iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,455 Blog Posts

Blame It On the Burlap

The market should have closed near the lows of the day (LOD); but due to men with burlap masks, stocks rebounded and melted higher into the bell. This is exactly the sort of tape that keeps me light and heavy in [[TLT]] aka “The Safety Trade.”

I expect to be back in the market, offering “death-blows” to the skulls of short sellers, by March. All of the “stuff” that keeps me sidelined are hypothetical and, thus far,  have not materialized. However, as always, I will keep my eyes peeled for such events and try to avoid the pitfalls of letting my cautiousness morph into some sort of weird bearshitter disease, whereby my brain distorts everything into a negative light.

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41 comments

  1. mrkcbill

    Dressed in a white burlap robe….with velcro sandals

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    • omfgitsjd

      If I weren’t methodically buying into the decline for quality bargains to be re-evaluated 10 years from now, I’d be sidelined for sure.

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    • mrsbuttons

      the transpos said it all today..this market is headed higher..flys’ JAH good one… GPRE doing a secondary…WYNN nice

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  2. arch

    take comfort in knowing that for the past 3 days and nights ,yes 24 -3 me and mine made sure that you will be able to eat..and a major food supplier wont be shut down…you were on the cusp of starvation…i wont bore you with the details…so eat well

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    • The Fly

      thanks

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      • arch

        your welcome

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        • Teahouse On The Tracks
          Teahouse On The Tracks

          Must have been a rib-eye producer …. though Fly throws around quite a bit of pizza too.

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          • JakeGint

            “Arch” is short for “Archer Daniels Midland” no doubt.

            A major food producer shut down? By whom? The gummint?

            _______

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          • arch

            you need to do your due diligence when reading things….or put your glasses on…also my name isnt call letters for a stock its my name….arch4random….but you can call me sir

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          • JakeGint

            Arch… this may be new news but… people on this website are known to throw out an occassional “jape” amidst all the deadly seriousness in our comment sections.

            ________

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  3. Largebill

    All in all a nice (even if stressful) day. Only mistakes were selling BRCD too early and failing to pull the trigger to buy WWE hoping for a lower entry point. Oh well. More fun tomorrow!

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  4. Sikander

    I think the folks in burlap are exactly what caused us to melt-up into the close. Too many nervous bears means short covering rallies on the least bit of strength. The bears are fully committed, no new money to short with. Until we get some real news to force real selling the direction is up.

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  5. Treepart

    covered my shorts around 1:00 today. Just don’t trust this market one bit. Bought some SIRI on the pattern of a nice series of flags. I like the setup.

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  6. The_Real_Hmmm

    Dude, like I was cooking duck ragu the other night and I went to speed chop thyme and I looked over and totally saw a rising wedge over in the ragu. I thought, “FUCK,” these are overcooked conditions. Then I saw on the television that the MACDonalds commercial was getting quieter, LIKE LOWER VOLUME!!!! After watching the pasta move .618 inches down and then retrace .382 inches BACK UP (!) the Le Creuset pot, I knew the food was absolutely without a question done, scientifically. It was so obvious. THAT’S how a chef cooks like a professional.

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  7. scum bucket bitchez
    scum bucket bitchez

    go long burlap

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  8. Freddy Fishsticks

    Fuck that doorknob!

    How often are you correct? 65%? And you pay 40% tax on those “rights”?

    Why not go long, take an ambien, wake up in 3 years, be 95% right, and pay 15% CG tax?

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    • Woodshedder

      Because Obamao will have raised Cap Gains to 50%.

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      • JakeGint

        Don’t forget the “per trade” tax. Might make 50% seem like a bargain.

        ___________

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        • tacts say shin

          they’re going to tax our marijuana leafs… oh… you thought the boston tea party was actually about “tea leafs”… Home of the “Free” used to have more than one meaning.

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    • cryp

      and that sure 95% thing may no longer be so sure, besides that and the comments above, I agree with you 65%

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  9. Doc

    Wow, just on CNBC – “Fluor, the kings of pumps in fluid motion (???) just guided down”.

