iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,471 Blog Posts

Ride the Dead Dollar to Prosperity

Before I go into a long-winded rant about how great a “dead dollar” is for stocks and the economy, I would like to acknowledge today’s “fuck you, you’re dead” reversal. There is no way to spin it but badly. Following this mornings spike, the sellers have been out in force, crucifying the long only crowd to their dogma. My guess, the market corrects further tomorrow, producing a mini-panic amongst the true non-believers.

Anyway, if you look at the chart above, you will see your dollars at work. In short, a weak dollar enables U.S. companies to crush their foreign counterparts and enjoy big dicked profits overseas, particularly those companies with big overseas business, like KO and MCD.

In my opinion, as long as the dollar is weak, commodity stocks must be bought, especially on dips. And, if you are a believer in mustard seeds, well then, get long the big multi-nationals, for they will profit most from this situation.

During today’s trade, I took profits on a number of small-crappers. At the present, my cash position is north of 30% and my gains are well above 45%, year to date.

The only small cap stocks worth my long term interest are FTK, ENTR and RFMD. All the other names are simply river boats gambles.

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46 comments

  1. gappingandyapping
    gappingandyapping

    Or a weak dollar could lead to a rise in oil and gasoline there by smoking the consumer at the pump and sending their spending habits back into hibernation. Its a tough play either way. The FED has to get control of the 10yr or mortgage rates are going to kill people once again. There are just too many fuck you your dead things that could happen to be heavily leveraged either direction. Its troubling indeed.

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  2. Cash-N-Guns

    Note to all- who after 9 weeks of a rally decided THIS fucking week to get long…Hahahahahahahah- go outside now and light your hair on fire..your fucking retarded..you know who you are..(big mike to name one jackass)..melt-up…panic covering babbling short bus riding morons…I spit on your ignorance…off to enjoy a fine vintage from Chile while grilling duck with a saffron rice side..while you drive thru Popeye’s..ha..!

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  3. SmallFry

    Giving up on LVLT? I thought it was a long-term play?

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  4. Cash-N-Douche

    Duck with a saffron rice side is truly man’s gayest dish.

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  5. cheesefries

    GE foreclosing on five Legends Group golf courses in
    Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.
    http://thesunnews.typepad.com/greenreading/2009/05/ge-foreclosing-on-five-legends-group-courses.html

    Heritage Club,Heathland,Moorland,Parkland, and Oyster Bay.

    sad days…

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  6. mario batali

    oh, it’s funny because it’s true.

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  7. Cash-N-Guns

    Douche…as usual little bitches like you are meaningless..and it is being served by a young Filipina hottie..so please go mow your lawn in the rain loser.

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  8. Taco

    Duck with a saffron rice side is amazing.

    Only homos even think about gay sexuality, because it’s karma that has not been worked out yet. So go get throttled up your cornhole and get it over with already.

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  9. Whats your outlook for FTK Fly?

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  10. the Zipper

    Duck would be French, saffron is Spanish, and Chilean wine, how continental. Perhaps a swig of nut juice to wash it down. Ha…

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  11. E8

    OEW Daily Comment:

    “Support for the SPX remains at 848 and then 789, with resistance at 912 and then 935. Short term momentum started the day at neutral, bounced to overbought, and then was starting to get oversold at the close. Tomorrow, the weekly Jobless claims at 8:30, then Leading indicators and Philly FED at 10:00.

    Today was quite a volatile day. Was expecting the market to continue its recent pullback, and then rally. But Geithner’s comments created the reverse effect. Nevertheless, this recent rally continues to make higher highs, and expect that to continue.”

    Buy the dips for awhile longer …. added IR on the selloff.

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  12. Borat

    Kazakhstan greatest country in the world,
    All other countries are run by little girls.
    Kazakhstan number one exporter of potassium,
    all other countries have inferior potassium

    Get long Potassium, Not! Yakshimash!

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  13. 3B

    Teal, the most toothsome duck. Anything else tastes like goose liver pate imo. Saffron rice? WTF??

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  14. Richy

    Saffron isnt Spanish. South East Asia actually, cash’s lady would call it “kasuba” i think.

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  15. Cash-N-Guns

    Richy-my little Filipina is just used to white rice..but you are correct on the origin of Saffron-Never expected such a strong response of my menu choice..if you were close I would invite you over..enjoy your evening(i will), great trading, be well, and always think for yourself..unlike alot of the halftards here lately.

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  16. AU CONTRAIR

    Fly…something fishy is going on in (OCSI)with big volume. Wasn’t this one of your plays a while back? Can you shed some light on it?

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  17. bhh

    oh shit, Fly posted a chart. The end of the world must be near.

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  18. Richy

    Cash its 4.42 in the morning here in Thailand, maybe the others have never appreciated the culinary skills of Asian girls?
    I wouldn’t be without mine, even though i can hear her snoring in the next room 🙂

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  19. AU CONTRAIR

    sorry the symbol is (OSCI)

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  20. The Chart Addict

    WOW!…a chart. That’s a first.

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  21. Braveflaps

    Here’s something from port of Vancouver stats: shipment of all commodities is down 21% y-o-y (March), and metallurgical coal is down 43%.

