iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,443 Blog Posts

Dollar Death Party

The futures started ripping to the upside as soon as the floor fell out of dollar support. Yes, quantitative easing, apparently, has already worked, even though it has yet to begin. The Fed is playing a game of high stakes psychology on its zombified test subjects, who believe everything they are told.

It’s obvious, the rally isn’t over yet, as performance chases performance, which in turn chases more performance. Japan’s interest rates are at 0-0.1%, yet their stock market is down 75% from the highs. On the path the Fed is putting us on, it’s only a matter of time before the dollar loses reserve status. Then what? Well, then commodity prices won’t be jarred by the manipulation of the dollar and America really feels the brunt of their economic missteps. But you and I know that will never happen, right? Before we lose reserve status, foreign capitals will be “set free” by several thousand of our finely tuned bombers.

In summary, today I feel as wrong as wrong can be, sitting out and enduring the pins and needles of a 2% lift off. It’s like watching your girlfriend dance with some tool, as you watch from the luxury of a full body cast.

Perpetual melt-ups into the election, in order to set the mood for reelection.

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123 comments

  1. D Hydration

    THE FLY IS GOD. No less

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  2. Grammar Police

    “even though it has yet to being”

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  3. Quantatative Weasing
    Quantatative Weasing

    Anyone have an oxygen mask?

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  4. mrkcbill

    “It’s like watching your girlfriend dance with some tool, as you watch from the luxury of a full body cast.”

    Now Thats How You Wave A Towel !!!!

    FIG

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  5. HawaiiFive0

    Sir! You are still a gentleman and a scholar!

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  6. Rand

    Obama is a tool.

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    • robert(rob_pvb)

      the dollar was a lot worse under idiot bush #2. eurusd 1.60. obama does not have that much to do with the dollar. it is ben. and, if any republican were president now, this situation would be just about the same. only difference being that the radio and tv mouths that you and your ilk listen to would be proclaiming republicans were saving the country and jobs instead of bashing obama. you are the tool; all of you morons who cannot think for themselves.

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      • Jay316

        Yeah but Obama is seriously a tool.

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        • Jakegint

          Rob is correct about the central bank thing.

          But if he thinks jumping off the cliff with the socialist lemming troupe that’s been running Congress for four years and the Presidency for two is “thinking for himself” then I can only assume he’s attempting to get his picture in the Psych 101 textbooks under the definition of projection.

          Sorry loser, you fell for the dimwit slogans and the nineteenth century failed economics.

          Wallow in your shame and keep very quiet.

          __________

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  7. bloomberg

    “…Perpetual melt-ups into the election, in order to set the mood for reelection.”

    if only the majority of people know HOW MUCH THIS IS TRUE…. Woaw. this should be written in the history books.
    Very Clever indeud!!!

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    • Megacallspreadflaps

      Except that robots don’t vote.

      OR DO THEY?

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      • panamaorange

        Unemployment rates will decide this election. They are the reason i was able to predict a September rally back in early summer.
        Incumbent parties dont win with 20% “real unemployment”. It simply doesn’t happen.
        They could goose this Dow to 15k, the Dems would still get slaughtered.

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  8. Trading_Nymph

    POMO is such a HOMO…we have it again tomorrow. I haven’t researched it yet, but how do Currency Wars End? I really thought that BoJ action would at least kick POMO with Fed buying Treasuries in the nuts a small bit, but nope………Anyone study historical Currency Wars?

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    • Mr. Partridge

      They don’t end in once lifetime….. it takes years… sometimes decades…

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    • WTF

      Nymph, what’s a Currency War? FX intervention? Well, then you should have already read it in the Soros’ book.

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    • surplusdroids

      lots of commodity accumulation and war.

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      • Trading_Nymph

        WTF….All of the Countries are starting to really getting super aggressive in F/X intervention and bad mouthing each other about their actions….this is getting so hot…BoJ is soooo pissssed right now….just getting so ugly. In 2009 it seemed like G20 held hands together…now it seems everyone is picking up daggers, should be fun G20 meeting.

