iBankCoin

Daily Archives: September 17, 2008

Courtesy of The PPT

As you know, the Godly folks from iBankcoin are launching their first ever premium service on the 79th anniversary of the great crash of ’29 (10/28). Don’t worry assholes; the site will not change one bit. I am into throwing parties, then throwing people out after they had a few drinks, as an aside.

At any rate, considering how “in flux” the financials are, I thought it would be nice to run a screen of highest debt to equity ratios—in order to get an idea who could get blown out next, as capital dries up. Also, I ran debt to equity screens on the entire market. And, finally, I screened for gold/mining stocks with the highest percentage of shares sold short. In light of today’s breakout in gold, I though it would be helpful.

For you retards who are new to investing: companies with high debt to equity ratios, in a tight credit environment, are more likely to go bankrupt than companies who actually have good balance sheets. Shocker. And, stocks with a high percentage of shares sold short tend to rally hard, into a squeeze.

Financials/ Debt:Equity

Freddie Mac (FRE: 0.27 +4.01%) 64.55
Newcastle Investment Corp. (NCT: 4.36 -12.63%) 55.33
Nelnet, Inc. (NNI: 12.86 -15.84%) 47.14
Maguire Properties, Inc. (MPG: 7.11 -12.22%) 26.74
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM: 10.54 -3.66%) 23.87
Equity Lifestyle Properties, Inc. (ELS: 48.22 -3.64%) 19.55
Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.43 -10.60%) 19.39
(STU: 98.80 -6.44%) 14.03
Bank of Ireland (ADR) (IRE: 22.06 -18.36%) 12.93
Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT: 20.51 -4.25%) 12.89
General Growth Properties, Inc (GGP: 20.37 -13.91%) 12.29
CIT Group Inc. (CIT: 7.15 -14.88%) 11.55
Penson Worldwide, Inc. (PNSN: 13.22 -7.49%) 10.32
Glimcher Realty Trust (GRT: 9.71 -6.81%) 9.54
Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. (MER: 19.36 -12.71%) 8.48
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR: 19.32 -15.23%) 7.74
AmeriCredit Corp. (ACF: 9.76 -5.79%) 7.54
Allied Irish Banks, plc. (ADR) (AIB: 16.40 -20.12%) 7.47
Flagstar Bancorp, Inc. (FBC: 3.87 -1.78%) 7.46
MBIA Inc. (MBI: 9.71 -16.00%) 7.33
(ESBF: 10.27 -0.68%) 7.28
Deutsche Bank AG (USA) (DB: 70.40 -7.53%) 7.09
CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. (CBL: 21.05 -4.41%) 6.93
Resource Capital Corp. (RSO: 4.84 -15.83%) 6.89
Morgan Stanley (MS: 21.75 -24.22%) 6.8
(ALX: 369.10 -4.76%) 6.1
American Express Company (AXP: 33.04 -8.40%) 6.08
(IFC: 4.17 -1.18%) 5.99
Hudson City Bancorp, Inc. (HCBK: 18.63 -3.12%) 5.83
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS: 114.50 -13.92%) 5.65

