iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,474 Blog Posts

Solid Start

I’m going to put aside my bias, since that is redundant and boring, and throw out a few names that are worth looking at.

Tech stocks are now being viewed as “imminent m&a” targets. The deal flow is plentiful and investors are positioning for more deals. Some potential take over plays, in the tech space, include: VCLK, ARMH, ATHR, CRNT, ADTN, CY, CRUS, MRVL, RAX etc. Frankly, there are a lot of names out there being talked about as takeover plays. Recently, my interests have been in the “rare earth” space, thanks to “The Devil.” As you know, this is an industry that is dominated by China. However, there are a few names that trade here, specifically MCP, REE, both worth a look.

Regardless of the market strength, I do not like the banks. I do not like how they are trading and definitely do not like their business models. So, forget about them.

If you need to be long, the industrials, chemicals and commodities are where it’s at. I am talking EMN, IR, MT, FCX, EMR, MTW (interesting and cheap) etc. The big cap, big business, multi-national names is where value can be found, as well as growth. Ideally, I’d like to buy these names on a pullback. I even went through the trouble of creating a Growth at a Reasonable Price (GARP) portfolio, inside The PPT. However, due to this gorilla run, I’ve been unable to allocate funds. I am stubborn like that.

All in all, today’s a big day, with near perfect breadth. Typically, the market is sort of boring from 10am-3pm, as the robots take siestas during those hours. So, if we are going to see a push higher from here, it will happen in the last hour of trade. In my opinion, if you missed this move, it’s sort of too late and pre-mature (if that makes any sense) to buy now. You are much better off stepping in around 2-3pm, if you are dying to get in.

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153 comments

  1. WTF

    Again?

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  2. enigma

    FIC

    (Fly is capitulating)

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    • The Fly

      Not changing at all. I am just being objective. Take it or leave it. I imagine it gets boring for you clam fuckers to hear me say the same shit.

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  3. Diver Dan

    Thank you for your objectivity!

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  4. Ghost of Horatio C. Keynes
    Ghost of Horatio C. Keynes

    This market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

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  5. JakeGint

    I love Molly CRUS and have all of her albums, even those cut under her Hannah MONtana stage name.

    __________

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  6. TraderCaddy

    Short possible GG,NEM,ABX,GDX

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    • JakeGint

      Don’t forget AEM.

      I happen to agree w. this… we are feathering $1300, but it seems reluctant to jump that shark today… and with the dollar down 60 cent, that’s odd.

      _______

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      • JakeGint

        Scratch that… dollar down 70 cent right now.

        ______

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        • The Fly

          Obama hates dollars.

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          • The_Real_Hmmm

            Devalue the dollar to contract the trade deficit, but purchase Treasuries to assuage the foreign bond holders! Too bad today would be a lose-lose for them.

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          • alphadawgg

            ….and banks.

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          • JakeGint

            Rather, “Obama doesn’t know from dollars.”

            There’s the rub — we’ve assembled the greatest passel of economic cluetards in our nation’s history in the current Executive branch.

            Stone hard clueless, and now the only guy with a quarter (not half) a clue — Larry Summers — is “titz-or-GTFO” and refusing to show his manboobs.

            ___________

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      • TraderCaddy

        AEM is one of the best performing ,majors in the last week (as you know) so this a crap daytrade short as opposed to something like GG which has been one of the weaker majors.

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  7. enigma

    Cramer was right!

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    • The Fly

      Interesting statement, especially paired with your handle.

      Well played.

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      • ruggyup

        Why do I think the handle was misspelled and should have read, enema. Always before, during and after Cramer.

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    • Fuck'nA

      Cramer wouldn’t be so bad if his schtick wasn’t so awful. Like nails on a chalkboard. Nothing on TV worth putting any value on with regard to financial matters.

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  8. WSJC

    For breakfast, 2 fingers of scotch and a davidoff, what time is it? Bought plenty of UCO this morning, starting to prepare for a push to $80 Oil. Still holding FAZ, avg 13.63

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  9. Carsony

    I will remember this saying this morning. ” You don’t want to be laying out in the in the tall grass when the lyons awaken” Go out with the pack, or be eatin. Anyone feeling that today.

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  10. The_Last_Puma_Punkanite
    The_Last_Puma_Punkanite

    Well this sort of ruined “The Plan”…
    I figured we would have sold off somewhat while the Chinese were basking in Moon Cakes, only to return and go on a buying frenzy….any chance they will come back…vomit lotus cream and SELL this …’vision”??

    any takers?

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  11. alphadawgg

    Who knows what a rally like this on a Friday might lead to. Just going with what is, and along for the ride until signs point otherwise.