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        • WTF

          OK. But, as you could see, interventions have practically zero effect. What’s interesting though, is what the governments will do next, when they come to this realization. I see the BoJ’s rate-setting in the light of Kan-san and his team. They are pissed-off, and seem to be resolute on going way beyond interventions to fiscal policies. That would actually help their economy.

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  9. weezypicky

    DOW 36K FIG

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  10. Fabian

    Your words pain…Say it isn’t so Joe, You are not wrong…just early

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  11. panamaorange

    Adding a 2nd 1/8th allocation in QID at 14.32. 3/8ths total short allocated in portfolio. Will scale down to 2/8ths or less by bell. Ive been talking short about this market for weeks.Its time i build a small swing short again,rather than merely scalping.

    Ill capitulate when bernanke rips this laptop from my cold dead hands.

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    • Asteroids

      Agreed. I’ve been scalping as well and have started with with a tiny position in TZA at 24.68. I’m betting we fall into the range very soon again. Today is overdone.

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      • Flyaway18

        How do you know what is overdone?
        From what I read here, only HFTs are buying this market.
        The retail investor is largely sitting this epic rally out.
        So are many money managers.
        How do you know when HFTs are done buying?

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  12. wilmer

    QEII has done made off with your girlfriend.

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  13. Snorkel

    when Obama killed that fly I knew it was a sign of things to come

    as it would happen, in essence by voting Obama the Dr sealed his own fate. Odd, no?

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  14. Nostrildamus

    The trick is to get an erection before they put on the cast. Then you have a perma-boner for when she wants to dance with a tool.

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  15. Benny B

    I’d get long some WD40 stock (WDFC)…my printing presses need some lube! WOOOO-HOOOOO!!!!!

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  16. venter

    this market is fucked up, i’m roughly 1/3 cash, 1/3 longs, 1/3 hedged. treading water but moving up ever so slowly, no fucking idea what to do next so i do nohing

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  17. alphadawgg

    The market appears to be voting for gold as the “reserve currency”, no?

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  18. Super B

    Before we lose reserve status, foreign capitals will be “set free” by several thousand of our finely tuned bombers.

    You are right. America has invaded more than sixty countries since world war 2.
    A CENTURY OF U.S. MILITARY INTERVENTIONS
    http://academic.evergreen.edu/g/grossmaz/interventions.html

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  19. alphadawgg

    Reserve currency status is awarded to the country with the biggest, meanest, kick-ass military in the world.

    That would be……US!

    Guns trump gold, anyday.

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    • Super B

      But America is in so much debt. It is not superpower any more.

      Do you know how much interest America has to pay daily on its debt? Its more than 500 million dollar a day.

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      • alphadawgg

        USA not a superpower? Go wash your mouth out with soap…..and take off that Chairman Mao hat. You look ridiculous!

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    • WTF

      You must be joking, Dawgg. How many years have the kick-ass warriors been ass-kicked in Afghanistan and Iraq?

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    • Super B

      dawgg must be a fox news viewer.

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      • Jakegint

        Not that such a dim-witted retort isn’t too cliched.

        Earth to low-IQ libs/ Al Q’aeda simps — There were actually conservatives in the U.S. before Fox News debuted.

        And here’s another horror for you — this is a center right country.

        _________

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    • Milktrader

      This is true, and is borne out in history. Spain. Great Britain. US

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  20. drummerboy

    it just looks like were ripping,just getting back what was in the red from yestaday. just dont see a real catalyst for any of this. have the smoke stacks in this country started smoking again? bullshit,im in no way convinced this country is fixed from any of its problems. the sheeples are just gettin sucked in,if you made a buck,you better take your buck,cant act as if shit didnt hit the fan a couple of yrs ago.blind exuberance

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  21. shiny gs robot

    Resistance is futile. You will capitulate.

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  22. alphadawgg

    You’re looking at the lagging indicators. The market is forward-looking. Apparently the collective wisdom (or foolishness) is saying buy!, buy!, buy!, for whatever reason.

    Get out of the penalty box and get in the game, if you want to make money.

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  23. Fuck'nA

    Buck up boy !!! You are still the king.