    But non-met. and “other” coal is UP 195%…

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  22. Cash-N-Guns

    Richy–Thailand very nice..your up early..! I submit of all the women I have dated..I wouldnt ever date anything but an asian woman-we are engaged..they are great(mostly) American skanks are the worst..wouldnt let my dog piss on their fat ass. Chicken Adobo..!

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  23. TechnicianCDN

    Looking at the chart the trend is not broken. S&P hasn’t crossed below the important level of 875. The market still has legs and to me we need to test 950 before any major overbought scenario could be considered.
    Sorry Mr.Fly you might be again run over by the Bulls, just like last Monday

    TC

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  24. omfgitsjd

    I’m still accumulating, accumulating, and more accumulating a wide range of sectors.
    Let it go down, let it go up. It just doesn’t matter. If it goes down for a few months and I accumulated the whole time, I’ll win eventually. If it goes up I still win.

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  25. kush

    I 100% agree a falling dollar should mean higher stocks, but wouldn’t you agree the it looks like we are forming the right shoulder of a giant 2-3 month head and shoulders pattern on the dow. Do not forget the market takes the elevator down and the stairs up. I see us trading sideways for a little bit before the inevitable “real pullbacks” fly has spoken of until late.

    What are everyone’s opinions of Whitney Tilson.

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  26. Richy

    Cash, not up early, up late, market hours here are 20.30 – 03.00 Love it, get to sleep till noon everyday! Yes Asian babes are the best, never any trouble or lip from them.

    Shorted MOS st 57.75$ earlier, I reckon it topped out today, looking to cover at 200 dma at 49$ maybe 20 dma at 46$.

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  27. wb

    What a friggin’ day. By dumb luck, I finished up by a Happy Meal or two: $6.65.

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  28. Tydler Durden

    Cash-n-guns is served by a filipina tranny with bright red lipstick

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  29. gappingandyapping
    gappingandyapping

    OmfgitsJd. The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay liquid.

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  30. dave

    Is the government via GS buying up these stock sales by all the banks and other truly fucked up companies? These motherfuckers won’t see decent earnings for years.

    I heard the word ‘euphoria’ bandied about on CNBC today.
    Even those chuckleheads are perplexed at how far this has gone.

    If you think you’re stumped by the lst couple of months, think about bear market rallies during the great depression.

    19% of graduating college students have secured employment.
    How the fuck is Sally Mae going to stay solvent? Add to that all the recently unemployed who are gullible enough to become indebted even further going to the likes of DeVry, ITT, Phoenix etc… only to graduate with worthless associates degrees.

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  31. Random Punk

    Well Dave?…

    I guess we will FINALLY have people at Popeyes that read and write English

    Buy a farm, enjoy the Country
    grow something worth eating
    its going to get ugly in the City soon

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  32. Cuervos Laugh

    @the Zipper:

    Go get a real education. Chile isn’t on the same continent as France and Spain.

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  33. JakeGint

    And now, for something completely different, An Ode to the Playahs of iBC:

    What is this Lamentation?

    _____________

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  34. Keyser Soze

    This guy begs to differ with the FLY that all the new offerings are bearish for stocks. Also says the rally is bascially pension funds reweighting equities in portfolios and when they run out of money, “no floor”.

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1129252657&play=1

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  35. carson

    I beg your pardon..I never promised you a rose garden.

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  36. Cash-N-Guns

    Why oh why am I such an angry little douchebag? Is it because I caught my American ex-wife blowing my neighbor when she thought I was out back cooking up another batch of meth for my gay scat orgy?

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  37. 308

    Interesting Citigroup note excerpt on INTU tonight:

    “Stock Seasonality — Despite popular perception that INTU stock is driven by tax season, stock has lost on avg. (2003-08) 10% during Jan.-Apr, while gaining 15% during May-Sep., i.e., from end of tax season to analyst day. ”

    [they also Reit Buy, say a bunch of nice things, and raise target to $29 (from $27) ]

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  38. wacko's

    Today 10:12pm EST/5/21/2009 02:12am GMT
    (US) FBI has arrested 4 individuals who were plotting to bomb a synagogue in NYC – Press – The people were also seeking to shoot down military jets with Stinger missiles

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  39. Snapini

    Going long MOS if it’s still not too late.

    Will be wearing my new Three Wolf Moon T-shirt everyday until it pulls back more than 7%.

    Thoughts?

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  40. omfgitsjd

    gapping,

    I fully expect to continue buying into most sectors as we work our way through this. I think there have been a lot of people shaken and stirred who are still spooked by the market. That may not change for awhile, but when it does, I’ll already be there.

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  41. TheArtist

    well now, glad to see all americans can carry guns back into state parks…….. those bears and especially big foot better watch out now….. o, and those space alien magicians better watch out too, they no longer can land their space craft in forests full of campers, you know the ones, the ones that report seeing the aliens but never have time to take pictures of them?

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  42. Confucious

    Confucius say man who buy three wolf tshirt to catch girls catch crap instead.

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  43. Gary Owen

    Carson,

    No Tammy Wynette allowed! Ha, excellent quote sir.

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  44. cebu sun

    Cash n Guns N Richy
    The benefits of a Pinoy or Asian GF: 4 inch high heels with lots of lovin, and close to zero bullshit. I wish I would have found out sooner.

    As this market inevitably must tank, will that impact Jake’s Precious Metals Jacksonian Core Holdings? I would think Not. Need some input pls.

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  45. n. roubini

    yuan baby, yuan

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