iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,447 Blog Posts

Coffee Cannot Be Defeated

For the record, I think gold has bottomed, for now. And, I believe, emphatically, my chances of making “fuck you Santa Claus, I have my own sled” type of money in Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. [[GMCR]] has increased exponentially, based upon retail channel checks that indicate “robustness.”

All in all, I am quite content with my current roster of holdings. Next week will be tax loss selling time, even for me. There is no reason to end the year with gains, without offsetting some by liquidating losers. ‘Tis the time to clean slate and prepare for the new year.

Before year end, all iBC bloggers will issue their 2010 predictions, posted on a jointly made pdf document.

On a closing note, housing starts are going to begin ramping soon. It might be a good idea to get long some homies, especially after the tax loss selling is complete. With my money, I’ve been buying shares of Lennar Corporation [[LEN]] with the hopes that you burlap blazer wearing motherfuckers keep selling it short. As you know, burlap makes for great tinder.

Be well.

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50 comments

  1. The V.King

    1st

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  2. The Fly

    PPT members know what I bought into the bell. Indeud.

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    • Mr. Cain Thaler

      Darn, I really need to remember to log on more often. My loss, I suppose.

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  3. JakeGint

    Awesome “Christmas Frank” Selection, somewhat marred by the “Thomas Kinkade Painter of Light” video montage, makeing “the Yuletide gay,” as it were.

    ______________

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    • The Fly

      True. Kinkade is such a tool.

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      • mrsbuttons

        but a very wealthy tool at that – he knows how to sell the myth-L-toe…thanks for frank…

        fast money did the homebuilders tonight but narry a LENS nod.

        You must be onto something.

        Stay outta the crowds unless buying all things caffeine

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  4. TA

    Great week for the bulls
    SPY put buyers not so much

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    • JakeGint

      It’s called “hedging,” pencil maker.

      Perhaps someday when you too have copious wins, I’ll send you an instructional video.

      ___________

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      • TA

        Like so many here, I’ve had great wins this year sans the large ego

        Thanks anyways!

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        • JakeGint

          Right. Your unending quest to become the gum on my shoe has nothing to do with your ego.

          A humble public servant, annoying jake and making sure the saws run on time, that’s you.

          (eye roll).

          __________________

          What’s more, I challenge you to point out one post where I’ve been bragging about my wins this year.

          I tend to let my record speak for itself. And your ass-kissing to Mssr. Le Fly aside, I think you may have a skewed judgment as to who exactly does the cock of the walk act around here.

          ___________

          _______

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          • TA

            Come on Jake

            You’ve been big on how you know things are going down, even challenging the Fly in not so subtle ways.

            Have you even been wrong? I sure the fuck have

            As for the Fly, he’s mastered attitude without being beligerant. He’s been wrong many times while being right on so many more.

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          • Jakegint

            Your ass kissing is duly noted. As for my saying “I know” anything, you’ve just proved you’re just another lying Canuck with a hard on.

            Quote me saying “I know” anything, or continue sawing wooden nickles, ankle biter.

            __

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          • TA

            Both of us thought GMCR would see 55 but instead it went to 69 smashing any levels the charts laid out.

            I find that fucking awesome because the Fly stuck to his guns and won while it appeared he was losing. Being a student of the tape as opposed to charts, I find that more than a little impressive. Call it ass kissing if that’s what works for you.

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          • Dr Fly

            Oh please Jake. Save the Holy talk for Sunday. You brag just as much as anyone, only using olde english and fucking riddles to dispatch them accordingly.

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          • Jakegint

            So you’re siding with the troll? Thanks, I’ll remember that next time you’re being harrassed by a two-bit mosquito.

            Listen, let’s be clear–I know (even if lumber-bytes does not) that the bragging thing is a schtick, and it’s well received and enjoyable. There’s absolutely no reason to slake the delusion of a troll in defense of it.

            I may use olde English or “riddles” (whatever that means) but they are in pursuit of a thesis, not for declaring the provenance of King Cock.

            __

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          • Goin'Fawr

            First the ‘Single Gilded Cup of Coffee” conflagration, now this!

            “MeeeeeOwww! Phht Phht!”

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          • The Fly

            I am not defending anyone but myself. You seem to be tossing a lot of grenades my way, so I toss them back.

            Btw: you were very adamant about “dealing” with criticism.

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          • JakeGint

            I am tossing zero grenades.

            I still do not belive in banning even the most noisome trolls, but that doesn’t mean I’m for providing them cover, either.

            _____________

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  5. Mr. President

    Fly, would you consider it wise to own copious amounts of BWLD, given the retail joy, into Santa Claus week?