    CNBC only does business news and they can’t even do that right.

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  10. xoxo

    It is never as straightforward as it seems. This will not be the correction you are looking for. It is chop city but you will regret for staying on the sideline. We are going higher!

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  11. SteveTheNeighbor

    Hello neighbor Fly. I just had my census orientation today and I was assigned to our neighborhood. So if you do not return your census form I have to pay you a little visit with my club wielding co-workers from Acorn. Don’t worry though, I will send them to the other neighbor’s house (the evil one).
    I get extra pay for counting illegals like the ones living in your tool shed.
    They gave me a cool looking ID to wear and it has the same logo you have on your Hope and Change bumper sticker on your yellow PT Cruiser. Here is what all of the census IDs will look like.

    http://westernfrontamerica.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/obama-commie-symbol.jpg

    Are we still on for checkers tomorrow?

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  12. Bobby Boucher

    I agree it becomes a long only market again this year. My only quibble with your dribble is the timing. You say March, I say August.

    In the meantime, I looked at TLT per your suggestion. I know you do not believe in such things, but I likey the positive momentum divergence; double bottom in price first at 89ish late Dec/early Jan and then again in mid-Feb while momentum (MACD) made a much higher low on the second part of the price double bottom as compared to the first. Might have to start a position on a move towards $93.

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TLT&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p53910995609

    fid

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  13. Dr Fly

    tlt has never been down in august— fun fact

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    • Whatever

      Speaking of 2.0

      Do you think a salesperson would sell:

      1) more houses with internet tours or internet tours + real tours?
      2) more cars with a brochure only or brochure + test drives?
      3) more 2.0 with Grande Announcement or Grande Announcement + a test drive?

      Will some arm dangling gaukers show up? Of course.
      Will people be able to utilize all its capabilities? Of course, not. Hardly anyone uses the full capabilities of any device they own.
      Will people get a better feel for it’s capabilities with a test drive? yes
      Will said test drive damage the snob appeal and piss off some of the cognoscente? efum
      What’s the downside? Upside? a business decision

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    • JakeGint

      How big is your sample size?

      ________

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  14. The_Real_Hmmm

    The Japanese are already preparing their citizens for a Goldman Sachs sovereign raid:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HRerwXWTRjM

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  15. StocksRider

    This market is shake n bake baby! It will shake the pussy retail traders and then it will bake all the so called hard core ones. Who wants to bet we will melt up and melt down all in a span of one week with a continued melt down after that for some time? Shake n bake time baby….shake n bake time!

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    • StocksRider

      The above post did not add anything meaningful except that I lovvvvve to say Shake n Bake Baby!!!!

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      • Bawney Fwank

        Thwank you. I fwound youwr self-depwacation amwusing.

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      • JakeGint

        What kind of retail traders?

        Vajazzled!

        __________

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        • mustard seeds

          Another growth, (or growth limiting) business with huge potential. Another part of the stimulus package!

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          • KaiserTheDog

            Speaking of growth you know I am growing every day and I need to eat.
            So where is my dinner? And please make my T-Bone medium rare this time or I won’t fetch your paper in the morning or give you any more stock tips.
            Arf Arf!!!

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          • mustard seeds

            Kaiser,
            Yes I know you are getting sooo big. but times are tough so it may be some left over Outback or some such bring home doggie bag, But Kaiser, you know when you go see Steve the Neighbor’s dog, I heard he got one of the good go’ment jobs with the Census.

            You know there will be some steak and good mexican food there to keep him hushed up on the folks living in Fly’s shed, paying low rent. And you might even catch Steve eating sammiches on one of his breaks at the house!

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  16. JakeGint

    More going on than what we see on the surface in Vancouver… crafty Canucks….

    … they killed Chekov’s kid!!

    (note: Shatner is Canuckistanian– Quebecois! — and Scotty was from… wait for it…. Vancouver!! The plot thickens)

    ___________

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  17. Buzzkill

    Holy smokes does he ever look like him!

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