All Industries/ Debt:Equity

Energy Transfer Equity, L.P. (ETE: 21.00 -4.59%) 592.18
Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC: 5.84 -1.85%) 164.72
RSC Holdings Inc. (RRR: 9.05 -2.37%) 149.78
Embarq Corporation (EQ: 40.98 -4.43%) 67.08
Freddie Mac (FRE: 0.27 +4.01%) 64.55
Newcastle Investment Corp. (NCT: 4.36 -12.63%) 55.33
Nelnet, Inc. (NNI: 12.86 -15.84%) 47.14
(HTC: 20.25 -2.55%) 47.04
Alliance Imaging, Inc. (AIQ: 10.35 -6.50%) 40.81
Portugal Telecom, SGPS (ADR) (PT: 9.91 -3.03%) 35.23
(AHD: 25.48 -5.00%) 35.22
(HPGP: 20.18 +6.55%) 35
Qwest Communications International Inc. (Q: 3.35 -3.74%) 28.27
Maguire Properties, Inc. (MPG: 7.11 -12.22%) 26.74
Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP: 40.36 -9.30%) 24.72
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM: 10.54 -3.66%) 23.87
Town Sports International Holdings, Inc. (CLUB: 7.50 -14.38%) 22.36
Equity Lifestyle Properties, Inc. (ELS: 48.22 -3.64%) 19.55
(NRGP: 29.60 -0.57%) 19.53
Fannie Mae (FNM: 0.43 -10.60%) 19.39
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (ADR) (IHG: 12.50 -4.65%) 19.13
SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC: 26.88 -6.50%) 18.88
Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK: 21.80 -6.28%) 18.71
PDL BioPharma Inc. (PDLI: 9.82 -5.12%) 18.56
Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL: 6.20 -7.88%) 18.33
Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP: 55.01 -5.82%) 18.18
Herman Miller, Inc. (MLHR: 26.87 -2.75%) 16.35
Health Management Associates, Inc. (HMA: 4.38 -7.98%) 15.01
(HEP: 28.90 -10.25%) 14.96
Magellan Midstream Holdings, L.P. (MGG: 16.78 -6.26%) 14.42
(STU: 98.80 -6.44%) 14.03
NaviSite, Inc. (NAVI: 2.0175 -3.47%) 13.88
Cenveo, Inc. (CVO: 7.73 -7.09%) 13.16
Bank of Ireland (ADR) (IRE: 22.06 -18.36%) 12.93
Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT: 20.51 -4.25%) 12.89
(CEA: 16.57 -13.79%) 12.42
Deluxe Corporation (DLX: 13.55 -6.10%) 12.29
General Growth Properties, Inc (GGP: 20.37 -13.91%) 12.29
CIT Group Inc. (CIT: 7.15 -14.88%) 11.55
CBRL Group, Inc. (CBRL: 28.12 -2.77%) 11.07
Alaska Communications Systems Group, Inc (ALSK: 11.47 +0.35%) 10.69
Cellcom Israel Ltd. (CEL: 30.24 -2.77%) 10.39
Penson Worldwide, Inc. (PNSN: 13.22 -7.49%) 10.32
(GGC: 3.16 -12.22%) 10.09
Fairpoint Communications, Inc. (FRP: 7.92 -3.41%) 9.69
Glimcher Realty Trust (GRT: 9.71 -6.81%) 9.54
Overstock.com, Inc. (OSTK: 17.14 -7.20%) 9.5
RCN Corporation (RCNI: 11.38 -5.87%) 9.15
Cedar Fair, L.P. (FUN: 22.10 -3.07%) 8.62
(DTG: 4.10 -16.33%) 8.52

Mining Stocks/ % of shares sold short

Hecla Mining Company (HL: 4.98 +9.93%) 24.5
Insteel Industries, Inc. (IIIN: 14.42 -3.55%) 22.2
Apex Silver Mines Limited (SIL: 1.19 -0.83%) 20.1
Metalico, Inc. (MEA: 5.00 -14.09%) 17.5
China Precision Steel, Inc. (CPSL: 4.40 -7.37%) 16.5
Worthington Industries, Inc. (WOR: 15.73 -9.34%) 15.8
Olympic Steel, Inc. (ZEUS: 32.01 -5.32%) 15.3
(CDE: 1.63 +13.19%) 14
(GSI: 7.34 -1.74%) 13.9
Northwest Pipe Company (NWPX: 59.60 -1.91%) 13.8
Century Aluminum Company (CENX: 37.79 -2.80%) 13.7
Gibraltar Industries, Inc. (ROCK: 21.07 -2.18%) 12.6
Haynes International, Inc. (HAYN: 53.34 -2.79%) 12.5
Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc. (SCHN: 50.84 -8.25%) 11
AK Steel Holding Corporation (AKS: 26.94 -12.98%) 10.6
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD: 36.74 +10.00%) 10.2
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX: 65.41 -1.27%) 10.2
Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (KALU: 47.89 -5.41%) 9.3
Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX: 16.05 -6.41%) 9.2
Universal Stainless & Alloy Products (USAP: 30.86 -2.00%) 8.3
Olin Corporation (OLN: 19.94 -8.15%) 7.2
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (CLF: 64.75 -14.04%) 6.2
Sutor Technology Group Ltd. (SUTR: 4.28 -5.52%) 6.1
Allied Nevada Gold Corp. (ANV: 4.83 +11.29%) 5.7
Newmont Mining Corporation (NEM: 43.25 +9.36%) 3.5
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD: 20.25 -7.58%) 3.5
Commercial Metals Company (CMC: 19.74 -7.93%) 3.3
Golden Star Resources Ltd. (USA) (GSS: 1.64 +38.98%) 3.1

