbum

    SYMX continues to consolidate and base. Low volume, tight range. Increasing revenue and several positive developments announced already this year (partner to produce their equipment, increased supply of coke oven gas to cook up more meth and further increase rev., undisclosed buyer of 8M shares at 1.80 a monthish ago).

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  19. HalfBloodPope

    JAZZ earnings after hours on 5/8.

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  20. spinner

    Fly, the ellipse…is highly underrated.

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  21. johnny joker

    yesterday’s frantic buying in YELP was for naught…further proof that some dark days may be ahead

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  22. Joe Kramer

    Sugar man great artist ,great songs, G L Fly getting in the zone

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  23. snoozemr

    just noticed wprt. up 22% although from a long and steep decline. didn’t read the earnings. perhaps those nat gas ford F150s coming out?

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  24. Joe Kramer

    What the hell is that thing next to my post

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  25. OG

    So is war starting this weekend?

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    • snoozemr

      heightened rhetoric. Putin will keep moving in special forces though.

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  26. ironbird

    Grandma has put the fair value of the SPY at 1880. She will let us know when it is proper to reprice. Carry on.

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  27. The Next New Cat Thing
    The Next New Cat Thing

    stop.

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  28. it is showtime
    it is showtime

    18-97 held

    Just had a feeling
    Out of April 4 action

    The current Top

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  29. THE_WOLF

    believe these job numbers ?
    from 6.6 to 6.3
    interest rates right at the feb year low,
    i smell more manipulation,
    inevitably they will be revised,
    demographics rule,
    participation 35 yr low
    the bond market doesnt seem impressed, ie TLT
    GDP remains pathetic.
    MM’s profoundly short.
    Has the inconclusive schizophrenic hibernating bear finally woke up from its slumber to dine with the new 5 horsemen of the apocalypse TZA, FAZ, BIS, RUSS, JNUG, on the technically damaged market ?
    Why are you straying from your original brilliance of trading etf’s within the exceptional PPT’s protective shelter ?

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  30. rahagar

    Late to the party, normal, but in my holdings now are SYX and RLD. Look good to my less trained eye.

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