iBankCoin

The Bulls Have Been Given Essence of Nightshade

Serious volatility is scaring the plebs out from their positions. I, on the other hand, am up 0.4% thanks to IMMR and AMBA. But there are dislocations in the credit markets, municipal and sovereign. Also, the REITs continue to get blasted and commodities are death.

Below is a chart of the yen, which looks to be breaking out–not a good sign for global liquidity, a source of funds for just about everyone.
FXY

Here are the REITs.

IYR

My risk appetite index is at new lows.

RAI

The dollar is getting slaughtered, all the while TLT is going lower. That makes no sense at all.
uup

Italian and Spanish bonds are creeping higher again.

bonds

If I wasn’t inclined to talk my book, I’d suggest being cautious here. With mysteries abound and the market good and fat, one is bound to get killed. On the other hand, volatility has been dead for some time now and whenever the market looks like it’s ready to rollover, Ben Bernanke rolls the bears into his philly blunt and smokes them.

For now, I am 100% invested.

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20 comments

  1. Mike

    WETF?

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  2. Braveflaps - travelling through space and time at Mach Nards!!!
    Braveflaps - travelling through space and time at Mach Nards!!!

    Aggggggggghhhhmytaint!!!

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  3. The Fly

    UPDATE: I am now down.

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  4. joe

    looking at the price of coffee via JO, pretty soon those fuckers in south america will be giving it away for free…..

    boy am I tempted to go long there

    and I want TLT at 109 and not a penny more…patience

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  5. Juice

    for a second there, I thought Senor Fly was gonna go all Tim Knight on us

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  6. flyaway18

    TLT is up more than a point now.

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  7. The Fly

    down =0.1%.

    FXY lifting off

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  8. The Fly

    Finished up 0.06%

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  9. The Fly

    The Yen carry trade unravel panic of 2013.

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  10. Mr.Partridge

    DUST baby!
    I develped a tolerance to hold it for days now.. scary thought 🙂

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  11. fly jr

    Interesting considering Fly is one of the biggest perma bulls.

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  12. JP

    Mr. Kong has been telling us so !!

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  13. Trading_Nymph

    Fly, Regarding “The dollar is getting slaughtered, all the while TLT is going lower. That makes no sense at all.”…..As I posted on the other Blog of yours, it’s the rise in the German 2 year bond that is causing the weakness in the USD, quants follow the spread.

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    • Trading_Nymph

      BTW, found that out the hard way from a F/X pro, when I asked wtf is eur/usd in rally mode after OMT could be put at risk.

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  14. Bundesbank Bunny
    Bundesbank Bunny

    USAC …saved my nutsack

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