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The Great Experiment Called ‘American Capitalism’ is Dead

If you are wondering why the market is down so much, look no further than American International Group, Inc. [[AIG]] . American capitalism, best known for its entrepreneurial spirit and industrious work ethic is dead, thanks to assholes in florescent green jump suits, who underwrote cdo’s and other egregious investment vehicles. Hence, U.S. equities no longer deserve premium multiples. Instead, they are being priced for death, rightly so.

Karl Marx predicted this would happen to the most overzealous capitalists, where greed and lack of proper oversight can lead to anarchy and extreme socialism. In one year, wall street has morphed itself from high powered brokers, doing deals, into fucktarded asshats with a box full of their belongings—because they’re out of a job.

While it’s true, there will be signs of light and glimpses of hope, things will never be the same. The gilded era of decadence for asshole ibankers is over, while the age of “The Fly” has only just begun.

I understand the market looks extremely oversold here. After all, the vix is at historical levels. But, understand the gravity of the situation and come to grips with the fact that silly homos in florescent green jump suits are about to get stomped the fuck out, yet again.

Top pick: short Legg Mason, Inc. [[LM]]

NOTE: I was up 14.5% today.

UPDATE: Bank Stocks in the danger zone include:

Allied Irish Banks, plc. (ADR) [[AIB]] , Morgan Stanley [[MS]] , Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. [[GS]] , UBS AG (USA) [[UBS]] , Banco Macro SA (ADR) [[BMA]] , Nomura Holdings, Inc. (ADR) [[NMR]] , Sovereign Bancorp, Inc. [[SOV]] , Wachovia Corporation [[WB]] , Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC [[OZM]] , [[LM]], Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. [[IBKR]] , Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. [[AMG]] , AllianceBernstein Holding LP [[AB]] , American Express Company [[AXP]] , Pzena Investment Management, Inc. [[PZN]] , [[DSL]] and Washington Mutual, Inc. [[WM]] [youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqtAzRNhTTY 450 300]

UPDATE: Via former Fed Governor, Wayne Angel, who is also an idiot, “The Fed’s balance sheet is infinite.” Wonderful. In other words, these assholes are just printing money at will. Our leaders are complete imbeciles. Shocker to see gold up nearly $100, no?

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Memo to CNBC: Shut the Fuck Up

Do these people ever stop suckering the retail investor into stocks? I mean, all these assholes do is highlight the silver lining, which would be fine if it was a fucking baseball or soccer game. But, this is real life, assholes.

The fact of the matter is, things are NOT okay. It is irresponsible for these idiots to incessantly tout stocks, while the market does nothing but go lower.

I am sure, with the cast of morons featured on CNBC, they have cost the average or not so average investor billions of dollars in capital losses. If they would only set aside their fucking agendas and explain the risks and dangers of investing into the worst economy since the Great Depression, maybe people wouldn’t want to throw turkey sandwiches at them, while smoking aged Cuban cigars—banking egregious amounts of coin short what they recommend to buy.

NOTE: I made a mistake selling [[DIG]] and [[IEO]] this morning. However, with the proceeds, I did execute some good trades in Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. [[FCX]] , [[SKF]] and [[SRS]] .

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Fly Buy: FCX

I bought 3,000 Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. [[FCX]] @ $65.22.

Disclaimer: If you buy FCX because of this post, all of America’s broker dealers will go out of business. And, you may lose money.

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Buckle Up; We’re Gonna Crash

I have sirens and red flashing lights going on in my office today, like some sort of nuclear submarine battle station.

