iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,431 Blog Posts

What’s Good for DD…

…sucks for [[MON]].

The only reason the DOW is higher today is due to Dupont’s great earnings report. Delving into it, I can tell you their agriculture business saved the day, currently representing more than 23% of revenues.

Moreover, they are set to unveil a new set of seeds that will hurt MON.

Currently, they license several seeds from MON, which will cease upon launch of their own product lines.

In short, MON is growing fast and is a market leader, but will soon come under competitive pressures from DD.

Aside from that, I am taking a shot on [[RIMM]] here. For traders, should the stock break $94, you may want to cut losses.

Finally, I like the action in [[GILD]], which is a position of mine. And, I am shocked to see [[MVIS]] getting shredded like this. People must be disappointed in with what they saw at CES.

From my point of view, management has done nothing for its shareholders. There is no reason to buy the stock.

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43 comments

  1. Tcat49

    broker A was the only good thing MaVIS had going for it…and with that support vanishing, stock go poof.

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  2. Weed

    I call bullshit on your, “And, I am shocked to see (MVIS: 3.55 -10.80%) getting shredded like this.”

    Liar, you have been selling all along.

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  3. BOOMER

    Fly — I think it speaks volumes about your character that you would:

    a) stick with MVIS as long as you did
    b) warn your readers of the risks
    c) tell people you were taking action (selling) in real time, when they could have sold at the highs
    d) have reversed your initial position based on the facts
    e) publicly acknowledge the change of heart, despite giving the haters ammo

    I appreciate it, anyway.

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  4. Bruce

    Everyone that got involved and bought up MVIS along with Fly cracks me up. You don’t even know who “The Fly” is, all he does is entertain with funny posts and you put your capital to work on his recommendations? Funny. This site is now nothing more than a yahoo message board full of lemmings.

    I’m sure most of you have learned now, after MVIS, never invest in a company that is not making money. I think that is rule number 1, somewhere.

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  5. weedwacker

    Bruce, you forgot to mention iig, mchx, ntri, hans, bwld, arwr, and wgat.

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  6. The Fly

    Well Bruce, go fuck yourself.

    As far as MVIS goes:

    I expected the stock to go down, after CES—but not like this.

    Personally, I do not see any way the company can remain on schedule with their embedded Picop.

    That’s my personal view.

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  7. Tcat49

    Bruce, lemmings indeed. however, not sure about your “rule number 1″…OLED tech banked this novice 70% in ’07, and it may be farther away from “making money” than MVIS

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  8. Derrick

    Good call on MVIS…I was shocked that you stated your negative view prior to fully exiting your position…and I called you an ass. In hindsight that was very gracious of you…making me the ass.

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  9. The Fly

    I guess this is “hate Fly day because he sold MVIS and I didn’t” huh?

    “Bruce, you forgot to mention iig, mchx, ntri, hans, bwld, arwr, and wgat.”

    Sold iiG, north of 23. My readers scored big, if listening to me. I put my sells out there and warned people.

    MCHX-sold at $13. Made 20% on it my first go around.

    NTRI=loser stock. Sold between $31-37. Bad call.

    HANS- Still up big. Bought from high 20’s.

    BWLD- Great call turned bad.One chink.

    ARWR and WAGAT- Sold both much higher.

    In short, go fuck yourself. I’m sure you have better things to do than cherry pick all of my bad calls. Go make your own.

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  10. mdawsz

    MVIS was a textbook fade going into CES. Everyone was excited about selling the hype, there is only one direction when everyone’s on the same side. Not hating Fly, just expressing my thoughts on it.

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  11. PleaseKillMe

    Bruce, that’s my rule number 2. My rule number 1 is don’t follow rule number 2.

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  12. TraderCaddy

    I know who the Fly is in real life. He is a college junior attending Queens college and has been running this blog as an experiment for his sociology class. The thesis is that the blind rats will follow the head seeing rat anywhere.
    He lives in the basement of his parents house in the Bronx. There are no windows and a single exposed light bulb hanging from the ceiling. There are empty pizza boxes and Bud cans stacked on the floor.

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  13. Corn Trader

    MVIS will be back. Good things just take time. I’m holding… however, I have only been weighted buy about 7%, not sweating it. Hell, I may just not even look at it for 1 year and be surpised its at $10, who knows?

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  14. phatfriday

    textbook fade indeed.
    along with everyone else, i sold 75% into the hype.
    What I hear from CES is the device is amazing… but end of 2008 before it hits market. A long way off. There is interest in embedded solutions, but will take time. I think time is perhaps the biggest issue, as well as a shitty market. Time = exposure to all kinds of nonsense. Fly has it right… revisit later in the year when what is going on behind closed doors sees the light. Plenty of time to buy back in.