    We shouldn’t forget that this is purely a chart chomping, technical rally, since the fundamentals now and going forward, suck.

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  12. TheArtist

    yes Jake…. that is what I meant, CMI doing well since Fly recommended it, almost a double.
    and yes DMG your HAL is doing well (if you bought it around 22.00-25.00 when it dropped during the beginning of the BP oil rig fire)

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  13. TheV.King

    Monocrat….

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    • alphadawgg

      How many one arm push ups can you do?

      I just did five, with my eyes closed.

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      • JakeGint

        From the effort?

        ______

        Speaking of push-ups, ANV is a jug-eared monster with very very large biceps.

        __________

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      • TheV.King

        Push-ups?? What the fuck are you talking about? The V.King would have to do 250 for any kind of pump…and 1 arm are for retards…why not balance a ball on your nose. How about how many 135dumbell flys can I do? Or how many 45lbs dips to china do I do on tri’s day….Or how many shares of IOC shares did I just sell…push-ups?

        V.King learn it, live it, love it!

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        • Bullish

          135 dumbell flys? What kinda roids are you taking?

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        • DMG

          “.. retards.”

          I think you mean “Intellectually disabled.”

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        • TraderCaddy

          How about those Yankees losing to a .238 team batting average like the Rays?.
          And then hitting 3 batters in a row to tie a major league record
          And then Girarardi pulls his starters for fear of retaliation the next up at bat.
          Casey and Yogi would never have done that

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          • Jakegint

            They have been quite intellectually disabled lately, no?

            _________

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          • TheV.King

            You’re too dumb..3 hit batters…dummy they were all breaking balls…trust me he wasn’t trying to send a message just had no control. You are the dictard…

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          • alphadawgg

            Yankees suck, in an intellectually disabled sort of way.

            What’s wrong with push ups, dude? Didn’t your drill sgt. put you through all the benefits of maintaining proficiency in one of the most foundational exercises for your upper bod?

            Or, are you one of those gimicky gizmo exercise equipment girly men? What happens when the world breaks down and your barbells and exercise equipment are laying in a pool of molten metal?

            Drop and give me 20, grunt! Do some functional exercises! How often are you going to get the opportunity to bench press a piano off your chest?

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  14. surplusdroids

    FIG-a-licious.

    The banks are terrible. With horrid business models.

    “Bulls make money…Bears make money…Pigs are too big to fail.”

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    • go2mars

      Excellent observation. Sad but profoundly true it seems. Except for less well-connected pigs like Lehman.

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  15. Nosebleeder Braveflaps

    Dow 36000 – TODAY.

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  16. enigma

    Folks are jumping on the bandwagon tht the market is forecasting surprisingly good earnings reports coming in October, no?

    This is a scary market for the bears since the bullish mentality is feeding on itself, and a lot of high flyers still have high short interest.

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  17. TraderCaddy

    KLAC is a good daytrade chip maker short along with some of the gold stocks.
    Gold stocks really sucking wind with lowere $$.
    Not a good sign for them.

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    • JakeGint

      They are in the stratosphere, where there is not much oxygen.

      _______

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      • TraderCaddy

        Some of the majors have not hit highs while gold has day after day.
        Old man Joseph Granville used to call this some kind of divergence on the golds (I forgot the name).
        He blew th bull market of the ’85-2000 but he knew his golds.

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  18. TA

    Who is The Devil? JakeGint?
    What did I miss?

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  19. Carsony

    I feel like I’m parachuting with one of my short positions right now. I hope to get close enough to the ground at some point, to cut the strings, but not fall far enough, that I damage myself to bad. Rather than staying onboard and drifting over to the powerlines and getting fried.

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  20. wilmer

    The MONEY NEVER SLEEPS Rally.

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  21. panamaorange

    Back in Qid at 14.40. I don’t see the possibility of a breakout, with us at the doorstep of an explosive dollar rally.

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  22. ViolentRuns

    I’m not ready to abandon ship yet. I will shit a brick if we close say over 1150 today or any day soon.

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    • riverpod

      Getting ready for a delightful assortment of dojis and spinning tops next week.

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  23. J

    You know to some degree depending on which currency you choose like the Aussie for instance. This move in US stocks in Aussie dollar terms is very small.

    We have a tightening central bank here and it makes dollar assets cheap and getting cheaper by the day.

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  24. JasonCA

    F*ck this. I just placed buy market orders on AAPL, AMZN, NFLX, CRM, and BIDU. Seriously. F*ck it. Why can’t I participate in the mania too?