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  24. alphadawgg

    Just sold my CHIQ after a nice run, because it is lagging today.

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  25. Milktrader

    US doesn’t lose res.erve status until someone else’s navy overtakes ours

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    • Milktrader

      see comment below – not sure how I doubled up a comment

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    • alphadawgg

      Very good. You are looking at an (sic) historical lesson.

      Britain lost it to us in the last century, after taking it from Spain in the 16th Century, or thereabouts.

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    • joey bag o' turrets
      joey bag o' turrets

      Indeud. We (the glorious USA) control the seas and therefore shipping and trade.

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    • WTF

      Navy used to be the only means to reach distant states/territories, hence its historical importance. No more relevant. Capabilities in space and unmanned warfare are the new navy.

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  26. Milktrader

    US doesn’t lose reserve status until someone else’s navy overtakes ours

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  27. Mr. Partridge

    Losing reserve staus is not an event… it’s a process.. lol

    $US has way more room to fall

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  28. Jonny Wang, China Mirrionaire (soon to be Birrionaire)
    Jonny Wang, China Mirrionaire (soon to be Birrionaire)

    Confucious say, vote fo’ renminbi instead of fooktaahded dorrah!

    You all like eat flied lice wit yo pork chow mein?

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  29. Super B

    Obama is the worse president in the history of America. Obama is destroying the US dollar.

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    • Fly Leech

      Bu bu bu bu but, we have free obama care! An an an and obama dollas!

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    • Mr. Partridge

      it NEEDS to destroyed…. it has no business to be reserve currency

      Long live GOLD

      PS. it was not me… it was some gold bug in me… lol

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  30. TA

    This bull market is far stronger than the index shows.

    Leaders are challenging and breaking new 52 week highs.

    Dividend stocks and REITS ignored the Apr-May drop and have done nothing but go up.
    They have sliced through my covered calls and I can’t roll up fast enough.

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  31. Teahouse On The Tracks
    Teahouse On The Tracks

    The Fed is replenishing IRA’s, 401K’s, 403B’s, Pension Funds and Insurance Company Portfolios to compensate for your losses …

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  32. StocksRider

    Of course I get no respect. My last two posts called it…yet again.

    Here – http://ibankcoin.com/king_of_the_pg/2010/09/28/the-long-and-short-of-it/

    and here – http://ibankcoin.com/king_of_the_pg/2010/10/01/attention-%E2%80%93-the-king-is-leaving/

    The question is – How long can I be ignored?

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    • joey bag o' broken clock awards
      joey bag o' broken clock awards

      Your award notice is in the mail, courtesy of the PPT.

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      • StocksRider

        Bag of broken clocks? Kid, you have no idea. Read all my posts since I started writing at P.G. and prepare to get surprised.

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        • panamaorange

          “If you’re still waiting for “the next leg down” this fall, explain to me how the democrats won’t get routed during the elections.
          I’m not pro republican, or pro democrat. The issue is this–fund mangers are conservative!
          They will have more confidence in stocks this spetember, as they see the democrats headed for certain defeat.”

          I wrote that on a blog back in mid June. You don’t see me bragging about it in retrospect

          oh, wait…..

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          • StocksRider

            Fair enough. I deserve the protests. How dare a PG blogger thump his chest after all, right?

            Panama, to answer your question, you are assuming the “next leg down” is solely predicated on the democrats not winning the elections. I never made that assumption. For me the “next leg down” is based on myriad of indicators and variables, many of which I have already explained in my posts. They are based on studying consensus, respecting momentum, monitoring overbought/oversold indicators, a few esoteric indicators and understanding that every market is different, which makes it necessary to be nimble with the kinds of indicators you use.

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          • StocksRider

            i meant to say “….democrats winning the elections….”

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      • Jakegint

        “Joey” is on a roll today!

        LOFL.

        ____

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    • TA

      Fuck the respect,

      If you are as good as you say you are, you are rich and enjoying life
      Leave the respect earning to the idiots on CNBC

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      • StocksRider

        I agree. I meant the whole “respect” part in a rodney dangerfield manner, not to be taken seriously. My posts on the other hand, MUST be taken seriously!