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  6. masterpain

    TAX losses……..FTK mass exodus !!!!! can a stock go negative ? – 2.00

    Ho Ho Ho Merry X mas

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    • The Fly

      arghhh

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      • Mr. President

        Soon we’ll be calling FTK “Curtis Jackson”…

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      • masterpain

        Call me I can get rid of a big block in the FTK DARK POOL……number below

        1 800 iamfctk

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      • TA

        Everyone loves to pick on the FTK thing

        I don’t get it – you weren’t even an arrogant prick about like others here

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        • JakeGint

          Lol. Right. The Fly is all about abject humility and deference.

          You’ve captured his “schtick” wholly.

          (eye roll)

          _____

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        • Mr. President

          I banked 19% on ftk this year

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        • Purdy

          Gentlemen. GENTLEMEN! I hate to see the three of you exchanging barbs during this festive season. Allow me to use my good offices to resolve this dispute.

          …OK, after careful analysis, I have concluded that Jake is, in fact, a pompous and preening boaster. But TA, “arrogant” is not a term I would use to describe his investing; as it seems that he has been rather judicious in the use of hedges from time to time. He is, however, arrogant in the extreme when it comes to much more important matters: like war and peace, and the life and death of other people and peoples.

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      • omfgitsjd

        Quit FTKing around. Right now I’m fuming that many billions of our American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 Tax Money is being given to foreigners. It’s no wonder the rats abandoned ship last year. They just leave the country and catch America’s wealth falling from the sky. Our politicians have some extremely serious ethics problems.

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  7. dave

    “Santa Claus is a Fat Bitch” – A different take on “I’m getting nothing for Christmas”

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OhWFYQzpijQ

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  8. MArty McFly

    Could someone add “FTK’d” to the IBC dictionary?

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  9. TheArtist

    How many shares of FTK do you still hold? I’ve been out of the loop, don’t have time to back track and read all the blogs I’ve missed, just curious if you have sold any, and/or if you still have them? I only know of around 211,000 shares you “collected” over the summer…..

    and speaking of “collecting” ….a Raphael drawing on paper no less, just sold for 49 million USD….at Christie’s (estimated to go for 26 million…..blew past that in no time, to nearly double) you know we are in bad times when a pencil drawing on paper only brings $49,000,000.00 these recessions suck….

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    • JakeGint

      Probably bot by the Chinese gov’t. ….

      “We doan’ know what else to doo wit dese fugging dorrars!”

      _____________

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    • mrsbuttons

      isn’t that the one that none other than Mr. Wynn recently purchased? And not his first Rembrandt I believe – I wonder how many shares of WYNN that would come to…

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  10. JakeGint

    This is piss your pants funny, ovah heah.

    Watch for “Snookie” with the best bon mots.

    _____________

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  11. Hawaii Five0

    As an upcoming member to the PPT, I just wanted to add my two cents, namely that my trend following software would have gotten me into GMCR on 3/16 at about $28 bucks and except for several short times out, keep me here for most of the run. That being said, I also noticed that many potential trends of other stocks or ETFS would have resulted in gains of much less and sometimes in small losses over the same period of time.

    Hence my hope is that the PPT will help me differentiate between great trends and so so trends.

    I guess we will see!!

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  12. Teahouse On The Tracks
    Teahouse On The Tracks

    Fly,

    You added PKX in anticipation of an Asian steel shortage if/when China stops exporting steel … right?

    You bought MTL for additional steel exposure or purely for their huge coking coal resources?

    And SHLD is a play on retail (KMart Xmas) or in anticipation of appliance vouchers being handed out by Obama?

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    • The Fly

      Pkx us my Korean exposure. Plus I like steel, for a number of reasons. Hence, I own mtl too. Finally, shld is a play on consumer goods, check hah and whr, coupled with massive share buybacks.

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      • Teahouse On The Tracks
        Teahouse On The Tracks

        Indeud …. I like the WHR play, which ties into your housing with LEN & MAS

        I’ve been looking into the coking coal angle and found that JFE Holdings (Japan) covers both the steel and coal (via recent Australian partnership) markets though it doesn’t trade on our markets. CLF and ANR fill the bill but both are already fairly valued.

        Chicken cyclical for the housing play … an old Buffet holding, USG.

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  13. zugzwang

    It’s and I think The Fly is awake with all that coffee he is driniking. and the rise in GMCR I think think is cause he sending all his PPT members a coffee machine for x-mas

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  14. TMoe

    I’ll take the other side on the Hommies once again. I have been short TOL since its bullshit move that one day in November when it hit 21, and I will remain short until it hits 16.
    LEN may be a different story, but I doubt it

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  15. arch

    opened a posistion in “C ” on friday @ 3.35

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  16. Heaterman

    Fly!! You can’t be serious about the homies?!?!?!?!? Residential mortgage defaults were up over 1% in the last quarter …..that’s a lot of excess inventory coming on the market….No?

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