Listen up and good: credit default swaps are scaring the shit out of everyone. Whether it should happen or not, people really do think the market will crash. From General Electric Company [[GE]] to Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. [[GS]] to Morgan Stanley [[MS]] , the market is thinking about putting them out of business. Without question, this is the most interesting market I have ever traded in.

Anyway, I sold all of my [[DIG]] and [[IEO]] , exercising some overdue discipline. I know I had a fucking thesis, as to why I was right going long oil: but I changed my mind.

In my opinion, there is no longer a reason to keep hedges or any long positions for that matter, with exception to being long 200% inverse etf’s.

With much of the proceeds, I loaded up on [[SRS]] , as previously outlined.

So, at the present, my position sheet looks something like this:

[[SKF]]

[[SRS]]

[[REW]]

[[SSG]]

[[TWM]]

[[FXP]]

[[EEV]]

Short Fifth Third Bancorp [[FITB]]

Short Marshall & Ilsley Corporation Marshall & Ilsley Corporation [[Mi]]

Short Vulcan Materials Company [[VMC]]

Short Legg Mason, Inc. [[LM]]

Short Pzena Investment Management, Inc. [[PZN]]

Short PacWest Bancorp [[PACW]]

Short [[FED]]

Short East West Bancorp, Inc. [[EWBC]]

Short AXA (ADR) [[AXA]]

Short Janus Capital Group Inc. [[JNS]]

Short Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. [[GS]]

Short General Electric Company [[GE]]

long Western Refining, Inc. [[WNR]]

long National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. [[NOV]]

long Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. [[FCX]]

long Clean Energy Fuels Corp. [[CLNE]]

long other bullshit names that are losing me money today.

All in all, I am up a staggering 10.5% as I write this.

Hence the phrase: “it was the best of times, it was the worst of times.” applies.

Flashback UPDATE: Ron Paul

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vcc59kf2IU 450 300]

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Fly Buy: SRS, SKF

I bought 10,000 [[SRS]] @ $86.82. And, I bought 1,000 [[SKF]] @ $131.25.

UPDATE: I bought another 10,000 SRS at $90.

Disclaimer: If you buy the above stocks because of this post, Doug Kass will actually make an accurate market call. And, you may lose money.

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You’re All Idiots

And I am not talking about the garden variety type. How can so many people get the market wrong, so consistently?

Answer: You’re all idiots.

You people should be shining my shoes for what I bring to table. Lo and behold, the market is coming around to my way of thinking—oil up, banks down. Fucking shocker.

Hey, I got an idea. How about some of you charting analysts go chart the credit default swaps on Morgan Stanley [[MS]] and Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. [[GS]] ? Tell me what they say and then give me your market diagnosis. While you’re at it, go check the cds’s for General Electric Company [[GE]] . I wonder how the market would do on a GE bankruptcy? Shall we try to find out?

Both Goldman and Morgan are in trouble here. I know the assholes from SEC are reinstating that ridiculous short sale restriction rule tomorrow; however, that will not solve the underlying problem, which is confidence. There isn’t any.

From what I understand, following the Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. [[LEH]] bankruptcy, auditors were shocked at what they saw on the Lehman books, with regards to transparency. Actually, there wasn’t any. CDO’s were marked far too high and their commercial backed paper was priced for dot com boom times. Can you say “jail”?

So, where should a lowly investor, such as yourself, put his money now?

For starters, get long some commodity stocks, as the Federal Reserve and Treasury actively deplete and loot the country for all of its IOU’s. There is a long term price to pay for all of this spending and it doesn’t equate to a stronger dollar or fun and gleeful times.

With my money, I am shorting more GS. It’s going to book value ($99). And, I am buying more [[DIG]] and Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. [[FCX]] . Just in case you were wondering, I am holding my WNR for higher prices (I had to say that).

Oh, I almost forgot: Bill Miller from Legg Mason, Inc. [[LM]] still sucks.

UPDATE: I changed my mind. I am selling all of my DIG and IEO, but leaving FCX. I will now lever myself for a downside move, without hedges.

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