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  25. bubo

    I sold short 1k of NFLX @165.70. Will see who wins…

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  26. chuck bennett

    The devil is the devil.

    thats all you need to know.

    regards

    chuck.

    ps. the devil sold 75% of his MCP @ 28.25-28.40. he always knows, and will be back in soon.

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  27. bigmovingstock

    should one hold a bazooka aimed at my person and demand purchase of stocks here and now, I will refuse

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  28. The_Last_Puma_Punkanite
    The_Last_Puma_Punkanite

    We have China news coming out next week too…
    Tuesday 10:30pm CNY HSBC Manufacturing PMI

    Thursday 9:00pm CNY Manufacturing PMI

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  29. TraderCaddy

    Please ring the bell when the last short has covered or person has gone long.
    Shouldn’t be too long to hear the ringing-a cowbell would be okay.

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  30. J

    Went out with a hedge fund buddy the other night and one comment he made stuck me.

    He asked what was conventional wisdom at the moment. He answered himself that conventional wisdom was that the US economy is fucked and won’t come back for a long time.

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    • hank

      Interesting, now find out how the conventional wisdom is wrong. That is the next step. The conventional wisdom must be wrong.

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  31. TheV.King

    Hey Chuck,

    How about the V.King vs Devil battles? The Reckoning of Hell lV is coming…10…10…10

    V.King

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  32. chuck bennett

    Haha.. yes, I remember that.

    He has done a number on you a few times. I will not go into your pains.

    However I do remember one time when you did get him. You iswied him rather nicely. It took him alittle time to get back his strength I must admit.

    You need to get him 3 more times to break even. Then again, he killed pete, so you need to pull somthing off huge.

    keep it going.

    regards

    chuck

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  33. needle dick the bug fucker
    needle dick the bug fucker

    Fly do we avg down in TZA or hold the line. my cost TZA is 31.70

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  34. Mr. Partridge

    Dr. Fly,

    What a great day on the markets!

    The sky is clear and closing above 1150 will open door to a muli-year bull market in my book.

    Goos day to you.

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  35. JasonCA

    Everyone seems skeptical and negative these days. Practically every financial blog I read says the same things–economy is f*cked, stocks are set to fall, double-dip recession, cash is king, etc. etc. etc. Never have I seen so much negativity in the face of such a resilient market. Makes me think we will continue to climb the “Wall of Worry” and go higher…at least until some of the hugely negative bias gets washed out.

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    • Mr. Partridge

      I am not negative or sceptical, but again I am not looking for being right…
      I always look for one thing in stock market, one thing only – making $$.
      2008 came and went away, anomalies happen…

      It’s a bull market, you know.

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    • Mike

      I agree. Too many people are negative. The perfect contrarian indicator. Maybe any sell of happens in October, but by then how much higher will we be? and what if we have a 10% correction? Maybe by that time after this rally, we are at the levels we are today? That does not help the bears at all, it just gets them to breakeven, after shitting some bricks, if they were still holding their shorts. The market is now long biased since March 2009 whether we like or not. Unless we have another 2007/2008 financial crisis, if you go short the market, you better be precise, like a surgeon, or else you will be shaken out. The Government will do whatever it takes to prevent another financial crisis. Maybe we cannot avert another one, but the Government may have pushed it off 1-2 years into the future. By then, they would have destroyed the bears.

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      • drummerboy

        yea,and when china decides to bend us over for a bunch of sessions cause were buggin em about their currency. those cockbites have this country, and others in the palm of their hands.unless someone can convince me otherwise.

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  36. noodle

    I just initiated some short positions up here, at the start of lunch.
    if we lose confidence into the close today, monday will almost surely be red in my professional opinion.
    I might however jus end up closing this shit out before end of day, due to traders being tired and just bidding it up for close at highs.

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  37. Yabollox

    Dude is at the movies. Review in an hour or two.

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  38. C_Farley

    The Market Is Never Going Down……..Just Get Used To It!

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  39. Trading_Nymph

    POMO was today….next one is Tuesday but that is only on TIPs….

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  40. Bullish

    Anyone with the Balls to load up on more TZA today?

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    • Mr. Partridge

      Unfortunatelly… having balls doesn’t mean having brains…
      I am sure some will… there is a buyer for every seller.

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    • panamaorange

      I think youd be better off in TYP. Tech and Biotech is completely parabolic., whereas Smallcaps have alot of support at yesterday’s lows.

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    • Bullish

      Hey Fake Bullish… CHANGE YOUR NAME!!!!!!!!!!

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      • Bullish

        As angry as you make me using my name… I do actually agree with almost everything you’ve said!

