Simply Too Dramatic

The Drama Queens are out and about this morning, worrying about everything. TLT is simply through the roof, defying all of your silly notions of inflation. And, the currency situation is a small mess again, with yen and dollar strength/euro weakness. With oil down and TGT sucking dick, it is possible to see some weakness permeate today’s tape; but is it probable. What’s important for you to consider, at this very moment in time: is someone trying to steal from you?

Why, I think if you’d investigate, you might conclude: indeed they are!

We are sort of programmed to ignore anything that happens in the summer and discard it as “typical August bullshit”; are we not? But the things that are transpiring are very real, which leads me to my next point. What the fuck is gold doing at these lofty levels? And, secondly, why is the market pricing in both inflation and deflation? Talk about basket case.

Taking all of this into account, I’ve concluded one thing: the market is simply too dramatic. It’s plain ol’ vanilla gay and you really should not think about it too much, else you might die from an aneurysm rupture on your aorta. For now, put the macro stuff on the back burner and focus on price action. That’s the only thing that is real: the price something is selling for right now.

With my money, I will hold onto recent longs, as my belief system values the notion of a trade-able bounce, despite this mornings weakness—precipitated by a TLT spike. Nonetheless, I still have my insurance policy, via VXX, out there, in the event this market starts to get gay again.

In short, watch out for an upside reversal.