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    • Mr. Market

      Did you read The Fly’s previous headline?

      “Shut Up and Sit Down”.

      Nice calls, but I will outsmart you in the end. I always win.

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      • StocksRider

        Cannot argue with you.

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        • panamaorange

          i do like the thoroughness of your analysis.
          But, the timing for celebrating it is a bit off. We’re awfully close to a blow-off top here. Which is why it is time to pre-emptively celebrate riding the move down—much like the fly is doing.

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          • StocksRider

            Thanks. I am also expecting a major reversal this week as mentioned in my posts.

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  33. Disguiseyflaps

    This is my new paparazzi-proof gravatar – to be used until my Jan 11 puts kick in, or someone takes off my FUCK-KIN moustache at Dow 12000 (sometime later today).

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  34. Teahouse On The Tracks
    Teahouse On The Tracks

    Another higher high …. Booyah!

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  35. A Monkey with a Black Sheriff
    A Monkey with a Black Sheriff

    Dow near 11,000, sheriff murdered, crops burned, stores looted, people stampeded, and cattle raped. The time has come to act, and act fast. I’m buying more $VXX.

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  36. alphadawgg

    It will be interesting to note what the PPT hybrid score will be after today’s melt up action.

    I may start to unload some of my short term positions this week.

    Industrial stocks look particularly vulnerable to me because of valuations and over exuberant analysts raising estimates.

    Regardless, still long and strong into this rally.

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  37. TheV.King

    Hey Jake The V.King sold all his new STEC stock for a nifty $35,000 in profits…

    Now that i’ve finished with that business, I ask you kind sir, could you list for The V.King the top 5 progressive Obama cock suckers on this board….

    Thanks

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    • Bullish

      Do you remember around March 2009 when the Pres said, “I think…. based on certain… uhhh… price to earnings ratios… it’s probably a good time to buy stocks”

      Does anyone give him credit for calling the bottom?

      Don’t be a hater, he’s saving the world and the stock market.

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    • joey bag o' Predator drones
      joey bag o' Predator drones

      …and could you please include their GPS coordinates? Thank you.

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    • DMG

      You know that little beeyotch dpz is hiding here somehwere…

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  38. Helicopter Ben-jammin' aka. Bearded Clamfucker
    Helicopter Ben-jammin' aka. Bearded Clamfucker

    Message from Bearded Clam Bernanke to Fly:

    “QE 2 muthafuckaaaaa!!!! How u like me know biatch!”

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  39. Name

    Art Cashin: Markets Could See ‘a Real Reversal’

    “The markets are at a very critical juncture,” Cashin told CNBC.
    Cashin said 1,150 to 1,160 is going to be the “key resistance area” on the S&P 500.
    “And if they try one more time and fail, we could get a real reversal,” he said.

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/39499589

    Well, Cashin called also the August top.

    Art Cashin: Markets Are ‘Forming a Top’

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/38575068

    In August he called “a” top, this time maybe a “real” top.

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    • Mr. Partridge

      Who is Art Cushing?

      Bull markets have no top

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    • joey bag o' wheelchairs
      joey bag o' wheelchairs

      Cashin is an old man. Pay no attention to him.

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    • gappingandyapping
      gappingandyapping

      There is no such thing as a reversal. The FED will not allow it. Stop with this childish talk. The bears have been murdered for talking that gibberish.

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  40. sniper6

    That sting you feel, is pride. Fuck pride.

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  41. Merlin's wand-stroking-trigger finger
    Merlin's wand-stroking-trigger finger

    I wait in silence. Ready to jump your ass with a omniscient market call.

    (Beware. “POOF!”…is coming!)

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  42. Mr. Partridge

    11k .. it’s like a white light lol and I never watch the dow..
    today is an exception

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  43. Grim Reaper

    Where is Charbuckle?

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  44. WTF

    Just programmed my pet-bot to sell VXX when the next bubble bursts. Betting on that is a more certain thing than holding gold.

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  45. The_Real_Hmmm

    Selling balance of ETH, +40% since 9/2/10.

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