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        • drummerboy

          i hate that shit.fucking name thieves. i got 2 mother fuckers trying to use my company name right now after i have had it for a long time.what i dont get,is,that these people never heard of laws. assholes

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    • Mike

      Unless you are a gambler. I think we can make a run for 700 on the Russell 2000 before any meaningful pullback, You are now contending with mutual fund managers trying to keep up with this impressive Sept. rally, the best since 1954. We melt up until quarter end, whether we like or not. Maybe like past quarter ends, we start selling off 3 weeks or so after the quarter end. Bears have another 3-4 weeks of pain.

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  41. C_Farley

    We Don’t Need No Stink’n Pullbacks! None!

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  42. WTF

    One fudge fund guy made appearance on CNBC, being fundamentally incorrect about QE, and EXPECTING real economy to improve (how will that happen in this macro environment?), and this was the cause for the rally?? You’re must be fucking kidding me!!

    Disclosure: am mad not because of losing in VXX (that’s all right, insurance should be loss-making by definition), but ’cause I can’t find a decent explanation of what the fuck is going on here.

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    • The Bull

      Shorts shitting the bed.

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      • WTF

        Nope. Just searching for knowledge here.
        PS. My threshold is -30% and I’m far away from that.

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    • Mr. Partridge

      This incident proves the folly of trying to find out “a good reason” why you should buy or sell a given stock. If you wait until you have the reason given you, you will have missed the opportunity of having acted at the proper time! The only reason an investor or speculator should ever want to have pointed out to him is the action of the market itself. Whenever the market does not act right or in the way it should — that is reason enough for you to change your opinion and change it immediately. Remember: there is always a reason for a stock acting the way it does. But also remember: the chances are that you will not become acquainted with that reason until some time in the future, when it is too late to act on it profitably.

      J.Livermore

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      • WTF

        Partridge, I am aware of this quote of Mr. Livermore. Totally agree, but shouldn’t we have figured out the reasons by now? This rally is, what, three weeks by now? And I only have VXX mixed with cash, so I didn’t intend to participate in bull’s run or bear’s feast anyway. I don’t need THE reason, but a RATIONAL explanation would be very much appreciated.

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        • Gordon Gekko

          End of Quarter, pal

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        • Mr. Partridge

          I have been where you are more times than I want to remember.
          That is why I say to you: stop looking for reasons, markets are not rational.
          Try to except it…. do not assume to know what is coming next simply because
          of some logical explanation you have.
          I have been in this business for very long time to know – anything can happen, but I will never try to argue with Mr. Market.
          There is only one rational thing you can do to be successful in trading – establish current trend and ride it, until it ends.

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    • Mike

      Everyone keeps forgetting in moments like this when things make no sense, that this market is manipulated. Period. So you better be on the right side of the trade, end of story. And the story is that the market now has a long bias. The Gov’t will make it so.

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  43. bubo

    Bought 2k of FAZ @13.05. God help….

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  44. Chris Cooper

    Shit its about time you put your wrong side of the trade biased aside. haha

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  45. The Truth

    Le Fly = Getting Smoked Hardcore. Told you to buy RIMM and get the FUCK out of TZA/VXX which is the equivalent of betting center field in a game of craps. Read and learn from the truth lest you get dealt…

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  46. noodle

    dear buyers : go fuck a cat.
    that is all,
    good day.

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  47. Bullish

    If he can be Bullish so can i

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    • Bullish

      Sorry you can NOT be “Bullish”, now do yourself a favor and change your name.

      You are confusing all my many fans here on iBC (hold the applause).

      If the Fly wasn’t at the movie theater right now you’d already been banned for breaking rule 156489 which states – Under no circumstances shall a fellow iBCer use another’s moniker”

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    • Teahouse On The Tracks
      Teahouse On The Tracks

      just add an S … Bullissh

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    • C_Farley

      Just make sure to clean up after yourselves, because with both of you roaming around something sure stinks…

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  48. bubo

    Market is up on news that Japan releases Chinese boat captain….:)

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    • mykemix

      market up on lindsey lohan jail sentence.

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      • go2mars

        Hahhaahaha. My turn. Market is up because of WS2. And because I had a pint at lunch. And because Texas wants Islam in a more realistic light in text books.

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  49. Catch.22

    So basically the market has been ripping higher because the Fed has said they will step in if things falter? Well it has to falter before they will step in.. if it keeps ripping higher won’t the Fed not step in??

    I’m just a noob trying to find some cents(sic) in a senseless market.

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    • needle dick the bug fucker
      needle dick the bug fucker

      How many months does it take for FED money to hit main street. 3 months min.

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      • drummerboy

        hey needle,as long as it took them to tell us,”sorry laughing”,that the recession ended in april of 09.