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  15. The Fly

    Did I not warn you morons to sell?

    I told you not to come crying, like a little bitch, after the fact.

    I blog from the back of a pizzeria, Caddy.

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  16. phatfriday

    Never disrespect the pizza parlor.

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  17. JakeGint

    Nice thesis, but no one takes the train to Queens College from the fucking Bronx.

    Fly is a soph at Hunter College.

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  18. chivasontherocks
    chivasontherocks

    i have seen no blogger do better than fly in real time. his market calls have been great. shows an ability to be both bull or bear. most people either bullish or bearsish all the time. greatest asset his ability to admit when he’s wrong. i would let him manage my own money. sorry for the rant, but some people just piss me off.

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  19. JakeGint

    BTW — I’m just waiting for MONstah to crack (like RIMM did this week) before I get rid of the rest of it.

    And I’m said about that, but expect to buy it again when all this shit bottoms.

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  20. TraderCaddy

    Jake-I don’t think he takes the train because he can’t afford the tokens. He rides a skateboard to class.

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  21. “most people either bullish or bearsish all the time.”

    Funny quote.

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  22. The Fly

    RIMM is a buy here.

    My spider senses tell me so.

    You cover your short and bask in victory, before it leaves you.

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  23. Dinosaur Trader

    Even though I’m trying to “bring down” this blog by posting gay videos and stuff, I have to say that “the Fly” played MVIS excellently.

    Well done, shitcake.

    -DT

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  24. The Fly

    Chalk up a win for Mdawz

    However, I believe I sold higher.

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  25. mdawsz

    GODDAMMIT, spell my name correctly, out of respect.

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  26. Can of Corn Humper
    Can of Corn Humper

    MVIS is a bullshit, speculative lotto ticket. How often do you win the lotto?

    Exactly.

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  27. Juice

    That Bruce is not me.

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  28. Juice

    Clemens comes clean

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  29. Woodshedder

    MVIS will likely have a secondary offering soon, I expect.

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  30. nncoco

    Props to fly for selling MVIS and being up front about his change of heart on the stock.

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  31. The Fly

    No secondary.

    Perhaps a product delay?

    The MVIS story is not over. Its just been delayed.

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  32. Juice

    the race to zero is on for the mortgage insurers

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  33. phatfriday

    Wood…
    secondary offer is inevitable for MVIS. It will probably come on the heels of news and a run up. That’s the game. They need capital to ramp up further, without question.

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  34. The Fly

    PMI, ABK, etc. getting murdered.

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  35. TraderCaddy

    The word murdered is a little harsh. How about dispatched or slayed?

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  36. pablodpt

    Regarding MVIS please read this

    http://www.pcworld.com/article/id,141136-c,ces/article.html

    Regarding seeds, I am a stupid farmer in a fucking emerging market.MON has a lot of great seeds coming out. They are the leaders, understand Th Fly point of view but nevertheless my bet is BG.

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  37. kd

    Fly,
    At what price would you get back in MVIS????

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  38. JakeGint

    I don’t think anyone can be pissed about MaVIS. He was full disclosure the whole time.

    Given the size of MVIS’s investor base (ie, miniscule) you’d have to take his sell call last week as “institutional dumping.”

    And if you don’t know to get the fuck out when the institutions are dumping, then you’re retahded.

    As they say in Boston.

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  39. Cruxmonger

    MVIS is gayer than a bag of dicks. Fuck PicoP, Fuck Tokman, and Fuck the stock.

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  40. Shorticus, Demigod of Financia
    Shorticus, Demigod of Financia

    AlphaDawg rides “the electric horse” on his MOS position.

    As I have decreed, in retribution for his insolence.

    And as “parable” for his friend, the Fly.

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  41. Drifter

    Fly,

    Re: MVIS, you are coming off as a real fucktard! For months and months, you’ve been reccomending MVIS and singing its prases, now, you are blaming MVIS management for it’s low stock performance. HELLOOO! You may have noticed that the entire market has been on a down-trend for days now. It would’nt matter what AT and the Boyz may have said in previous PR’s, it would still boil down to a soft market — everyone’s converting to cash. Some expert you are.

    How you could pump up MVIS for so many months and then turn against them just because the market goes south and you loose some $$jack.

    You Asshat!

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  42. Flyswatter

    After months of lies and pump-talk about the huge potential of MVIS, the fly now completely disqualifies himself with his current sceptism.
    What do you say to everyone who trusted your words that this stock would double and whom are now suffering from big financial losses? Some more reservation from your side, may have been expected.

    Fuck you Fly!

    You deserve nothing more than the unfortunate fly that landed on my tasty chicken sandwich this morning

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