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      • go2mars

        Not true. The can funnel money through big banks into the stock market with expedience.

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  50. Gordon Gekko

    You’re lucky to find a 10 yr corporate bond for over 3.5%, CDs…forget about it pal…If you live on income from your savings,where you gonna go?…Risk has systematically been removed from the banks (0% borrowing) over to Claude and Edith.

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  51. TraderCaddy

    Don’t look now but AAPL is hitting LOD

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  52. Bullish

    Just in case anyone likes to review history, let’s go back just one month ago when all the bearshitters were running for the hills (for your reading pleasure) – Now you know why I am the only “Bullish”

    Bullish says:
    August 31, 2010 at 9:59 pm
    Futures look interesting…

    All the double dippers please report to your bunker. You can reemerge later this month when called upon.

    Cue the bullish cast for CNBC’s guest lineup.

    Bravo! On the movie.

    Reply
    Demi says:
    August 31, 2010 at 10:09 pm
    the earlier the move in futures, the less reliable ( the more time it has to fade )

    you should know by now .

    Reply
    Bullish says:
    August 31, 2010 at 10:12 pm
    They will coin it “The September Surge”

    Just when you think you’ve figured it out… Bamm something new

    Reply
    Mr. President says:
    September 1, 2010 at 8:51 am
    Oh yeah, Dow futures up 100, I can see how that makes sense.

    In fact, I was being facetious. I cannot see how that makes sense.

    (Wordplay)

    Reply
    Bullish says:
    September 1, 2010 at 10:09 am
    Dow up 225 now. The SEPTEMBER SURGE is on!

    Only 1,250 points to drop till you’re 9k call is correct

    Reply
    Mr. President says:
    September 1, 2010 at 10:29 am
    It will happen.

    Reply
    Mr. President says:
    September 1, 2010 at 10:35 am
    Be bullish if you have a legit reason to be bullish, but a “rally for no reason” does not justify a bullish view.

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  53. Bullish

    Why is my latest post “awaiting moderation”?

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    • Jakegint

      Probably had some trigger word in there that Jeremy has an auto-ban on. No big, just send him an email and he’ll clear it.

      _____

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      • Blitzed

        I have been reading the bloggers on this for over a year now. After countless f-bombs, s-bombs, and bombs I never knew existed until I got here, I can’t help but wonder what word would have a trigger on it.

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  54. Gordon Gekko

    Looks like Fly snook over to “The Town” feature after WS2.

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  55. YaBollox

    There’s no tellin’ the why of this melt up. Financial journalists always give a bullshit reason for market moves. In truth, nobody knows why. There are thousands of influences that blend in some unknown formula. It’s like trying to understand God. Everybody has their own understanding and there’s no ‘splainin’ it.

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    • Name

      Why?

      The “Market Makers” or “Market Manipulators” want stocks to go higher, when they want stocks lower, stocks will fall and decline!

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  56. Bearish

    Just picked up TZA for 26.85. Here’s hoping!

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  57. Dr Funk

    POMO

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  58. JT Marlin

    Did CNBC just recco a penny stock?? WTH???

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  59. Jakegint

    TZA getting treated like Shia LaBeouf on his first day in SuperMax prison.

    _________

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  60. panamaorange

    Exited Qid flat. staying 25% allocated in DXD from today.
    i want to short VERY heavily here. But, the best policy in this market is, never allocate more than 1/3rd to swings. You need to daytrade heavily. Too much overnight surprise potential.

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  61. Indie

    the dollar going down for a bit (ie QE2 in action) is not bad news. Its great for makers and exporters. shit for consumers. but who’s rooting for walmart? so you’re chinese made t-shirt gonna cost more? so that plasma teve is too expensive for you now? joke aside, tomatoes won’t be priced at $100 next year. there’s no $500 sammich coming your way.

    USD in the shitter won’t stay there for long anyhow. as soon as things are back on tracks it will re-value itself. because money (trade deficit) will have its flow. it NEEDS to reverse its flow. items out, money in.

    waiting for the chinese to collaborate is futile. expecting the unions to collaborate is futile.

    USA is nothing like japan. no need to mention Zimbabwe.

    that’s all i had to say.

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    • go2mars

      You are right. It is nothing like those countries. In much of America there is a sense of entitlement. I want lots of money for very little effort. Why do you think illegal Mexicans do all the farm jobs? And now you think typical Americans will work in T-shirt factories without affecting prices? American labour costs are clearly far above the developing world.

      Don’t get me wrong, I think re-industrializing America via currency wars isn’t a terrible idea. It will just be a painful one. One which I hope involves a lot of new technologies and approaches.

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